References
- Al-Najjar , N. 2009 . Decision makers as statisticians: diversity, ambiguity, and learning . Econometrica , 77 : 1371 – 401 .
- Blanchflower , D. G. and MacCoille , C. The formation of inflation expectations: an empirical analysis for the UK . NBER Working Paper No. 15388 . Cambridge, MA. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc .
- Bray , M. M. and Savin , N. E. 1986 . Rational expectations equilibria, learning, and model specification . Econometrica , 54 : 1129 – 60 .
- Dominitz , J. 2001 . Estimation of income expectations models using expectations and realizations data . Journal of Econometrics , 102 : 165 – 95 .
- Epstein , L. 2006 . An axiomatic model of non-Bayesian updating . Review of Economic Studies , 73 : 413 – 36 .
- Fourgeaud , C. , Gourieroux , C. and Pradel , J. 1986 . Learning procedures and convergence to rationality . Econometrica , 54 : 845 – 68 .
- Friedman , B. M. 1979 . Interest rate expectations versus forward rates: evidence from and expectations survey . Journal of Finance , 34 : 965 – 73 .
- Friedman , B. M. 1980 . Survey evidence on the ‘rationality’ of interest rate expectations . Journal of Monetary Economics , 6 : 453 – 65 .
- Grandmont , J.-M. 1998 . Expectations formation and stability of large socioeconomic systems . Econometrica , 66 : 741 – 81 .
- Ito , T. 1990 . Foreign exchange rate expectations: micro survey data . The American Economic Review , 80 : 434 – 49 .
- Mankiw , N. G. and Wolfers , J. 2004 . “ Disagreement about inflation expectations, NBER Chapters ” . In NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003 , Edited by: Gertler , M. and Rogoff , K. 209 – 70 . Cambridge, MA : The MIT Press .
- Manski , C. 2004 . Measuring expectations . Econometrica , 72 : 1329 – 76 .
- Manski , C. F. and Molinari , F. 2009 . Rounding probabilistic expectations in surveys . Journal of Business and Economic Statistics , 28 : 219 – 31 .