References
- Al Alam TV, 2015. IRGC Deputy Commander Hossein Salami Threatens Retaliation against Israel, says: collapse of Israel more important than nuclear issue [online], MEMRI, 25 Jan. Available from: http://www.memritv.org/clip/en/4749.htm [ Accessed 30 Jan 2015].
- Aman Bekenes Modiin Hasadeh al 40 Shana Lemilkhemet Yom Hakipurim [AMAN held its Field Intelligence Conference to Commemorate Forty Years since the Yom Kippur War], 2014. Roim, 24 Jan [ in Hebrew].
- Aman Mehadek Hamimshak Im Hacohot Hamibzaim shel Klall Zahal [AMAN intensifies coordination with operational forces in the IDF], 2011. Roim Olam, 4 Apr [ in Hebrew].
- Amidror, J., 2003. Operational options or rationale. Maarachot, 388 (Apr), 4–8 [in Hebrew].
- Amidror, J., 2004. Mahaluma Keparadigma Cognetivit shel Affectims [A blow as cognitive paradigm with effects]. Maarachot, 403–404 (Dec) [in Hebrew].
- Amidror, J., 2006a. The art of intelligence. Tel-Aviv: Ministry of Defense Publication.
- Amidror, J., 2006b. Haim Zava Yakhol Lehakhria Terror [Can an army defeat terrorism?]. Maarachot, 408 (Aug) [in Hebrew].
- Arbitman, S., 2013. In the Beginning Habircaym kezat Roadot Veroad Hcol [In the beginning the knees are shaking a little bit and everything is shaking]. Israel Hayom [online], 25 Oct. Available from: http://www.israelhayom.co.il/article/126775 [ Accessed 30 Jan 2015].
- Ashkenazi, G., 2011. IDF chief of general staff addressing the Herzliya Conference 2011. You Tube [online], 7 Feb. Available from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AAAyzLHPIp4 [ Accessed 30 Jan 2015].
- Aviad, G., 2009. Hezbollah’s force buildup of 2006–2009: foundations and future trends. Military and strategic affairs [online], 1 (3). Available from: http://d26e8pvoto2x3r.cloudfront.net/uploadimages/Import/(FILE)1269344472.pdf [ Accessed 30 Jan 2015].
- Bar Lev, O., 2014. Speech in INSS’ conference on lessons of operation protective edge. 30 Sep [in Hebrew].
- Bar Yosef, U., 2011. An American failure and an Israeli success. Modiin Mabat, 59 (Apr).
- Bar Yosef, U., 2014. Haraketa Beyahud Ze Hasipur. Haaretz [online], 8 (Aug). Available from: http://www.haaretz.co.il/opinions/.premium-1.2400074 [ Accessed 25 Feb 2015] [ in Hebrew].
- Barel, Z., 2010. The missiles are coming. Haaretz [online], 9 May. Available from: http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/opinion/the-missiles-are-coming-1.289149 [ Accessed 30 Jan 2015].
- Bar-Joseph U. and Levy, J., 2009. Conscious action and intelligence failure. Political science quarterly, 124 (3), 461–488.
- Barnard, A., Gordon M.R., and Rudoren J., 2013. Israel targeted Iranian missiles in Syria attack. New York Times [online], 4 May. Available from: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/05/world/middleeast/israel-syria.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0 [ Accessed 25 Feb 2015].
- Ben Israel, I., 2013. Israel’s military doctrine. Tel Aviv: Modan [ in Hebrew].
- Ben Yishai, R., 2014. IDF-Shin Bet relations: from partners to bitter rivals. Ynetnews [online], 13 Nov. Available from: http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4591598,00.html [Accessed 25 Feb 2015] [in Hebrew].
- Brom, S. and Stein, S., 2011. Israel and its strategic environment: opportunities for political initiative. INSS Insight, 283, 26 Sep.
- Brun, I., 2011. Israel strategic environment. Annual Yariv Memorial Conference State of the Nation-2011. You Tube [online], 17 Nov. Available from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_4WbklJDJsk [Accessed 25 Feb 2015].
- Brun, I., 2013. The Middle East in an era of turmoil and change in the nature of war. The 6th annual international conference: security challenges of the 21st century creative ideas for Israel’s challenging strategic environment, INSS. You Tube, 23 Apr.
- Brun, I., 2014a. Middle East Intelligence Assessment. The 14th Annual Herzliya Conference [online], 6 Jun. Available from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXIk-VkOq-g [ Accessed 25 Feb 2015].
- Brun, I., 2014b. Early warning exists, but is challenged. Israel Defence [online], 8 Sep. Available from: http://www.israeldefense.com/?CategoryID=484&ArticleID=3108 [ Accessed 25 Feb 2015].
- Brynjar, L., 2008. Architect of global Jihad. The life of Al-Qaida Strategist Abu Mus’ab al-Suri. New York: Columbia University Press.
- Buhbut, A., 2013. Roim Rehok: Hazaza Layehida Shemebita Melemala al Iran. Walla News [online], 5 Apr. Available from: http://news.walla.co.il/item/2630624 [ Accessed 25 Feb 2015].
- Byman, D., 2011. Israel’s pessimistic view of the Arab spring. Washington quarterly, 34 (3), 1–14.
- Byman, D., 2013. Israel’s three gambles. Can Israel get away with its attacks on the Syrian Regime. Foreign Policy, 7 May.
- Calvert, P., 2010. Terrorism, civil war and revolution. New York: Continuum.
- Castells, M., Fernandez-Ardevol, M., Qiu, J.L., and Araaba, S., 2007. Mobile communication and society. A global perspective. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.
- Channel 2, 2013. The commander of the IDF’s southern command: no alternative to Hamas rule in the Gaza strip, 24 Sep.
- Channel 10, 2015. The World is near to closing a nuclear deal with Iran [online], 28 Feb. Available from: http://news.nana10.co.il/Article/?ArticleId=1112566&sid=126 [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015].
- Clapper, R.J., 2015. Director of national intelligence. Statement for the record worldwide threat assessment of the US Intelligence Community [online]. Senate Armed Services Committee, 26 Feb. Available from: http://www.dni.gov/files/documents/Unclassified_2015_ATA_SFR_SASC_FINAL.pdf [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015].
- Daniel, R., 2012. Zfu, kah Poel Hamodiin Hayisraely. Channel 2, 3 May [in Hebrew].
- Dvorin, N., 2011. Kizad Nearakhim Lesof Mishtar Assad. Channel 2, 24 Oct.
- Eliav, R. and Urich, J., 2012. Head of Intelligence: 200,000 enemy missiles can target Israel. 12th Annual Herzliya Conference. IDF Blog [online], 2 Feb. Available from: http://www.idf.il/1283-14745-en/Dover.aspx [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015].
- France 24, 2015. What consequences after Israeli airstrike targeting Hezbollah and Iranian officers in Golan Heights. You Tube [online], 20 Jan. Available from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EcCjfH2uitA [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015].
- Frenkel, S. and Fletcher, M., 2013. Israeli airstrike destroys Syrian convoy taking hi-tech weapons to Hezbollah. Times [online], 31 Jan. Available from: http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/world/middleeast/article3673459.ece [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015].
- Gantz, B., 2013. The IDF security concept. 6th Annual international conference: security challenges of the 21st century creative ideas for Israel’s challenging strategic environment, INSS. You Tube [online], 23 Apr. Available from: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xjc5M7aAbA0 [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015].
- Gantz, B., 2014. Keness Lezikhro shel rav Aluf Bemiluim Amnon Lipkin Shakhak. IDC Herzliya [online], 10 Feb. Available from: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BOECgcMkMeM [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015] [in Hebrew].
- Gerges, A.F., 2014. The New Middle East: protest and revolution in the Arab World. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
- Gilad, A., 2012. Israel security challenges. AIPAC 2012. You Tube [online], 8 May. Available from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G_XjeMsUzpQ [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015].
- Gilad, A., 2013. ICT's 12th Annual International Conference. You Tube [online], 1 Dec. Available from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BckXJBD0Ffo> [ Accessed 30 June 2015].
- Gilboa, A., 1983. Intelligence assessments – Why they do not always fail. Maarahot ( Nov), 251–257 [in Hebrew].
- Gilboa, A., 2013. Mr. Intelligence – Ahrale. Tel Aviv: Mishal yedioth Ahronoth [in Hebrew].
- Glickman, A., 2011. Meir Dagan Nizcar Besayeret Rimon: Haragnu Assarot Rabot. Ynet News, 8 Nov.
- Gunaratnaa, R. and Oreg, A., 2012. Al Qaeda’s organizational structure and its evolution. Studies in conflict and terrorism, 33 (12), 1043–1078.
- Hacohen, G., 2010. Creating the relevant response to the threat: between the technical and the adaptive response. Military and strategic affairs [online], 2 (1). Available from: http://www.inss.org.il/uploadImages/systemFiles/MASA%202-1Eng%20(5)Hacohen.pdf [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015].
- Hall, J., 2014. The ISIS family tree: Sinister and organised network that begins with the caliph and continues with a rigid chain of command down to foot soldiers. Daily Mail, 19 Sep.
- Harel, A. and Cohen, G., 2014. Reports: Israeli planes attack Hezbollah targets on Lebanon–Syria border. Haaretz [online], 24 Feb. Available from: http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/.premium-1.576210 [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015].
- Harel, A. and Issacharoff, A., 2011. Warning: more shake-ups ahead. Haaretz [online], 16 Dec. Available from: http://www.haaretz.com/misc/article-print-page/harel-and-issacharoff-warning-more-shake-ups-ahead1.401763?trailingPath=2.169%2C2.212%2C2.215%2C/ [ Accessed 28 Feb 2015].
- Harkabi, Y., 1990. War and strategy. Tel Aviv: Ministry of Defence [ in Hebrew].
- Herbert, M., 2013. The motley of intelligence analysis: getting over the idea of a professional model. International journal of intelligence and counterintelligence, 26 (4), 652–665.
- Herrington, A.S., 1987. Silence was a weapon: the Vietnam war in the villages. New York: Random House.
- Heuer, J.R. and Pherson, R.H., 2011. Structured analytic techniques for intelligence analysis. Washington, DC: Sage.
- I24News, 2015. Hassan Nasrallah admits presence of Hezbollah in Iraq. You Tube [online], 17 Feb. Available from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUOltqGL72U [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- IDF Blog, 2013. Hamas attacks soldiers as IDF destroys two Gaza terror tunnels [online], 1 Nov. Available from: http://www.idfblog.com/blog/2013/11/01/hamas-attacks-soldiers-idf-destroys-two-gaza-terror-tunnels/ [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- IDF Blog, 2014a. Intelligence [online]. Available from: http://www.idfblog.com/about-the-idf/idfunits/intelligence/ [ Accessed 22 Nov 2014].
- IDF Blog, 2014b. Soldiers unveil terror tunnel in Gaza once again [online], 21 Mar. Available from: http://www.idfblog.com/blog/2014/03/21/idf-soldiers-unveil-terror-tunnel-gaza-2/ [ Accessed 22 Nov 2014].
- IDF Blog, 2015. Rocket attacks on Israel from Gaza [online]. Available from: http://www.idfblog.com/facts-figures/rocket-attacks-toward-israel/> [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Intelligence and Information Centre (ITIC), 2012. Hezbollah: portrait of a terrorist organization [online], 18 Dec. Available from: http://www.terrorism-info.org.il/Data/articles/Art_20436/E_158_12_1231723028.pdf [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Israel Hayom, 2014. Officials: IDF, Shin Bet feud resolved [online], 16 Nov. Available from: http://www.israelhayom.com/site/newsletter_article.php?id=21491 [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Israel Security Agency, 2014. 2013 Annual summary [online]. Available from: http://www.shabak.gov.il/English/EnTerrorData/Reports/Pages/2013AnnualSummary.aspx [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- ITIC, 2014a. Hezbollah’s involvement in the civil war in Syria, 10 Apr.
- ITIC, 2014b. ISIS: portrait of a Jihadi Terrorist Organization, 26 Nov.
- Jarvis, R., 1977. Perception and misperception in international politics. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
- Jones, C. and Milton-Edwards, B., 2013. Missing the “devils” we knew? Israel and political Islam amid the Arab Awakening. International affairs, 89 (2), 399–415.
- Jones, G.J., 2014. A Persistent Threat. The Evolution of al Qa’ida and other Salafi Jihadists. Rand [online]. Available from: www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research.../RAND_RR637.pdf [ Accessed 30 June 2015].
- Kam, E., 2004. Surprise attack. The victim’s perspective. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
- Kam, E., 2014. The rise of the Islamic State: the strategic surprise. INSS Insight, 615, 13 Oct.
- Kaspit, B., 2014. Hacohavim shel Zedeq Aitan: Kakh Pizhu Hatankim at Tashtit Hateror shel Hamas. Maariv [online], 25 Aug. Available from: http://www.maariv.co.il/news/new.aspx?pn6Vq=E&0r9VQ=GEDGI [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Kloner, A. and Tepper, Y., 1987. Maarachot Hamistor, Besphelat Yehuda. Tel Aviv: Hakibbutz Hameuchad [ in Hebrew].
- Kochavi, A., 2014. Strategic, operational and intelligence challenges. The 7th Annual INSS International Conference – 2014. You Tube [online], 27 Jan. Available from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j0oBCuax6Zw [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Kulick, A., 2009. Lebanon light: lessons from the Operation in Gaza and the next round against Hezbollah. Military and strategic affairs, 1 (1), 51–66.
- Kuperwasser, Y., 2007. Lessons from Israel’s intelligence reforms. The Saban Center at the Brookings Institution. Analysis Paper [online], 14 (Oct). Available from: http://www.brookings.edu/~/media/research/files/papers/2007/10/intelligence%20kuperwasser/10_intelligence_kuperwasser.pdf [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Lanir, Z., 1983. Fundamental surprise. The national intelligence crisis. Tel Aviv: Tel Aviv University Press [ in Hebrew].
- Lehars, L., 2013. The Israeli discourse regarding the Arab Spring. In: N. Goren and J. Yudkevichpp, eds. Israel and the Arab Spring: opportunities in change. MITVIM, 8–25.
- Letaltel at Hamodin [Shaking the Intelligence], 2014. Roim, 24 (Mar).
- Lis, J., 2011. New IDF intelligence chief failed to predict Egypt uprising. Haaretz [online], 30 Jan. Available from: http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/news/new-idfintelligence-chief-failed-to-predict-egypt-uprising-1.340062 [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Ma’oz, M., 2013. Political Islam and the Arab Spring. In: N. Goren and J. Yudkevichpp, eds. Israel and the Arab Spring: opportunities in change. MITVIM, 42–51.
- Mahon, T. and Gillogly, J.J., 2008. Decoding the IRA. Crok: Mercier Press.
- Manar TV, 2014. Deputy Iranian chief of staff Brig.-Gen. Mostafa Izadi Threatens “A Decisive Blow” in response to Quneitra Attack. MEMRI, 22 Jan.
- Mangold, T. and Penycate, J., 2005. The Tunnels of Cu Chi. New York: Ballantine Books.
- Mao, Tse-Tung, 1966. Selected military writings of Mao Tse-Tung. Peking: Foreign Press.
- Martell, L., 2010. The sociology of globalization. Cambridge: Polity Press.
- McAdam, D., Tarrow, S., and Tilly, C., 2001. Dynamics of contention. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.10.1017/CBO9780511805431
- McKenzie, A., 2011. New wars fought amongst the people: transformed by old realities. Defence studies, 11 (), 569–593.
- Medina, C.A., 2008. The new analysis. In: R.Z. George and J.B. Bruce, eds. Analyzing intelligence origins obstacles and innovations. Washington, DC: Georgetown University Press, 238–248.
- Meranda, A., 2010. IDF: Syria offers Hezbollah greater support than ever. YNET News, 3 Feb.
- Miller, M.T., 1977. Differences between guerrilla and regular warfare. In: W. Laqueur, ed. The guerrilla reader. A historical anthology. Philadelphia, PA: Temple University Press.
- Miller, H.B., 2014. U.S. strategic intelligence forecasting and the perils of prediction. Journal of intelligence and counterintelligence, 27 (4), 687–701.
- Newman, E., 2004. The new wars debate: a historical perspective is needed. Security dialogue, 35 (2), 173–189.
- Newman, E., 2014. Understanding civil was. Continuity and change in intrastate conflict. London: Routledge.
- Nicks, D., 2014. CIA says ISIS ranks may have tripled. Time [online], 12 Sep. Available from: http://time.com/3340662/cia-isis-isil/ [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Okin, J.R., 2005. The Internet revolution: the not-for-dummies guide to the history, technology, and use of the Internet. Winter Harbor, MN: Ionbond Press.
- Pellerin, C., 2012. DIA five-year plan updates strategic warning mission. American Forces Press Service, 18 Jul.
- Porat, R., Eshel, H., and Frumkin, A., 2009. The caves of the spear: refuge caves from the Bar-Kokhba Revolt North of En-Gedi. Israel exploration journal, 59 (1), 21–46.
- Press TV, 2013. Nasrallah: Syria to provide sophisticated weapons to Hezbollah in response to airstrikes. You Tube [online], 9 May. Available from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pV8BtuDiS-E [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Ramadan, T., 2012. The Arab awakening. Islam and the New Middle East. London: Penguin Books.
- Rappleye, C., 2010. Robert Morris. Financier of the American revolution. New York: Simon and Schuster.
- Rappoport, A., 2013a. Taltala Modiinit. Israel Defence, 6 Mar [in Hebrew].
- Rappoport, A., 2013b. Mahalah Shyashpia Leshnim Arukot. Israel Defence, 19 Jul [in Hebrew].
- Rappoport, A., 2014. IBW: tactical intelligence down to the junior commanders at the front. Israel Defence [online], 17 Jan. Available from: http://www.israeldefense.com/?CategoryID=484&ArticleID=2696 [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Rovner, J., 2013. Intelligence in the Twitter Age. International journal of intelligence and counterintelligence 26 (2), 260–271.
- Samuel, Y., 2005. Organizations: features, structures, processes. Haifa: Haifa University Press [ in Hebrew].
- Schiff, Z. and Ya’Ari, E., 1985. Israel’s Lebanon war. New York: Simon and Schuster.
- Schweitzer, Y. and Avita, S., 2014. Jihadi War in Sinai. INSS Insight [online], 609, 28 Sep. Available from: http://www.inss.org.il/index.aspx?id=4538&articleid=7734 [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Segal, M. and Shapira, S., 2014. Iran launches “Hizbullah Syria” to open a new front against Israel on the Golan Heights. JCPA [online], 14/16, 3 Jun. Available from: http://jcpa.org/article/iran-hizbullah-syria-front/ [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Sengupta, K., 2013. John Kerry says Assad’s Syria regime HAS used sarin chemical weapons against rebels – despite Barack Obama insisting that was a “red line” for US. Independent, 25 Apr.
- Shelach, A., 2012. Hezbollah and Hamas are not alone. Israel Defence [online], 24 Nov. Available from: http://www.israeldefense.com/?CategoryID=484&ArticleID=1777/ [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Starr, B., Sidner S., and Ariosto, D., 2013. U.S. official: Israeli jets strike convoy in Syria. CNN [online], 31 Jan. Available from: http://edition.cnn.com/2013/01/30/world/meast/israel-syria-strike/ [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Siman-Tov, D. and Hershkovitz, S., 2014. MI comes to light: the first decade of the IDF’s intelligence branch. Tel Aviv: Maarakhot.
- Siman-Tov, D. and Ofer, G., 2013. Intelligence 2.0: a new approach to the production of intelligence. Military and strategic affairs, 5 (3), 1–21.
- Staniland, P., 2012. States, insurgents, and wartime political orders. Perspectives on politics, 10 (2), 243–264.
- Stevenson, T., 2014. Egypt’s generals turn to an old rival in the fight against Islamist Militancy in Sinai. Think Africa Press [online], 26 Feb. Available from: http://thinkafricapress.com/egypt/generals-turn-old-rival-fight-against-ansar-bayt-al-maqdes-sudan-sinai [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Syria’s Chemical Weapons, Israel and Hezbollah. 2013. Al Monitor, 29 Apr.
- Tibun, A., 2014. Hayta Hatraa: Imut Harif bien Roash Hashabac Lasarim. News.Walla, 8 Sep [ in Hebrew].
- van Creveld, M., 1990. Technology and war. From 2000 B.C. to the present. New York: Free Press.
- van Creveld, M., 2008. The changing face of war. Combat from the Marne to Iraq. New York: Ballantine Books.
- Winograd Commission of Inquiry of the Lebanon Campaign 2006 – Final Report [online], 2008, Jan. Available from: http://www.nrg.co.il/images/news/doah.pdf [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].
- Yadlin, A., 2010. Israel’s strategic challenges’, vision and reality in the Middle East. Security challenges of the 21st Century Conference Proceedings. INSS Memorandum, 105 (Aug).
- Yadlin, A., 2012a. Nuclear Iran, The 5th Annual International Conference: security challenges of the 21st Century Creative Ideas for Israel’s Challenging Strategic Environment, INSS. You Tube, 30 May.
- Yadlin, A., 2012b. IDF faces the challenges of tomorrow. In: A. Gilboa and E. Lapid, eds. Israel’s silent defender. Jerusalem: Gefen, 6–12.
- Yadlin, A., 2013. Intelligence: secrets, mysteries and responsibility Intelligence in 2013: what has changed? – In memory of Maj. Gen. Aharon Yariv [online], 26 May. Available from: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=goXJn2WGRwA [ Accessed 15 Mar 2015].