References
- Attinasi, M.-G., C. Checherita-Westphal, and C. Nickel. 2009. “What Explains the Surge in Euro Area Sovereign Spreads during the Financial Crisis of 2007-09?” ECB Working Paper Series 1131, Frankfurt: European Central Bank.
- Baker, S., N. Bloom, and S. Davis. 2015. “Measuring Economic Policy UnCertainty.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4): 1593–1636. https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjw024
- Berg, J. E., and T. A. Rietz. 2003. “Prediction Markets as Decision Support Systems.” Information Systems Frontiers 5 (1): 79–93. doi:10.1023/A:1022002107255.
- Bloom, N. 2009. “The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks.” Econometrica 77 (3): 623–685. doi:10.3982/ECTA6248.
- Bloom, N. 2014. “Fluctuations in Uncertainty.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 28 (2): 153–176. doi:10.1257/jep.28.2.153.
- Costantini, M., M. Fragetta, and G. Melina. 2014. “Determinants of Sovereign Bond Yield Spreads in the Emu: An Optimal Currency Area Perspective.” European Economic Review 70: 337–349. doi:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.06.004.
- Coulomb, R., and M. Sangnier. 2014. “The Impact of Political Majorities on Firm Value: Do Electoral Promises or Friendship Connections Matter?” Journal of Public Economics 115 (C): 158–170. doi:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2014.05.001.
- Croce, M. M., H. Kung, T. T. Nguyen, and L. Schmid. 2012. “Fiscal Policies and Asset Prices.” The Review of Financial Studies 25 (9): 2635–2672. doi:10.1093/rfs/hhs060.
- Durbin, J. 1970. “Testing for Serial Correlation in Least-Squares Regression When Some of the Regressors are Lagged Dependent Variables.” Econometrica 38 (3): 410–421. doi:10.2307/1909547.
- Fernández-Villaverde, J., P. Guerrón-Quintana, K. Kuester, and J. Rubio-Ramírez. 2015. “Fiscal Volatility Shocks and Economic Activity.” American Economic Review 105 (11): 3352–3384. doi:10.1257/aer.20121236.
- Guiso, L., H. Herrera, and M. Morelli. 2017. “Demand and Supply of Pop- Ulism.” CEPR Working Paper 11871, Centre for Economic Policy Research, London.
- Istrefi, K., and A. Piloiu. 2014. “Economic Policy Uncertainty and Inflation Expectations.” Working paper, Paris: Banque de France.
- NYT. 2017. “Franc¸Ois Fillon, French Presidential Candidate, Is Charged with Embez- Zlement.” The New York Times.
- Rodrik, D. 2017. “Populism and the Economics of Globalization.” NBER Working Paper 23559, National Cambridge: Bureau of Economic Research.
- Wolfers, J., and E. Zitzewitz. 2004. “Prediction Markets.” The Journal of Economic Perspectives 18 (2), 107–126.
- Wolfers, J., and E. Zitzewitz. 2006. “Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities.” NBER Working Paper 12200, National Bureau of Economic Research.