816
Views
5
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Article

Praying for Rain? Water Scarcity and the Duration and Outcomes of Civil Wars

Pages 27-45 | Received 09 Feb 2017, Accepted 10 Apr 2017, Published online: 04 May 2017

References

  • Balcells, Laia, and Stathis Kalyvas. 2014. “Does Warfare Matter? Severity, Duration, and Outcomes of Civil Wars.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 58: 1390–1418. doi:10.1177/0022002714547903.
  • Balch-Lindsay, Dylan, and Andrew J. Enterline. 2000. “Killing Time: The World Politics of Civil War Duration, 1820–1992.” International Studies Quarterly 44 (4): 615–642.
  • Balch-Lindsay, Dylan, Andrew J. Enterline, and Kyle A. Joyce. 2008. “Third-Party Intervention and the Civil War Process.” Journal of Peace Research 45 (3): 345–363.
  • Beardsley, Kyle, and Brian McQuinn. 2009. “Rebel Groups as Predatory Organizations: The Political Effects of the 2004 Tsunami in Indonesia and Sri Lanka.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 53 (4): 624–645.
  • Bergholt, Drago, and Päivi Lujala. 2012. “Climate-Related Natural Disasters, Economic Growth, and Armed Civil Conflict.” Journal of Peace Research 49 (1): 147–162.
  • Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, Alastair Smith, Randolph M. Siverson, and James D. Morrow. 2003. The Logic of Political Survival. Cambridge: MIT University of Press.
  • Buhaug, Halvard, Scott Gates, and Päivi Lujala. 2009. “Geography, Rebel Capability, and the Duration of Civil Conflict.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 53 (4): 544–569.
  • Collier, Paul, Anke Hoeffler, and Måns Söderbom. 2004. “On the Duration of Civil War.” Journal of Peace Research 41 (3): 253–273.
  • Couttenier, Mathieu, and Raphael Soubeyran. 2014. “Drought and Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa.” The Economic Journal 124: 201–244.
  • Cunningham, David E. 2006. “Vento Players and Civil War Duration.” American Journal of Political Science 50 (4): 875–892.
  • Cunningham, David E. 2010. “Blocking Resolution: How External States Can Prolong Civil Wars.” Journal of Peace Research 47 (2): 115–127.
  • Cunningham, David E., Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, and Idean Salehyan. 2009. “It Takes Two: A Dyadic Analysis of Civil War Duration and Outcome.” The Journal of Conflict Resolution 53 (4): 570–597.
  • Cunningham, David E., Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, and Idean Salehyan. 2013. “Non-State Actors in Civil Wars: A New Dataset.” Conflict Management and Peace Science 30 (5): 516–531.
  • Dell, Melissa, Benjamin F. Jones, and Benjamin Olken. 2012. “Temperature Shocks and Economic Growth Evidence from the Last Half Century.” American Journal of Macroeconomics. 4 (3): 66–95.
  • DeRouen, Karl Jr, and David Sobek. 2004. “The Dynamics of Civil War Duration and Outcome.” Journal of Peace Research 41 (3): 303–320.
  • Eastin, Joshua. 2016. “Fuel to the Fire: Natural Disasters and the Duration of Civil Conflict.” International Interactions 42 (2): 322–349.
  • Fearon, James D. 1995. “Rationalist Explanations for War.” International Organization 49 (3): 379–414.
  • Fearon, James D. 2004. “Why Do Some Civil Wars Last So Much Longer than Others?” Journal of Peace Research 41 (3): 275–301.
  • Gleditsch, Kristian S. 2002. “Expanded Trade and GDP Data.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 46: 712–24.
  • Greig, J. Michael. 2015. “Rebels at the Gates: Civil War Battle Locations, Movement, and Openings for Diplomacy.” International Studies Quarterly 59 (4): 680–693.
  • Greig, J. Michael, T. David Mason, and Jesse Hamner. 2016. “Win, Lose, or Draw in the Fog of Civil War.” Conflict Management and Peace Science. doi:10.1177/0738894216649343.
  • Heger, Lindsay, and Idean Salehyan. 2007. “Ruthless Rulers: Coalition Size and the Severity of Civil Conflict.” International Studies Quarterly 51 (2): 385–403.
  • Hendrix, Cullen, and Idean Salehyan. 2012. “Climate Change, Rainfall, and Social Conflict in Africa.” Journal of Peace Research 49 (1): 35–50.
  • Homer-Dixon, Thomas. 1999. Environment, Scarcity, and Violence. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  • Humphreys, Ma Cartan. 2005. “Natural Resources, Conflict, and Conflict Resolution: Uncovering the Mechanisms.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 49 (4): 508–537.
  • Kilcullen, David. 2009. The Accidental Guerrilla: Fighting Small Wars in the midst of a Big One. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Kreutz, Joakim. 2010. “How and When Armed Conflicts End: Introducing the UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset.” Journal of Peace Research 47 (2): 243–250.
  • LeRiche, Arnold. 2012. South Sudan: From Revolution to Independence. New York: Columbia University Press.
  • Lichbach, Mark. 1995. The Rebel's Dilemma. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
  • Lujala, Päivi. 2010. “The Spoils of Nature: Armed Civil Conflict and Rebel Access to Natural Resources.” Journal of Peace Research 47 (1): 15–28.
  • Marshall, Monty G., and Keith Jaggers. 2010. Polity IV Project: Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800–2009. Fairfax, VA: George Mason University, Center for Systemic Peace.
  • Mason, T. David, Joseph P. Weingarten Jr, and Patrick J. Fett. 1999. “Win, Lose, or Draw: Predicting the Outcome of Civil Wars.” Political Research Quarterly 52 (2): 239–268.
  • Mason, T. David, T. Mehmet Gurses, Patrick Brandt, and Jason Michael Quinn. 2011. “When Civil Wars Recur: Conditions for Durable Peace after Civil Wars.” International Studies Perspectives 12 (2): 171–189.
  • Mattes, Michaela, and Burcu Savun. 2010. “Information, Agreement Design, and the Durability of Civil War Settlements.” American Journal of Political Science 54 (2): 511–524.
  • Metternich, Nils W. 2011. “Expecting Elections: Interventions, Ethnic Support, and the Duration of Civil War.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 55: 909–937. doi:10.1177/0022002711408015.
  • Miguel, Edward, Shanker Satyanath, and Ernest Sergenti. 2004. “Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach.” Journal of Political Economy 112 (4): 725–753.
  • Natsios, Andrew S. 2012. Sudan, South Sudan, and Darfur: What Everyone Needs to Know. New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Percival, Val, and Thomas Homer-Dixon. 1996. “Environmental Scarcity and Violent Conflict: The Case of Rwanda.” The Journal of Environmental & Development 5 (3): 270–291.
  • Polo, Sara, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch. 2016. “Twisting Arms and Sending Messages: Terrorist Tactics in Civil War.” Journal of Peace Research 53 (6): 815–829.
  • Powell, Robert. 2006. “War as a Commitment Problem.” International Organization 60 (1): 169–203.
  • Praeg, Bertus. 2006. Ethiopia and Political Renaissance in Africa. New York: Nova Science.
  • Reuveny, Rafael. 2007. “Climate Change-induced Migration and Violent Conflict.” Political Geography 26 (6): 656–673.
  • Roessler, Philip. 2011. “The Enemy within: Personal Rule, Coups, and Civil War in Africa.” World Politics 62 (2): 300–346.
  • Ross, Michael L. 2004. “What Do We Know about Natural Resources and Civil War.” Journal of Peace Research 41 (3): 337–356.
  • Salehyan, Idean. 2014. “Climate Change and Conflict: Making Sense of Disparate Findings.” Political Geography 43: 1–5.
  • Salehyan, Idean, and Cullen Hendrix. 2014. “Climate Shocks and Political Violence.” Global Environmental Change 28: 239–250.
  • Tareke, Gebru. 2009. The Ethiopian Revolution: War in the Horn of Africa. New Haven, CT: Yale University Press.
  • Theisen, Ole Magnus, Helge Holtermann, and Halvard Buhaug. 2011. “Climate Wars: Assessing the Claim That Drought Breeds Conflict.” International Security 36 (3): 79–106.
  • Thyne, Clayton. 2012. “Information, Commitment, and Intra-War Bargaining: The Effect of Government Constraints on Civil War Duration.” International Studies Quarterly 56 (2): 307–321.
  • Thyne, Clayton. 2015. “The Impact of Coups D’état on Civil War Duration.” Conflict Management and Peace Science. doi:10.1177/0738894215570431.
  • Tilly, Charles. 1978. From Mobilization to Revolution. McGraw-Hill.
  • Walter, Barbara F. 1997. “The Critical Barrier to Civil War Settlement.” International Organization 51 (3): 335–364.
  • Walter, Barbara F. 2002. Committing to Peace: The Successful Settlement of Civil Wars. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
  • Walter, Barbara F. 2006. “Building Reputation: Why Governments Fight Some Separatists and Not Others.” American Journal of Political Science 50 (2): 313–330.
  • Walter, Barbara F. 2009. “Bargaining Failures and Civil War.” Annual Review of Political Science 12: 243–261.
  • Weinstein, Jeremy. 2007. Inside Rebellion: The Politics of Insurgency. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Werner, Suzanne, and Amy Yuen. 2005. “Making and Keeping Peace.” International Organization 59 (2): 261–292.
  • Witsenburg, Karen M., and Wario R. Adano. 2009. “Of Rain and Raids: Violent Livestock Raiding in Northern Kenya.” Civil Wars 11 (4): 514–538.
  • Young, John. 1997. Peasant Revolution in Ethiopia: The Tigray People’s Liberation Front, 1975–1991. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.