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Global Public Health
An International Journal for Research, Policy and Practice
Volume 1, 2006 - Issue 2: Humanitarian Crises: The Emergency Rooms of Global Health
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Original Articles

Expert judgments of pandemic influenza risks

W. Bruine De Bruin Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, PA, USACorrespondence[email protected]
,
B. Fischhoff Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Carnegie Mellon University, PA, USA; Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, PA, USA
,
L. Brilliant Seva Foundation CA USA and Google Foundation, CA, USA
&
D. Caruso Hybrid Vigor Institute, CA, USA
Pages 179-194 | Published online: 17 Feb 2007

References

[Note: Those marked with an asterisk (*) appeared in the ‘References on probability elicitation’ at the end of the survey.]

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  • Morgan , M.G. , Fischhoff , B. , Bostrom , A. and Atman , C. 2001 . Risk Communication: The Mental Models Approach , New York : Cambridge University Press .
  • (*) Morgan , M.G. and Henrion , M. 1990 . Uncertainty: A Guide To Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis , New York : Cambridge University Press .
  • (*) Morgan , M.G. and Keith , D.W. 1995 . Subjective Judgments by Climate Experts . Environmental Science and Technology , 29 : 468A – 476A .
  • Sims , L.D. , Domenech , J. , Benigno , C. , Kahn , S. , Kamata , A. , Lubroth , J. , Martin , V. and Roeder , P. 2005 . Origin and Evolution of Highly Pathogenic H5N1 Avian influenza in Asia . The Veterinary Record , 157 : 159 – 164 .
  • (*) von Winterfeldt , D. and Edwards , W. 1986 . Decision Analysis and Behavioral Research , New York : Cambridge University Press .
  • (*) Woloshin , S. , Schwartz , L.M. , Byram , S. , Fischhoff , B. and Welch , H.G. 2000 . A New Scale for Assessing Perceptions of Chance: A Validation Study . Medical Decision Making , 20 : 298 – 307 .
  • World Health Organization Writing Group (2006a) Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for Pandemic Influenza, International Measures . Emerging Infectious Diseases , 12 , 81 – 87 .
  • World Health Organization Writing Group (2006b) Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for Pandemic Influenza, National and Community Measures . Emerging Infectious Diseases , 12 , 88 – 94 .

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