References
[Note: Those marked with an asterisk (*) appeared in the ‘References on probability elicitation’ at the end of the survey.]
- Anderson , R.N. and Smith , B.L. 2005 . Deaths: Leading Causes for 2002. National Vital Statistics Reports, 53 , Hyattsville, MD : National Center for Health Statistics .
- Byram , S. , Fischhoff , B. , Embrey , M. , Bruine de Bruin , W. and Thorne , S. 2001 . Mental Models of Women with Breast Implants Regarding Local Complications . Behavioral Medicine , 27 : 4 – 14 .
- Casman , E. , Fischhoff , B. , Palmgren , C. , Small , M. and Wu , F. 2000 . Integrated Risk Model of a Drinking Waterborne Cryptosporidiosis Outbreak . Risk Analysis , 20 : 493 – 509 .
- Casman , E. , Fischhoff , B. , Small , M. , Dowlatabadi , H. , Morgan , M.G. and Rose , J. 2001 . Climate Change and Cryptosporidiosis: A Qualitatitive Analysis . Climate Change , 50 : 219 – 249 .
- Clemens , R.T. 1997 . Making Hard Decisions: An Introduction to Decision Analyses , 2nd edition , Belmont, MA : Duxbury .
- (*) Fischhoff , B. 1989 . Eliciting Knowledge for Analytical Representation . IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics , 13 : 448 – 461 .
- (*) Fischhoff , B. 1994 . What Forecasts (seem to) Mean . International Journal of Forecasting , 10 : 387 – 403 .
- Fischhoff , B. 2000 . Scientific Management of Science? . Policy Sciences , 33 : 73 – 87 .
- Fischhoff , B. (2006) Modeling: Visualizing Your Vulnerabilities . Harvard Business Review May, 2006
- Fischhoff , B. , Downs , J.S. and Bruine de Bruin , W. 1998 . Adolescent Vulnerability: A Framework for Behavioral Interventions . Applied and Preventive Psychology , 7 : 77 – 94 .
- Mills , C.E. , Robins , J.M. , Bergstrom , C.T. and Lipsitch , M. (2006) Pandemic Influenza: Risk of Multiple Introductions and the Need to Prepare for Them . Public Library of Science Medicine , 3 , e135 .
- Morgan , M.G. , Fischhoff , B. , Bostrom , A. and Atman , C. 2001 . Risk Communication: The Mental Models Approach , New York : Cambridge University Press .
- (*) Morgan , M.G. and Henrion , M. 1990 . Uncertainty: A Guide To Dealing with Uncertainty in Quantitative Risk and Policy Analysis , New York : Cambridge University Press .
- (*) Morgan , M.G. and Keith , D.W. 1995 . Subjective Judgments by Climate Experts . Environmental Science and Technology , 29 : 468A – 476A .
- Sims , L.D. , Domenech , J. , Benigno , C. , Kahn , S. , Kamata , A. , Lubroth , J. , Martin , V. and Roeder , P. 2005 . Origin and Evolution of Highly Pathogenic H5N1 Avian influenza in Asia . The Veterinary Record , 157 : 159 – 164 .
- (*) von Winterfeldt , D. and Edwards , W. 1986 . Decision Analysis and Behavioral Research , New York : Cambridge University Press .
- (*) Woloshin , S. , Schwartz , L.M. , Byram , S. , Fischhoff , B. and Welch , H.G. 2000 . A New Scale for Assessing Perceptions of Chance: A Validation Study . Medical Decision Making , 20 : 298 – 307 .
- World Health Organization Writing Group (2006a) Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for Pandemic Influenza, International Measures . Emerging Infectious Diseases , 12 , 81 – 87 .
- World Health Organization Writing Group (2006b) Nonpharmaceutical Interventions for Pandemic Influenza, National and Community Measures . Emerging Infectious Diseases , 12 , 88 – 94 .