2,027
Views
0
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Articles

Immigration as a thermostat? Public opinion and immigration policy across Western Europe (1980–2017)

ORCID Icon

References

  • Allan, J. P., & Scruggs, L. (2004). Political partisanship and welfare state reform in advanced industrial societies. American Journal of Political Science, 48(3), 496–512. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0092-5853.2004.00083.x
  • Anderson, B., Bo ̈hmelt, T., & Ward, H. (2017). Public opinion and environmental policy output: A cross-national analysis of energy policies in Europe. Environmental Research Letters, 12(11), 114011. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa8f80
  • Arceneaux, K. (2002). Direct democracy and the link between public opinion and state abortion policy. State Politics & Policy Quarterly, 2(4), 372–387. https://doi.org/10.1177/153244000200200403
  • Armingeon, K., Wenger, V., Wiedemeier, F., Isler, C., Kno ̈pfel, L., David, W., & Engler, S. (2018). Comparative Political Data Set 1960-2016.
  • Arzheimer, K. (2009). Contextual factors and the extreme right vote in Western Europe, 1980-2002. American Journal of Political Science, 53(2), 259–275. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2009.00369.x
  • Bartle, J., Bosch, A., & Oriolls, L. (2020). The policy mood in Spain: The thermostat in a warm climate, 19782017. European Political Science Review, 12(2), 133–153. https://doi.org/10.1017/S175577392000003X
  • Bartle, J., Dellepiane-Avellaneda, S., & McGann, A. (2019). Policy accommodation versus electoral turnover: Policy representation in britain, 19452015. Journal of Public Policy, 39(3), 235–265. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0143814X18000090
  • Bartle, J., Dellepiane-Avellaneda, S., & Stimson, J. A. (2011). The moving centre: Preferences for government activity in britain, 19502005. British Journal of Political Science, 41(2), 259–285. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123410000463
  • Beck, N. (2001). Time-series–cross-sectiondata: What have we learned in the past few years? Annual Review of Political Science, 4(1), 271–293. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.polisci.4.1.271
  • Beck, N., & Katz, J. N. (2011). Modeling dynamics in time-SeriesCross-section political economy data. Annual Review of Political Science, 14(1), 331–352. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-071510-103222
  • Bohman, A., & Hjerm, M. (2016). In the wake of radical right electoral success: A cross-country comparative study of anti-immigration attitudes over time. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 42(11), 1729–1747. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183X.2015.1131607
  • Bølstad, J. (2015). Dynamics of European integration: Public opinion in the core and periphery. European Union Politics, 16(1), 23–44. https://doi.org/10.1177/1465116514551303
  • Brooks, C., & Manza, J. (2006). Why do welfare states persist? The Journal of Politics, 68(4), 816–827. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2508.2006.00472.x
  • Brooks, C., & Manza, J. (2008). Why welfare states persist: The importance of public opinion in democracies. University of Chicago Press.
  • Cinalli, M., & Van Hauwaert, S. M. (2021). Contentious politics and congruence across policy and public spheres: The case of muslims in France. Ethnic and Racial Studies, 44(14), 2532–2550. https://doi.org/10.1080/01419870.2020.1831567
  • Claassen, C., & McLaren, L. (2022). Does immigration produce a public backlash or public acceptance? Time-series, cross-sectional evidence from 30 European democ- racies. British Journal of Political Science, 52(3), 1013–1031.https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123421000260
  • Coenders, M., & Scheepers, P. (2008). Changes in resistance to the social integration of foreigners in Germany 1980–2000: Individual and contextual determinants. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 34(1), 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1080/13691830701708809
  • Converse, P. E. (1987). Changing conceptions of public opinion in the political process. Public Opinion Quarterly, 51(Part 2: Supplement: 50th Anniversary Issue), S12–S24. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/51.4_PART_2.S12
  • Dahl, R. A. (1971). Polyarchy: Participation and opposition. Yale University Press.
  • Durr, R. H. (1993). What moves policy sentiment? American Political Science Review, 87(1), 158–170. https://doi.org/10.2307/2938963
  • Eichenberg, R. C., & Stoll, R. (2003). Representing defense. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 47(4), 399–422. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002703254477
  • Eichenberg, R. C., & Stoll, R. J. (2017). The acceptability of war and support for defense spending. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 61(4), 788–813. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002715600760
  • Ellis, C., & Faricy, C. (2011). Social policy and public opinion: How the ideological direction of spending influences public mood. The Journal of Politics, 73(4), 1095–1110. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381611000806
  • Enns, P. K. (2014). The public’s increasing punitiveness and Its influence on mass incarceration in the United States. American Journal of Political Science, 58(4), 857–872. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12098
  • Erikson, R. S., MacKuen, M. B., & Stimson, J. A. (2002). The macro polity. Cambridge University Press.
  • Erikson, R. S., Wright, G. C., & McIver, J. P. (1989). Political parties, public opinion, and state policy in the United States. American Political Science Review, 83(3), 729. https://doi.org/10.2307/1962058
  • Erikson, R. S., Wright, G. C., & McIver, J. P. (1993). Statehouse Democracy: Public Opinion and Policy in the American States. Cambridge University Press.
  • Ezrow, L., Hellwig, T., & Fenzl, M. (2020). Responsiveness, if you can afford It: Policy responsiveness in good and bad economic times. The Journal of Politics, 82(3), 1166–1170. https://doi.org/10.1086/707524
  • Ford, R. (2008). Is racial prejudice declining in britain? The British Journal of Sociology, 59(4), 609–636. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-4446.2008.00212.x
  • Ford, R. (2011). Acceptable and unacceptable immigrants: How opposition to immigration in Britain is affected by migrants' region of origin. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 37(7), 1017–1037. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183X.2011.572423
  • Ford, R., Jennings, W., & Somerville, W. (2015). Public opinion, responsiveness and constraint: Britain’s three immigration policy regimes. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 41(9), 1391–1411. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183X.2015.1021585
  • Franklin, M. N., & Wlezien, C. (1997). The responsive public: issue salience, policy change, and preferences for European unification. Journal of Theoretical Politics, 9(3), 347–363. https://doi.org/10.1177/0951692897009003005
  • Freeman, G. P. (1995). Modes of immigration politics in liberal democratic states. International Migration Review, 29(4), 881–902. https://doi.org/10.1177/019791839502900401
  • Givens, T., & Luedtke, A. (2004). The politics of European union immigration policy: Institutions, salience, and harmonization. Policy Studies Journal, 32(1), 145–165. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0190-292X.2004.00057.x
  • Givens, T., & Luedtke, A. (2005). European immigration policies in comparative perspective: Issue salience, partisanship and immigrant rights. Comparative European Politics, 3(1), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.cep.6110051
  • Grande, E., Schwarzbözl, T., & Fatke, M. (2019). Politicizing immigration in Western Europe. Journal of European Public Policy, 26(10), 1444–1463. https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2018.1531909
  • Green-Pedersen, C., & Otjes, S. (2019). A hot topic? Immigration on the agenda in Western Europe. Party Politics, 25(3), 424–434. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354068817728211
  • Green, J. (2007). When voters and parties agree: Valence issues and party competition. Political Studies, 55(3), 629–655. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9248.2007.00671.x
  • Hainmueller, J., & Hiscox, M. J. (2010). Attitudes toward highly skilled and Low-skilled immigration: Evidence from a survey experiment. American Political Science Review, 104(01), 61–84. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055409990372
  • Hatton, T. J. (2016). Immigration, public opinion and the recession in Europe. Economic Policy, 31(86), 205–246. https://doi.org/10.1093/epolic/eiw004
  • Hatton, T. J. (2021). Public opinion on immigration in Europe: Preference and salience. European Journal of Political Economy, 66, 101969. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2020.101969
  • Heath, A. F., & Richards, L. (2019). Contested boundaries: Consensus and dissensus in European attitudes to immigration. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 46(3), 489–511.https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183X.2018.1550146
  • Hellwig, T., & Samuels, D. (2008). Electoral accountability and the variety of democratic regimes. British Journal of Political Science, 38(1), 65–90. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123408000045
  • Hjerm, M. (2007). Do numbers really count? Group threat theory revisited. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 33(8), 1253–1275. https://doi.org/10.1080/13691830701614056
  • Hutter, S., & Kriesi, H. (2019). Politicizing Europe in times of crisis. Journal of European Public Policy, 26(7), 996–1017. https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2019.1619801
  • Jennings, W. (2009). The public thermostat, political responsiveness and error-correction: Border control and asylum in britain, 1994–2007. British Journal of Political Science, 39(4), 847–870. https://doi.org/10.1017/S000712340900074X
  • Jennings, W., Farrall, S., Gray, E., & Hay, C. (2017). Penal populism and the public thermostat: Crime, public punitiveness, and public policy. Governance, 30(3), 463–481. https://doi.org/10.1111/gove.12214
  • Kessler, A. E., & Freeman, G. P. (2005). Public opinion in the EU on immigration from outside the community. JCMS: Journal of Common Market Studies, 43(4), 825–850. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-5965.2005.00598.x
  • Lahav, G. (2004). Public opinion toward immigration in the European union Comparative Political Studies, 37(10), 1151–1183. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414004269826
  • Lax, J. R., & Phillips, J. H. (2009). Gay rights in the states: Public opinion and policy responsiveness. American Political Science Review, 103(03), 367–386. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055409990050
  • Loftis, M. W., & Mortensen, P. B. (2017). A new approach to the study of partisan effects on social policy. Journal of European Public Policy, 24(6), 890–911.
  • Manin, B. (1995). Principes du gouvernement représentatif. Calmann-Levy.
  • McGann, A. J. (2014). Estimating the political center from aggregate data: An item response theory alternative to the stimson dyad ratios algorithm. Political Analysis, 22(1), 115–129. https://doi.org/10.1093/pan/mpt022
  • Morales, L., Pilet, J.-B., & Ruedin, D. (2015). The Gap between public preferences and policies on immigration: A comparative examination of the effect of politicisation on policy congruence. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 41(9), 1495–1516. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183X.2015.1021598
  • Odmalm, P., & Bale, T. (2015). Immigration into the mainstream: Conflicting ideological streams, strategic reasoning and party competition. Acta Politica, 50(4), 365–378. https://doi.org/10.1057/ap.2014.28
  • Page, B. I., & Shapiro, R. Y. (1992). The rational public: Fifty years of trends in Americans’ policy preferences. University of Chicago Press.
  • Przeworski, A., Stokes, S. C., & Manin, B. (1999). Democracy, accountability, and representation. Cambridge University Press.
  • Rasmussen, A., Carroll, B. J., & Lowery, D. (2014). Representatives of the public? Public opinion and interest group activity. European Journal of Political Research, 53(2), 250–268. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12036
  • Romero-Vidal, X., & Van Hauwaert, S. M. (2022). Polarisation between the rich and the poor? The dynamics and structure of redistributive preferences in a comparative perspective. International Journal of Public Opinion Research, 34(1), 1–19.https://doi.org/10.1093/ijpor/edab015
  • RomeroVidal, X. (2020). Two temperatures for one thermostat: The evolution of policy attitudes and support for independence in catalonia (19912018). Nations and Nationalism, 26(4), 960–978. https://doi.org/10.1111/nana.12559
  • Semyonov, M., Raijman, R., & Gorodzeisky, A. (2006). The rise of anti-foreigner sentiment in European societies, 1988-2000. American Sociological Review, 71(3), 426–449. https://doi.org/10.1177/000312240607100304
  • Sniderman, P. M., Hagendoorn, L., & Prior, M. (2004). Predisposing factors and situational triggers: Exclusionary reactions to immigrant minorities. American Political Science Review, 98(1), 35–49. https://doi.org/10.1017/S000305540400098X
  • Soroka, S. N., & Wlezien, C. (2004). Opinion representation and policy feedback: Canada in comparative perspective. Canadian Journal of Political Science, 37(3), 531–559. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0008423904030860
  • Soroka, S. N., & Wlezien, C. (2005). Opinionpolicy dynamics: Public preferences and public expenditure in the United Kingdom. British Journal of Political Science, 35(04), 665–689. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123405000347
  • Soroka, S. N., & Wlezien, C. (2010). Degrees of democracy: Politics, public opinion, and policy. Cambridge University Press.
  • Statham, P., & Geddes, A. (2006). Elites and the ‘organised public’: Who drives British immigration politics and in which direction? West European Politics, 29(2), 248–269. https://doi.org/10.1080/01402380500512601
  • Stevenson, R. T. (2001). The economy and policy mood: A fundamental dynamic of democratic politics? American Journal of Political Science, 45(3), 620–633. https://doi.org/10.2307/2669242
  • Stimson, J. A. (1991). Public opinion in America: Moods, cycles, and swings. Westview Press.
  • Stimson, J. A. (2018). The dyad ratios algorithm for estimating latent public opinion. Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie Sociologique, 137-138(1), 201–218. https://doi.org/10.1177/0759106318761614
  • Stimson, J. A., MacKuen, M. B., & Erikson, R. S. (1995). Dynamic representation. American Political Science Review, 89(3), 543–565. https://doi.org/10.2307/2082973
  • Stokes, D. (1963). Spatial models of party competition. American Political Science Review, 57(2), 368–377. https://doi.org/10.2307/1952828
  • Van Hauwaert, S. M., & English, P. (2019). Responsiveness and the macro-origins of immigration opinions: Evidence from Belgium, France and the UK. Comparative European Politics, 17(6), 832–859. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41295-018-0130-5
  • Welzel, C. (2013). Freedom rising: Human empowerment and the quest for emancipation. Cambridge University Press.
  • Wlezien, C. (1995). The public as thermostat: Dynamics of preferences for spending. American Journal of Political Science, 39(4), 981–1000. https://doi.org/10.2307/2111666
  • Wlezien, C. (2017). Public opinion and policy representation: On conceptualization, measurement, and interpretation. Policy Studies Journal, 45(4), 561–582. https://doi.org/10.1111/psj.12190
  • Zaller, J. (1992). The nature and origins of mass opinion. Cambridge University Press.