Advanced search
Publication Cover
Korean Journal of Defense Analysis Volume 7, 1995 - Issue 2
Journal homepage
19
Views
2
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

The Problem of a Rising Power: Sino-American Relations in the 21st Century

Michael J. Mazarr
Pages 7-39 | Published online: 25 Mar 2009

  • The Complete Writings of Thucydides: The Peloponnesian War (New York: The Modern Library, 1951), p. 15.
  • As predicted, for example, by Kenneth Waltz, “The Emerging Structure of International Politics,” International Security, Vol. 18, No. 2 (Fall 1993), pp. 44–79.
  • See Richard Rosecrance, “A World Concert of Powers,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 71, No. 2 (Spring 1992), pp. 64–82.
  • Cited in Steven Mufson, “Sino-US Relations ‘Pushed Into a Danger Zone,’” Washington Post, June 21, 1995, p. A17.
  • “China's Heavier Hand on Dissent,” Wall Street Journal, June 29, 1995, p. A12.
  • Quoted in Mufson, “Sino-US Relations,” p. A17.
  • Cited in Keith B. Richburg. “China Bitterly Attacks Critics in US.” Washington Post. August 24, 1995, p. A29.
  • Kathy Chen, “Sino-US Relations Back to Square One,” Wall Street Journal, September 1, 1995, p. A4.
  • Reuters report cited in the Korea Times, August 25, 1995, p. 11.
  • John M. Goshko, “China Drops Reactor Deal With Iran,” Washington Post, September 28, 1995, p. A22.
  • Waltz , Kenneth . 1979 . Theory of International Politics Reading, MA : Addison-Wesley . See, for example, Hans J. Morgenthau (with Kenneth Thompson). Politics Among Nations: The Struggle for Power and Peace, Brief Edition (New York: McGraw Hill, 1993), and (
  • Audrey and Patrick Cronin, “The Realistic Engagement of China,” Washington Quarterly, Vol. 19, No. 1 (Winter 1996), p. 153.
  • Nancy Bernkopf Tucker, “War or Peace in the Taiwan Strait?” Washington Quarterly, Vol. 19, No. 1 (Winter 1996), pp. 172–73.
  • For a description of this review see Assistant Secretary of State Winston Lord. “Testimony before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.” September 27, 1994.
  • For an argument critical of Clinton policy on these ground, see Jaw-ling Joanne Chang, “How Clinton Bashed Taiwan—and Why,” Orbis, Vol. 39, No. 4 (Fall 1995), pp. 567–82.
  • Barber , Benjamin . 1995 . Jihad vs. Mc World 37 – 38 . New York : Random House .
  • See, for example, John Caldwell, “China's Conventional Military Capabilities, 1994–2004” (Washington, DC: Center for Strategic and International Studies, 1994): and Michael G. Gallagher. “China's Illusory Threat to the South China Sea. International Security. Vol. 19. No. 1 (Summer 1994). pp. 169–94. though Gallagher admits that “the Chinese retain the very human capacity for self-delusion” and that a war in the South China Sea is not out of the question (p. 194).
  • James D. Fearon, in “Rationalist Explanations for War,” International Organization, Vol. 49, No. 3 (Summer 1995), pp. 379–414, questions such explanations because states always appear to have less costly alternatives to actual conflict. Despite that fact, they continue to go to war.
  • Kissinger , Henry A. 1994 . Diplomacy 719 New York : Simon and Schuster .
  • Arthur Waldron, “Deterring China,” Commentary, Vol. 100, No. 4 (October 1995), p. 18.
  • Gilpin , Robert . 1994 . “Hegemonic War and International Change,” . In Conflict After the Cold War: Arguments on Causes of War and Peace Edited by: Richard , Betts . 96 New York : Macmillan .
  • Gerald Segal, “China's Changing Shape,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 73, No. 3 (May-June 1994), pp. 53–54.
  • Gilpin, “Hegemonic War and International Change,” p. 106.
  • Gilpin, “Hegemonic War and International Change,” pp. 106–7.
  • Waldron, “Deterring China,” p. 18.
  • Joseph S. Nye, Jr., “Conflict After the Cold War,” Washington Quarterly, Vol. 19, No. 1 (Winter 1996), p. 11.
  • Gilpin, “Hegemonic War and International Change,” p. 107.
  • Denny Roy, “Hegemon on the Horizon? China's Threat to East Asian Security,” International Security, Vol. 19, No. 1 (Summer 1994), p. 161.
  • Aaron L. Friedberg, “Ripe for Rivalry: Prospects for Peace in a Multipolar Asia,” International Security, Vol. 18, No. 3 (Winter 1993–1994), p. 16.
  • See, for example, Michael Doyle, “Liberalism and World Polities,” American Political Science Review, Vol. 80, No. 4 (December 1986), pp. 1151–69.
  • John Chettle. “The American Way,” National Interest, No. 41 (Fall 1995), p. 17.
  • Marcus W. Brauchli, “China's Talk of Autonomy Rings Hollow,” Wall Street Journal, August 24, 1995, p. A 10.
  • Douglas H. Paal, “Political Risks and Investment Opportunities In East Asia in 1995 and Beyond,” China Analyst, March 1995, p. 32.
  • Ibid., p. 34.
  • Keith B. Richburg, “Rebuff of China Proves Sweeping,” Washington Post, September 19, 1995, p. A8.
  • Ibid.
  • “Hong Kong's Stormy Prospects,” The Economist, September 23, 1995, p. 12.
  • Samuel P. Huntington, “The Clash of Civilizations?” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 72, No. 3 (Summer 1993), pp. 22, 45.
  • Klaus Schwab and Claude Smadja, “Power and Policy: The New Economic World Order,” Harward Business Review, November-December 1994, p. 44.
  • Cronin and Cronin, “The Realistic Engagement of China,” p. 152.
  • Morgenthau, Politics Among Nations, pp. 120–21.
  • Quoted in National Interest, No. 41 (Fall 1995), p. 18.
  • Nicholas D. Kristof, “The Real Chinese Threat,” New York Times Magazine, August 27, 1995, p. 50.
  • Robert A. Scalapino, “Economic Dynamism and Political Fragility in Northeast Asia: Prospects for the 21st Century,” in “Northeast Asia in an Age of Upheaval,” National Bureau of Asian Research Analysis, Vol. 6, NO. 2 (August 1995), p. 28.
  • Paal, “Political Risks and Investment Opportunities,” p. 31.
  • Stephen Van Evera, “Hypotheses on Nationalism and War,” International Security, Vol. 18, No. 4 (Spring 1994), p. 7.
  • Ibid., p. 8.
  • Ibid., p. 26.
  • Ibid., pp. 30–32.
  • On this last point, a few observers have begun to predict a coming economic crash as China's growth reaches the limits allowed by its infrastructure and intrusive state role. See Paul Krugman, “The Myth of Asia's Miracle,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 73, No. 6 (November-December 1994), pp. 62–78, esp. pp. 75–76; and, even more dramatically, Richard Hornik, “Bursting China's Bubble,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 73, No. 3 (May-June 1994), pp. 28–42.
  • Denny Roy connects nationalism and dictatorial rule as a joint cause of aggression in “Hegemon on the Horizon,” p. 160.
  • Gregory J. Mastel, “China and the WTO: Economy at the Crossroad” (Washington, D C: Economic Strategy Institute, November 1994), pp. 18–29; the quote appears on p. 18.
  • Mastel, “China and the WTO,” p. 16.
  • Gregory Mastel, “China's Trade Policy: The Next Japan?” Washington Quarterly, Vol. 19, No. 1 (Winter 1996).
  • Friedberg, “Ripe for Rivalry,” p. 7.
  • Gideon Rachman, “Containing China,” Washington Quarterly, Vol. 19, No. 1 (Winter 1996), pp. 129–39.
  • Cronin and Cronin, “The Realistic Engagement of China,” p. 142.
  • Rachman, “Containing China,” p. 137.
  • Cronin and Cronin, “The Realistic Engagement of China,” p. 163.
  • See Steven Mufson, “Some Chinese Legislators Start to Step Away from party Line,” Washington Post, March 26, 1995, p. A25.
  • Kathy Chen, “China's Alternative Voices Grow Louder,” Wall Street Journal, August 29, 1995, p. A10.
  • Chettle, “The American Way,” p. 4.
  • Ibid., pp. 11–12.
  • Ibid., pp. 11–12.
  • Waldron, “Deterring China,” p. 18.
  • Roy, “Hegemon on the Horizon?” p. 167
  • Richard K. Betts, “Wealth, Power and Instability: East Asia and the United States after the Cold War,” International Security, Vol. 18, No. 3 (Winter 1993–1994), pp. 53–54.
  • Friedberg, “Ripe for Rivalry,” pp. 27–28.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Order Reprints Request Corporate Permissions

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

Request Academic Permissions

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.

Related research

People also read lists articles that other readers of this article have read.

Recommended articles lists articles that we recommend and is powered by our AI driven recommendation engine.

Cited by lists all citing articles based on Crossref citations.
Articles with the Crossref icon will open in a new tab.