The value of military intelligence

References

• Ahituv, N. 1989. “Assessing the Value of Information: Problems and Approaches.” Proceedings of the Tenth International Conference on Information Systems, Boston, MA.
   Google Scholar
• Amemiya, T. 1977. “The Maximum Likelihood and the Nonlinear Three-stage Least Squares Estimator in the General Nonlinear Simultaneous Equation Model.” Econometrica 45 (4): 955–968.10.2307/1912684
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Biran, D., and Y. Tauman. 2008. “The Role of Intelligence in Nuclear Deterrence.” Mimeo, November 2. Accessed January 19, 2010. http://yairtauman.googlepages.com/Intelligence.pdf
   Google Scholar
• Blackwell, D. 1951. “Comparisons of Experiments.” Proceedings of the Second Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, 93–102. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.
   Google Scholar
• Bracken, J., and R. Darilek. 1998. “Information Superiority and Game Theory: The Value of Information in Four Games.” MORS PHALANX, December.
   Google Scholar
• Brito, D. L., and M. D. Intriligator. 1995. “Arms Races and Proliferation.” In Handbook of Defense Economics, vol. I, edited by K. Hartley and T. Sandler, 106–164. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science B.V.
   Google Scholar
• Clark, J. R. 2007. Intelligence and National Security. Westport, CT: Praeger Security International.
   Google Scholar
• Collier, P. 2006. “War and Military Expenditure in Developing Countries and Their Consequences for Development.” The Economics of Peace and Security Journal 1 (1): 9–13.
   Google Scholar
• Darilek, R., W. Perry, J. Bracken, J. Gordon, and B. Nichiporuk. 2001. Measures of Effectiveness for the Information Age Army. Santa Monica, CA: RAND.
   Google Scholar
• Dunne, J. P., and R. P. Smith. 2007. “The Econometrics of Military Arms Races.” In Handbook of Defense Economics, vol. II, edited by T. Sandler and K. Hartley, 913–940. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science B.V.
   Google Scholar
• EViews. 2004. EViews 5.0, Quantitative Micro Software, Technical Discussion.
   Google Scholar
• Gilboa, A., and E. Lapid. 2008. Masterpiece, an inside Look at Sixty Years of Israeli Intelligence [In Hebrew]. Tel Aviv: Miskal – Yedioth Ahronoth Books and Chemed Books.
   Google Scholar
• Global Security. 2009. “US FY2009 Intelligence Budget.” Unofficial Source. Accessed January 12, 2010. http://www.globalsecurity.org/intell/library/budget/index.html
   Google Scholar
• Hartley, K. 2006. “Defence R&D: Data Issues.” Defence and Peace Economics 17 (3): 169–175.10.1080/10242690600645027
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hendricks, K., and R. P. McAfee. 2006. “Feints.” Journal of Economics & Management Strategy 15 (2): 431–456.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hirao, Y. 1994. “Quality versus Quantity in Arms Races.” Southern Economic Journal 61: 96–103.10.2307/1060132
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hirshleifer, J. 1991. “The Paradox of Power.” Economics and Politics 3: 177–200.10.1111/ecpo.1991.3.issue-3
   Google Scholar
• Hitch, C. J., and R. N. McKean. 1963. The Economics of Defense in the Nuclear Age. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Ho, S. J. 2007. “An Economic Analysis of Military Intelligence.” Defence and Peace Economics 18 (6): 485–493.10.1080/10242690701197571
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ho, S. J. 2008. “Extracting the Information: Espionage with Double Crossing.” Journal of Economics 93 (1): 31–58.10.1007/s00712-007-0290-2
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hughes-Wilson, J. 1999. Military Intelligence Blunders. New York: Carroll & Graf.
   Google Scholar
• Intelligence Agencies. 2000. “The Intelligence Agencies Sourcebook: German Agencies.” Accessed November 9, 2010. http://beyondheroes2.tripod.com/germanyagency.htm
   Google Scholar
• Intriligator, M. D. 1975. “Strategic Considerations in the Richardson Model of Arms Races.” Journal of Political Economy 83 (2): 339–353.10.1086/jpe.1975.83.issue-2
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Israel Budget, Ministry of Finance (Israel). 2011. Accessed January 30, 2011. http://www.mof.gov.il/BudgetSite/Pages/BudgetSiteHP.aspx
   Google Scholar
• Israel CBS (The Central Bureau of Statistics (Israel)). 2011. Accessed January 30, 2011. http://www.cbs.gov.il/reader/cw_usr_view_Folder?ID=141
   Google Scholar
• Jackson, M. O., and M. Morelli. 2007. “Political Bias and War.” American Economic Review 97 (4): 1353–1373.10.1257/aer.97.4.1353
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Johnson, L. K. 2000. Bombs, Bugs, Drugs and Thugs: Intelligence and America’s Quest for Security. New York: New York University Press.
   Google Scholar
• Kagan, K., A. Tishler, and A. Weiss. 2005. “On the Use of Terror Weapons versus Modern Weapon Systems in an Arms Race between Developed and Less Developed Countries.” Defence and Peace Economics 16 (5): 331–346.10.1080/10242690500207316
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Karakaş, E. 2010. “How Much Does Intelligence Cost?” Todays Zaman, June 25. Accessed November 9, 2010. http://www.todayszaman.com/news-214124-centerhow-much-does-intelligence-cost-bribyi-breser-karakascenter.html
   Google Scholar
• Karim, U. 2009. “EU and USA Intelligence Community.” Pakistan Defence Forum, September 25. Accessed November 9, 2010. http://www.defence.pk/forums/u-s-foreign-affairs/35050-eu-usa-intelligence-community.html
   Google Scholar
• Kirkpatrick, D. 2004. “Trends in the Costs of Weapon Systems and the Consequences.” Defence and Peace Economics 15: 259–273.10.1080/1024269032000123203
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lanchester, F. W. 1956. “Aircraft in Warfare: the Dawn of the Fourth Arm.” In The World of Mathematics, vol. 4, edited by J. Newman, 2138–2157. New York: Simon and Schuster.
   Google Scholar
• Melman, Y. 2008. “How Much Does It Cost the Mossad to Run an Intelligence Agent?” [In Hebrew], Haaretz Daily Newspaper, October 23. Accessed November 22, 2010. http://www.haaretz.co.il/hasite/spages/1030711.html
   Google Scholar
• Middleton, A., S. Bowns, K. Hartley, and J. Reid. 2006. “The Effect of Defence R&D on Military Equipment Quality.” Defence and Peace Economics 17 (2): 117–139.10.1080/10242690600636869
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Nevo, B., and Y. Shur-Shmueli. 2004. The Israel Defense Forces and the National Economy of Israel [In Hebrew]. Jerusalem: The Israel Democracy Institute.
   Google Scholar
• Pecht, E. 2013. “The Value of Military Intelligence: Theoretical, Analytical, and Empirical Perspectives.” PhD Thesis, Faculty of Management, Tel Aviv University, January.
   Google Scholar
• Petrov, O. 2007. “Political and Budgetary Oversight of the Ukrainian Intelligence Community: Processes, Problems and Prospects for Reform.” Master of Business Administration Thesis, Naval Postgraduate School, CA, September. Accessed January 24, 2010. http://www.fas.org/irp/world/ukraine/petrov.pdf
   Google Scholar
• Posner, R. A. 2006. Uncertain Shield – The US Intelligence System in the Throes of Reform. Oxford: Rowman & Littlefield.
   Google Scholar
• Repo, A. J. 1989. “The Value of Information: Approaches in Economics, Accounting, and Management Science.” Journal of the American Society for Information Science 40 (2): 68–85.10.1002/(ISSN)1097-4571
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ringel, I., and A. Tishler. 2011. “The Government Budget Allocation Process and National Security: An Application to the Israel-Syrian Arms Race.” In Handbook on the Economics of Conflict, edited by B. L. Braddon and K. Hartley, 105–142. Cheltenham, PA: Edward Elgar.
   Google Scholar
• Rogerson, W. P. 1990. “Quality vs. Quantity in Military Procurement.” The American Economic Review 80: 83–92.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Setter, O., and A. Tishler. 2006. “A Brave Leap or a Gradual Climb? The Dynamics of Investment in R&D of Integrative Technologies.” Defence and Peace Economics 17 (3): 201–222.10.1080/10242690600645100
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Setter, O., and A. Tishler. 2007. “Budget Allocation for Integrative Technologies: Theory and Application to the US Military.” Defence and Peace Economics 18 (2): 133–155.10.1080/10242690600797273
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shabtay, H. 2012. “Budget Allocation under Uncertainty in an Arms Race between Two or More Countries.” PhD Thesis, The Faculty of Management, Tel Aviv University.
   Google Scholar
• Shabtay, H., and A. Tishler. Forthcoming. “Budget Allocation under Uncertainty and the Costs of War and Insecurity.” Defence and Peace Economics.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Shapiro, C., and H. R. Varian. 1999. Information Rules: A Strategic Guide to the Network Economy. Boston, MA: Harvard Business School Press.
   Google Scholar
• SIPRI. 2010. SIPRI Military Expenditure Database (1988–2010). Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. Accessed May 12, 2011. http://milexdata.sipri.org
   Google Scholar
• Solan, E., and L. Yariv. 2004. “Games with Espionage.” Games and Economic Behavior 47 (1): 172–199.10.1016/S0899-8256(03)00177-5
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Syria CBS (The Central Bureau of Statistics (Syria)). 2011. Accessed January 30, 2011. http://www.cbssyr.org/index-EN.htm
   Google Scholar
• Trajtenberg, M. 2006. “Defense R&D in the Anti-terrorist Era.” Defence and Peace Economics 17 (3): 177–199.10.1080/10242690600645076
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• UK, MI5. 2009. “Security Service MI5 Funding (2004–2011).” Accessed January 12, 2010. https://www.mi5.gov.uk/output/funding.html
   Google Scholar
• US, DCI. 1997. “Statement of the Director of Central Intelligence regarding the Disclosure of the Aggregate Intelligence Budget for Fiscal Year 1997.” CIA Statement, October 15.
   Google Scholar
• US, DCI. 1998. “Statement of the Director of Central Intelligence regarding the Disclosure of the Aggregate Intelligence Budget for Fiscal Year 1998.” CIA Statement, March 20.
   Google Scholar
• US, DNI. 2007. “DNI Releases Budget Figure for National Intelligence Program.” ODNI News Release No. 22-07, October, 30.
   Google Scholar
• US, DNI. 2008. “DNI Releases Budget Figure for 2008 National Intelligence Program.” ODNI News Release No. 17-08, October, 28.
   Google Scholar
• US, DNI. 2009. “2009 National Intelligence Strategy.” Media Conference Call with the Director of National Intelligence Mr. Dennis C. Blair, September, 15. Accessed January 12, 2010. http://www.dni.gov/interviews/20090915_interview.pdf
   Google Scholar
• US, DNI. 2010. “DNI Releases Budget Figure for 2010 National Intelligence Program.” ODNI News Release No. 21-10, October, 28. Accessed November 22, 2010. http://www.dni.gov/press_releases/20101028_2010_NIP_release.pdf
   Google Scholar
• US, WH. 2011. Osama Bin Laden Dead. The White House Blog. Accessed January 7, 2012. http://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2011/05/02/osama-bin-laden-dead
   Google Scholar
• Wolfson, T. 2009. “Defense Burden and the Israeli Economy: A Second Look at the Official Data.” BA Thesis, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem.
   Google Scholar
• Zellner, A., and H. Theil. 1962. “Three-stage Least Squares: Simultaneous Estimation of Simultaneous Equations.” Econometrica 30 (1): 54–78.10.2307/1911287
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar