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Original Articles

Suspension of Nuclear Programs: Enduring Korean Rivalry

Pages 139-163 | Published online: 25 Mar 2009

  • Gary Goertz and Paul F. Diehl, “The Initiation and Termination of Enduring Rivalries: The Impact of Political Shocks,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 39, No. 1 (February 1995), pp. 31–33.
  • William R. Thompson, “Principal Rivalries,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 39, No. 2 (June 1995), p. 201.
  • Hensel , Paul R. 1998 . “Interstate Rivalry and the Study of Militarized Conflict,” . In Conflict in World Politics Edited by: Harvey , Frank and Mor , Ben D. 163 New York : St. Martin's Press . in, eds., (p.
  • Goertz and Diehl, “The Initiation and Termination of Enduring Rivalries,” pp. 35–37; Thompson, “Principal Rivalries,” pp. 217–20; Scott D. Bennett, “Measuring Rivalry Termination, 1816–1992,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 41, No. 2 (April 1997), p. 234; Scott D. Bennett, “Integrating and Testing Models of Rivalry Duration,” American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 42, No. 4 (October 1998), p. 1200.
  • Thompson, “Principal Rivalries,” p. 233; Hensel, “Interstate Rivalry and the Study of Militarized Conflict,” p. 178.
  • Douglas M. Stinnett and Paul F. Diehl, “The Path(s) to Rivalry: Behavioral and Structural Explanations of Rivalry Development,” Journal of Politics, Vol. 63, No. 3 (August 2001), p. 723.
  • Hensel . “Interstate Rivalry and the Study of Militarized Conflict,” . 176 – 79 . pp.; Gary Goertz and Paul F. Diehl, “The ‘Volcano Model’ and Other Patterns in the Evolution of Enduring Rivalries,” in Paul Diehl ed., The Dynamics of Enduring Rivalries (Chicago: University of Illinois Press 1998).
  • Ibid., p. 100.
  • Claudio Cioffi-Revilla, “The Political Uncertainty of Interstate Rivalries: A Punctuated Equilibrium Model,” in Diehl, ed., The Dynamics of Enduring Rivalries, p. 65.
  • Goertz and Diehl, “The ‘Volcano Model’,” p. 104.
  • Scott D. Bennett, “Foreign Policy Substitutability and Internal Economic Problems in Enduring Rivals,” Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 44, No. 1 (February 2000), p. 48.
  • Khan , Saira . 2002 . Nuclear Proliferation Dynamics in Protracted Conflict Regions, A Comparative Study of South Asia and the Middle East Aldershot : Ashgate Publishing Ltd. .
  • Quester , George . March 1977 . March , “Reducing the Incentives to Proliferation,” Annals, Vol. 430 (Mitchell Reiss, Bridled Ambition: Why Countries Constrain Their Nuclear Capabilities (Washington, DC: Woodrow Wilson Center Press 1995).
  • Paul , T. V. 2000 . Power versus Prudence: Why Nations Forgo Nuclear Weapons 4 – 5 . Montreal and Kingston : McGill-Queen's University Press .
  • Ibid., p. 22.
  • 1986 . Webster's Third New International Dictionary of the English Language Unabridged 2303 Springfield, MA : Merriam-Webster Inc. .
  • Avner Cohen and Benjamin Frankel, “Opaque Nuclear Proliferation,” Journal of Strategic Studies, Vol. 13, No. 3 (1990), pp. 17–18.
  • Harknett , Richard , Wirtz , James and Paul , T. V. , eds. 1998 . The Absolute Weapon Revisited: Nuclear Arms and the Emerging International Order 10 Michigan : Michigan University Press . eds.
  • Satterwhite , David . 1996 . “A Half-Century of U.S.-Korea Policy: Inching Toward U.S.-DPRK Rapprochement,” . In North Korea in the New World Order Edited by: Smith , Hazel , Rhodes , Chris , Pritchard , Diana and Magill , Kevin . 27 New York : St. Martin's Press . in, eds., (p.
  • Geldenhuys , Deon . 1990 . Isolated States: A Comparative Analysis 71 Cambridge : Cambridge University Press .
  • Smith , Hazel . “North Korean Foreign Policy in the 1990s: the Realist Approach,” . In North Korea in the New World Order 99 in, p.; Barry K. Gills, “Prospects for Peace and Stability in Northeast Asia: The Korean Conflict,” in Partha S. Ghosh, ed., Rivalry and Revolution in South and East Asia (Aldershot: Ashgate Publishing Ltd. 1997), p. 308.
  • Gills . “Prospects for Peace and Stability,” p. 308; Donald S. Macdonald, The Koreans: Contemporary Politics and Society (Boulder and London: Westview Press 1988), p. 240.
  • Ibid., p. 306.
  • Gills, “Prospects for Peace and Stability,” p. 308.
  • Buss . The United States and The Republic of Korea, pp. 117–18; Don Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas: A Contemporary History (Indianapolis: Basic Books 2001), p. 12.
  • Ibid., pp. 13–14.
  • Ibid., pp. 25–26
  • Mark B.M. Suh, The “Korean Question” and problems of Nuclear Nonproliferation in East Asia (Rome, 2000), p. 228; Paul, Power versus Prudence, p. 121.
  • Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, p. 68.
  • Satterwhite, “A Half-Century of U.S.-Korea Policy,” p. 29.
  • Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, p. 69.
  • Michael J. Engelhardt, “Rewarding Nonproliferation: The South and North Korean Cases,” The Nonproliferation Review (Spring/Summer 1996), p. 32.
  • Smith, “North Korean Foreign Policy in the 1990s,” pp. 99–100; Gills, “Prospects for Peace and Stability,” p. 309.
  • Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, p. 64.
  • Ibid., p. 64.
  • Ibid., p. 79.
  • Engelhardt, “Rewarding Nonproliferation,” p. 32.
  • Paul, Power versus Prudence, p. 121.
  • Ibid.
  • Yager , Joseph A. 1980 . Nonproliferation and U.S. Foreign Policy 48 Washington DC : The Brookings Institution . p.
  • Alexandre Mansourov, “The Origins, Evolution, and Current Politics of the North Korean Nuclear Program,” Nonproliferation Review (Spring/Summer 1995), p. 29.
  • Gills, “Prospects for Peace and Stability,” p. 309; Geldenhuys, Isolated States, pp. 72–73.
  • Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, pp. 215–16.
  • Gills, “Prospects for Peace and Stability in Northeast Asia,” p. 309.
  • Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, p. 307.
  • Engelhardt, “Rewarding Nonproliferation,” pp. 34–35; Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, pp. 312–15.
  • “Statement of DPRK Government on its Withdrawal from NPT,” available at www.kcna.co.jp/index-e.html.
  • “DPRK to React Against U.S. Arms Buildup Plane by its Effective Method,” available at www.kcna.co.jp/index-e.html.
  • “S. Korea ready for ‘worst-case scenario’,” available at http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/asiapcf/01/16/skorea.military/index.html.
  • Don Kirk, “U.S. may move forces south of Seoul,” International Herald Tribune, June 2, 2003.
  • Engelhardt, “Rewarding Nonproliferation,” p. 32; Mark B. M. Suh, “The ‘Korean Question’ and Problems of Nuclear Nonproliferation in East Asia,” available at http://www.mi.infn.it/~landnet/corea/proc/041.pdf.
  • Mazarr , Michael . 1995 . North Korea and the Bomb 182 New York : St. Martin's Press . Engelhardt, “Rewarding Nonproliferation,” p. 36; Scott Snyder, “North Korea's Nuclear Program: The Role of Incentives in Preventing Deadly Conflict,” in David Cortright ed., The Price of Peace: Incentives and International Conflict Prevention (Oxford: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc. 1997), p. 76.
  • Mitchell Reiss, Bridled Ambition; Sagan, “Why do States Build Nuclear Weapons?” pp. 60–61; Paul, Power versus Prudence, p. 3.
  • Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, p. 151.
  • Ibid., p. 37.
  • Macdonald, The Koreans, pp. 212–43.
  • Sang-hoon Chung , Joseph . 1974 . The North Korean Economy: Structure and Development 145 – 49 . Stanford, CA : Hoover Institution Press .
  • Gills, “Prospects for Peace and Stability,” pp. 312–14.
  • Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, p. 297.
  • Ibid., p. 278.
  • Bong-uk , Chong , ed. 1997 . North Korea: Uneasy, Shaky Kim Jong Il Regime 84 Seoul : Naeowe Press . ed, (p.
  • Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, p. 337.
  • Ibid., pp. 351–52.
  • 2002 . The Europa World Year Book 2002 2337 London and New York : Europa Publications .
  • Oberdorfer, The Two Koreas, p. 408.
  • Yun Dukmin, “Historical Origins of the North Korean Nuclear Issue: Examining 20 Years of Negotiation Records,” Korea Journal (Winter 2005), pp. 37–38.
  • Kang , David . 2003 . “Response: Why Are We Afraid of Engagement?” . In Nuclear North Korea Edited by: Cha , Victor and Kang , David . 103 – 6 . New York : Columbia University Press . in, eds., (pp.

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