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Applied Economics Letters Volume 28, 2021 - Issue 16
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Research Article

Oil price forecasts and security analysts: evidence from the oil industry

Huabing WangEngler College of Business, West Texas A&M University, Canyon, TX, USACorrespondence[email protected]
&
Anne MacyEngler College of Business, West Texas A&M University, Canyon, TX, USA
Pages 1407-1412 | Published online: 14 Sep 2020

References

  • Baumeister, C., and L. Kilian. 2015. “Forecasting the Real Price of Oil in A Changing World: A Forecast Combination Approach.” Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 33 (3): 338–351. doi:10.1080/07350015.2014.949342.
  • Baumeister, C., and L. Kilian. 2016. “Forty Years of Oil Price Fluctuations: Why the Price of Oil May Still Surprise Us.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 30 (1): 139–160. doi:10.1257/jep.30.1.139.
  • Bernard, J. T., L. Khalaf, M. Kichian, and C. Yelou. 2018. “Oil Price Forecasts for the Long Term: Expert Outlooks, Models, or Both.” Macroeconomic Dynamics 22: 581–599. doi:10.1017/S1365100516001279.
  • EIA. 2018. Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) Retrospective Review: Evaluation of AEO2018 and Previous Reference Case Projections. Washington, DC. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/retrospective/pdf/retrospective.pdf
  • Fischer, C., E. Herrnstadt, and R. Morgenstern. 2009. “Understanding Errors in EIA Projections of Energy Demand.” Resource and Energy Economics 31: 198–209. doi:10.1016/j.reseneeco.2009.04.003.
  • Jin, Y., and P. Jorion. 2006. “Firm Value and Hedging: Evidence from U.S. Oil and Gas Producers.” Journal of Finance 61 (2): 893–919. doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00858.x.
  • Mihaylov, G., C. S. Cheong, and R. Zurbruegg. 2015. “Can Security Analyst Forecasts Predict Gold Returns?” International Review of Financial Analysis 41: 237–246. doi:10.1016/j.irfa.2015.03.012.
  • Sadorsky, P. 2008. “The Oil Price Exposure of Global Oil Companies.” Applied Financial Economics Letters 4 (2): 93–96. doi:10.1080/17446540701537764.

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