1,285
Views
5
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

Perceived macroeconomic uncertainty and export: evidence from cross-country data

, , ORCID Icon &
Pages 213-229 | Received 22 Jul 2020, Accepted 09 Feb 2021, Published online: 01 Mar 2021

References

  • Abel, A. B. (1983). Optimal investment under uncertainty. American Economic Review, 73(1), 228–233.
  • Anderson, J. E. (2011). The gravity model. Annual Review of Economics, 3(1), 133–160. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-111809-125114
  • Anderson, J. E., & Van Wincoop, E. (2003). Gravity with gravitas: A solution to the border puzzle. American Economic Review, 93(1), 170–192. https://doi.org/10.1257/000282803321455214
  • Anderson, J. E., Vesselovsky, M., & Yotov, Y. V. (2016). Gravity with scale effects. Journal of International Economics, 100, 174–193. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.03.003
  • Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., & Davis, S. J. (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593–1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024
  • Baley, I., Veldkamp, L., & Waugh, M. (2020). Can global uncertainty promote international trade? Journal of International Economics, 126, 103347. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2020.103347
  • Baltagi, B. H., Egger, P., & Pfaffermayr, M. (2003). A generalized design for bilateral trade flow models. Economics Letters, 80(3), 391–397. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1765(03)00115-0
  • Bernanke, B. S. (1983). Irreversibility, uncertainty, and cyclical investment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 98(1), 85–106. https://doi.org/10.2307/1885568
  • Bloom, N. (2009). The impact of uncertainty shocks. Econometrica, 77(3), 623–685. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA6248
  • Caballero, J., Hale, G., & Candelaria, C. (2018). Bank linkages and international trade. Journal of International Economics, 115, 30–47. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2018.08.006
  • De Sousa, J., Disdier, A. C., & Gaigné, C. (2020). Export decision under risk. European Economic Review, 121, 103342. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2019.103342
  • Dixit, A. (1989). Entry and exit decisions under uncertainty. Journal of Political Economy, 97(3), 620–638. https://doi.org/10.1086/261619
  • Dixit, A. K., & Pindyck, R. S. (1994). Investment under uncertainty. Princeton University Press.
  • Fally, T. (2015). Structural gravity and fixed effects. Journal of International Economics, 97(1), 76–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2015.05.005
  • Feng, L., Li, Z., & Swenson, D. L. (2017). Trade policy uncertainty and exports: Evidence from China’s WTO accession. Journal of International Economics, 106, 20–36. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.12.009
  • Grossman, G., & Razin, A. (1985). The pattern of trade in a Ricardian model with country-specific uncertainty. International Economic Review, 26(1), 193–202. https://doi.org/10.2307/2526534
  • Handley, K. (2014). Exporting under trade policy uncertainty: Theory and evidence. Journal of International Economics, 94(1), 50–66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2014.05.005
  • Handley, K., & Limão, N. (2015). Trade and investment under policy uncertainty: Theory and firm evidence. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 7(4), 189–222. https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20140068[Mismatch]
  • Handley, K., & Limão, N. (2017). Policy uncertainty, trade, and welfare: Theory and evidence for china and the United States. American Economic Review, 107(9), 2731–2783.https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20141419
  • Hartman, R. (1972). The effects of price and cost uncertainty on investment. Journal of Economic Theory, 5(2), 258–266. https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(72)90105-6
  • Head, K., & Mayer, T. (2014). Gravity equations: Workhorse, toolkit, and cookbook. Handbook of International Economics, 4, 131–195. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-54314-1.00003-3
  • Heid, B., & Larch, M. (2016). Gravity with unemployment. Journal of International Economics, 101, 70–85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.03.008
  • Helpman, E., & Razin, A. (1978). Uncertainty and International Trade in the Presence of Stock Markets. The Review of Economic Studies, 45(2), 239–250. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297338 http://www.jstor.org/stable/2297338
  • Imbruno, M. (2019). Importing under trade policy uncertainty: Evidence from China. Journal of Comparative Economics, 47(4), 806–826. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jce.2019.06.004
  • IMF. (2016 October) Subdued demand: Symptoms and remedies. World Economic Outlook.
  • Jia, F., Huang, X. Y., Xu, X. Y., & Sun, H. Y. (2020). The effects of economic policy uncertainty on export: A gravity model approach. Prague Economic Papers, 29(5), 600–622. https://doi.org/10.18267/j.pep.754
  • Jurado, K., Ludvigson, S. C., & Ng, S. (2015). Measuring uncertainty. American Economic Review, 105(3), 1177–1216. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20131193
  • Nguyen, D. X. (2012). Demand uncertainty: Exporting delays and exporting failures. Journal of International Economics, 86(2), 336–344. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2011.10.007
  • Nguyen, Q., Kim, T., & Papanastassiou, M. (2018). Policy uncertainty, derivatives use, and firm-level FDI. Journal of International Business Studies, 49(1), 96–126. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41267-017-0090-z
  • Novy, D., & Taylor, A. M. (2020). Trade and uncertainty. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 102(4), 749–765. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00885
  • Oi, W. (1961). The desirability of price instability under perfect competition. Econometrica, 29(1), 58–64. https://doi.org/10.2307/1907687
  • Ozturk, E. O., & Sheng, X. S. (2018). Measuring global and country-specific uncertainty. Journal of International Money and Finance, 88, 276–295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.07.014
  • Santos Silva, J. M., & Tenreyro, S. (2006). The log of gravity. Review of Economics and Statistics, 88(4), 641–658. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.88.4.641
  • Tam, P. S. (2018). Global trade flows and economic policy uncertainty. Applied Economics, 50(3435), 3718–3734. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2018.1436151