Identification and evaluation of risk factors related to provincial food insecurity in China

References

• Amaza, Paul S., and J. K. Olayemi. 2002. “Analysis of Technical Inefficiency in Food Crop Production in Gombe State, Nigeria.” Applied Economics Letters 9 (1): 51–54.10.1080/13504850110048523
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chen, Baiming. 2002. “On the Comprehensive Productive Capacity and Food Security of Future Agricultural Resources in China.” Geographical Research 21 (3): 294–304. (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Chen, Jie. 2007. “Rapid Urbanization in China: A Real Challenge to Soil Protection and Food Security.” Catena 69 (1): 1–15. doi:10.1016/j.catena.2006.04.019.10.1016/j.catena.2006.04.019
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chen, Jie, and Tianyuan Yuan. 2007. “Function and Influence Factors on Grain Production in China.” Journal of Shanxi Agricultural University (Social Science Edition) 6 (4): 392–395. (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Deng, J. L. 1989. “Introduction to Grey System Theory.” The Journal of Grey System 1 (1): 1–24.
   Google Scholar
• Deng, J. L. 2005. The Primary Methods of Grey System Theory. 2nd ed. Grey System Theory Series Books, Wuhan: Huazhong University of Science and Technology Press. (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Deng, Xiangzheng, Jikun Huang, Scott Rozelle, and Emi Uchida. 2006. “Cultivated Land Conversion and Potential Agricultural Productivity in China.” Land Use Policy 23 (4): 372–384. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2005.07.003.10.1016/j.landusepol.2005.07.003
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Dirksen, J., J. A. ten Veldhuis, and R. P. Schilperoort. 2009. “Fault Tree Analysis for Data-loss in Long-term Monitoring Networks.” Water Science and Technology 60 (4): 909–915. doi:10.2166/wst.2009.427.10.2166/wst.2009.427
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Du, Lijuan, Changshun Liu, Jianhua Qiao, and Xian Chen. 2006. “The Change of Effectively Irrigated Land Area in China during the Past 20 Years.” Resources Science 28 (2): 8–12. (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Ericksen, Polly J., John S. I. Ingram, and Diana M. Liverman. 2009. “Food Security and Global Environmental Change: Emerging Challenges.” Environmental Science & Policy 12 (4): 373–377. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2009.04.007.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• FAO. 2003. Trade and Food Security: Conceptualizing the Linkages. Rome: Economic and Social Development Department of FAO.
   Google Scholar
• FAO. 2008. “Hunger on the Rise.” Accessed September 4, 2011. http://www.fao.org/newsroom/EN/news/2008/1000923/index.html.
   Google Scholar
• FAO. 2012. “FAO Statistical Yearbook 2012.” Accessed May 17. http://www.fao.org/docrep/015/i2490e/i2490e00.htm.
   Google Scholar
• Felloni, F., J. Gilbert, T. I. Wahl, and P. Wandschneider. 2003. “Trade Policy, Biotechnology and Grain Self-sufficiency in China.” Agricultural Economics 28 (3): 173–186.10.1111/agec.2003.28.issue-3
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ferdous, R., F. Khan, R. Sadiq, P. Amyotte, and B. Veitch. 2011. “Fault and Event Tree Analyses for Process Systems Risk Analysis: Uncertainty Handling Formulations.” Risk Analysis 31 (1): 86–107. doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01475.x.10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01475.x
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Flage, R., P. Baraldi, E. Zio, and T. Aven. 2012. “Probability and Possibility-based Representations of Uncertainty in Fault Tree Analysis.” Risk Analysis 33 (1): 121–133. doi:10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01873.x.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Fumin, R., B. Gleason, and D. Easterling. 2002. “Typhoon Impacts on China’s Precipitation during 1957–1996.” Advances in Atmospheric Sciences 19 (5): 943–952.10.1007/s00376-002-0057-1
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Gan, Xiaoze. 2004. “Effects of Biological Invasion on China’s Agriculture.” Agro-environment and Development 21 (3): 34–36.
   Google Scholar
• Gose, Vincent, and A. E. Eiben. 2010. “Evolution of a Risk Coefficient in Artificial Societies.” In Evolutionary Computation (CEC), 2010 IEEE Congress, Barcelona.
   Google Scholar
• Herbeck, Lucia S., Daniela Unger, Uwe Krumme, Su Mei Liu, and Tim C. Jennerjahn. 2011. “Typhoon-induced Precipitation Impact on Nutrient and Suspended Matter Dynamics of a Tropical Estuary Affected by Human Activities in Hainan, China.” Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 93 (4): 375–388. doi:10.1016/j.ecss.2011.05.004.10.1016/j.ecss.2011.05.004
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Huang, Lihui, and Qun Huang. 2005. “Problem of Grain Security and Their Countermeasures in China.” Cereal and Food Industry 5: 1–5. (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Immerzeel, W. W., L. P. H. van Beek, and M. F. P. Bierkens. 2010. “Climate Change will Affect the Asian Water Towers.” Science 328 (5984): 1382–1385.10.1126/science.1183188
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Javadi, M. S., A. Nobakht, and A. Meskarbashee. 2011. “Fault Tree Analysis Approach in Reliability Assessment of Power System.” International Journal of Multidisciplinary Sciences and Engineering 2 (6): 46–50.
   Google Scholar
• Ju, X. T., G. X. Xing, X. P. Chen, S. L. Zhang, L. J. Zhang, X. J. Liu, Z. L. Cui, et al. 2009. “Reducing Environmental Risk by Improving N Management in Intensive Chinese Agricultural Systems.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 106 (9): 3041–3046. doi:10.1073/pnas.0813417106.10.1073/pnas.0813417106
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kayacan, Erdal, Baris Ulutas, and Okyay Kaynak. 2010. “Grey System Theory-based Models in Time Series Prediction.” Expert Systems with Applications 37 (2): 1784–1789. doi:10.1016/j.eswa.2009.07.064.10.1016/j.eswa.2009.07.064
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Kellerer, A. M., L. Walsh, and E. A. Nekolla. 2002. “Risk Coefficient for γ-rays with Regard to Solid Cancer.” Radiation and Environmental Biophysics 41 (2): 113–123.10.1007/s00411-002-0154-7
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Khan, Shahbaz, Munir A. Hanjra, and Mu Jianxin. 2009. “Water Management and Crop Production for Food Security in China: A Review.” Agricultural Water Management 96 (3): 349–360. doi:10.1016/j.agwat.2008.09.022.10.1016/j.agwat.2008.09.022
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Li, Ruiying, Maosong Li, Xiaobing Wang, Xiangmei Jiang, and Xuefeng Wang. 2006. “Impact of Typhoon on Agriculture and Its Preventive Strategies in China.” Journal of Natural Disasters 15 (6): 127–130.
   Google Scholar
• Lin, Y., and S. Liu. 2004. “A Historical Introduction to Grey Systems Theory.” Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2004 IEEE International Conference, Hague.
   Google Scholar
• Liu, J., and J. Diamond. 2005. “China’s Environment in a Globalizing World.” Nature 435 (7046): 1179–1186.10.1038/4351179a
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Liu, Zhong, and Baoguo Li. 2012. “Spatial Distribution of China Grain Output Based on Land Use and Population Density.” Transactions of the CSAE 28 (9): 1–8. (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Liu, S. F., Y. G. Dang, and Z. G. Fang. 2004. Grey Information: Theory and Practical Applications. 3rd ed. Beijing: Science Press. (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Liu, Sifeng, Jeffrey Forrest, and Yingjie Yang. 2012. “A Brief Introduction to Grey Systems Theory.” Grey Systems: Theory and Application 2 (2): 89–104.
   Google Scholar
• Ma, Shuqing, and Qi Wang. 2010. “Connotation, Evaluation Indices, Methods and Safeguard Measures for Regional Grain Security.” Resources Science 32 (1): 35–41. (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Melchior, P., B. Orsoni, O. Lavialle, A. Poty, and A. Oustaloup. 2003. “Consideration of Obstacle Danger Level in Path Planning Using and Fast-marching Optimisation: Comparative Study.” Signal Processing 83 (11): 2387–2396. doi:10.1016/s0165-1684(03)00191-9.10.1016/S0165-1684(03)00191-9
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mu, Jianxin, and Shahbaz Khan. 2009. “The Effect of Climate Change on the Water and Food Nexus in China.” Food Security 1 (4): 413–430. doi:10.1007/s12571-009-0042-y.10.1007/s12571-009-0042-y
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• NBSC. 2012. China Statistical Yearbook 1987–2012. Beijing: National Bureau of Statistics of China.
   Google Scholar
• Nighot, R. U. 2003. Incorporating Substation and Switching Station Related Outages in Composite System Reliability Evaluation. Saskatoon: University of Saskatchewan.
   Google Scholar
• OECD. 1999. Agriculture in China and OECD Countries. Paris: OECD.
   Google Scholar
• Qi, X., L. Liu, Y. Liu, and L. Yao. 2013. “Risk Assessment for Sustainable Food Security in China according to Integrated Food Security-taking Dongting Lake Area for Example.” Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 185 (6): 4855–4867. doi:10.1007/s10661-012-2908-2.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• RSES. 2012. China Rural Statistical Yearbook 1987–2012. Beijing: China Statistics Press.
   Google Scholar
• Simelton, Elisabeth. 2011. “Food Self-sufficiency and Natural Hazards in China.” Food Security 3 (1): 35–52. doi:10.1007/s12571-011-0114-7.10.1007/s12571-011-0114-7
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Song, Wei, Baiming Chen, and Xiwei Chen. 2007. “Modeling Farm Household’s Grain Production Function in Economically Developed Coastal Areas of Southeast China.” Resources Science 29 (6): 206–211 . (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Sun, Shun Qiang, and Gui Ying Zhu. 2012. “Quantitative Assessment of the Impact of China’s Direct Grain Subsidies on Grain Yield – Based on the Empirical Analysis of Panel Data Pertaining to 29 Provinces in the Period 2004–2007.” Asian Agricultural Research 4 (4): 34–36.
   Google Scholar
• Tao, Fulu, Masayuki Yokozawa, Jiyuan Liu, and Zhao Zhang. 2008. “Climate Change, Land Use Change, and China’s Food Security in the Twenty-first Century: An Integrated Perspective.” Climatic Change 93 (3–4): 433–445. doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9491-0.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Tong, Chengli, Charles A. S. Hall, and Hongqing Wang. 2003. “Land Use Change in Rice, Wheat and Maize Production in China (1961–1998).” Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 95 (2–3): 523–536. doi:10.1016/s0167-8809(02)00182-2.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vitousek, P. M., R. Naylor, T. Crews, M. B. David, L. E. Drinkwater, E. Holland, P. J. Johnes, et al. 2009. “Agriculture. Nutrient Imbalances in Agricultural Development.” Science 324 (5934): 1519–1520. doi:10.1126/science.1170261.10.1126/science.1170261
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wang, Jintian. 2010. “Food Security, Food Prices and Climate Change in China: A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis.” Agriculture and Agricultural Science Procedia 1: 321–324. doi:10.1016/j.aaspro.2010.09.040.10.1016/j.aaspro.2010.09.040
   Google Scholar
• Wang, Jinxia, Robert Mendelsohn, Ariel Dinar, Jikun Huang, Scott Rozelle, and Lijuan Zhang. 2009. “The Impact of Climate Change on China’s Agriculture.” Agricultural Economics 40 (3): 323–337. doi:10.1111/j.1574-0862.2009.00379.x.10.1111/agec.2009.40.issue-3
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wang, Shutao, Xinwang Li, Mingxin Men, and Xu Hao. 2011. “Study on the Influencing Factors of Grain Production in Hebei Province Based on Gray Correlation Degree Method.” Scientia Agricultura Sinica 44 (1): 176–184. (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Weber, E. U., S. Shafir, and A. R. Blais. 2004. “Predicting Risk Sensitivity in Humans and Lower Animals: Risk as Variance or Coefficient of Variation.” Psychological Review 111 (2): 430–45. doi:10.1037/0033-295X.111.2.430.10.1037/0033-295X.111.2.430
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Wei, G., and W. Yi. 2008. “Grey Relational Analysis Method for Multiple Attribute Decision Making with Incomplete Weight Information in Intuitionistic Fuzzy Setting.” Control and Decision Conference, Yantai.
   Google Scholar
• Wu, Pute, and Xining Zhao. 2010. “Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Water Use and Grain Production in China.” Transactions of the CSAE 26 (2): 1–6 . (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Yan, Huimin, Jiyuan Liu, He Qing Huang, Bo Tao, and Mingkui Cao. 2009. “Assessing the Consequence of Land Use Change on Agricultural Productivity in China.” Global and Planetary Change 67 (1–2): 13–19. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.12.012.10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.12.012
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ye, Liming, and Eric Van Ranst. 2009. “Production Scenarios and the Effect of Soil Degradation on Long-term Food Security in China.” Global Environmental Change 19 (4): 464–481. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.06.002.10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.06.002
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Yu, Cuiling, and Zhongchao Feng. 2006. “Analysis on Fluctuation and Influence Factors of Grain Production in China.” Research of Agricultural Modernization 27 (1): 7–10 . (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Zhang, Qing. 2005. “The Goal of China Grain Self-sufficient Rate 95%.” Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin 21 (10): 421–424 . (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Zhang, Yan. 2008. “China Seeks a Balance between Food Security and the Urbanization.” Embassy of the People’s Republic of China in the United States of America. Accessed December 18. http://www.china-embassy.org/eng/zt/t516240.htm.
   Google Scholar
• Zhao, R. F., X. P. Chen, F. S. Zhang, H. Zhang, J. Schroder, and V. Römheld. 2006. “Fertilization and Nitrogen Balance in a Wheat–Maize Rotation System in North China.” Agronomy Journal 98 (4): 938–945.10.2134/agronj2005.0157
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Zhong, Laiyuan, Liming Liu, Xing Wang, and Yabin Liu. 2010. “Early Warning Index System of Regional Integrated Food Security and Risk.” Transactions of the CSAE 26 (3): 374–379 . (in Chinese).
   Google Scholar
• Zhu, Z. L., and D. L. Chen. 2002. “Nitrogen Fertilizer Use in China-contributions to Food Production, Impacts on the Environment and Best Management Strategies.” Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems 63 (2): 117–127.10.1023/A:1021107026067
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar