The evolution of thermal performance can constrain dispersal during range shifting

References

• A.L. Angert, S.N. Sheth, and J.R. Paul, Incorporating population-level variation in thermal performance into predictions of geographic range shifts, Integr. Compar. Biol. 51(5) (2011), pp. 733–750. doi: 10.1093/icb/icr048
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• M.J. Angilletta, Thermal Adaptation: A Theoretical and Empirical Synthesis, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2009.
   Google Scholar
• M.J. Angilletta, R.B. Huey, and M.R. Frazier, Thermodynamic effects on organismal performance: Is hotter better? Physiol. Biochem. Zool. 83(2) (2010), pp. 197–206. doi: 10.1086/648567
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• M.J. Angilletta, R.S. Wilson, C.A. Navas, and R.S. James, Tradeoffs and the evolution of thermal reaction norms, Trends Ecol. Evol. 18(5) (2003), pp. 234–240. doi: 10.1016/S0169-5347(03)00087-9
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• M.B. Araujo, F. Ferri-Yanez, F. Bozinovic, P.A. Marquet, F. Valladares, and S.L. Chown, Heat freezes niche evolution, Ecol. Lett. 16(9) (2013), pp. 1206–1219. doi: 10.1111/ele.12155
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• K.E. Atkins and J.M.J. Travis, Local adaptation and the evolution of species’ ranges under climate change, J. Theor. Biol. 266(3) (2010), pp. 449–457. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2010.07.014
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• J.R. Auld, A.A. Agrawal, and R.A. Relyea, Re-evaluating the costs and limits of adaptive phenotypic plasticity, Proc. R Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci. 277 (2009), pp. 503–511. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2009.1355
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• R.D.H. Barrett, A. Paccard, T.M. Healy, S. Bergek, P.M. Schulte, D. Schluter, and S.M. Rogers, Rapid evolution of cold tolerance in stickleback, Proc. R Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci. 278(1703) (2011), pp. 233–238. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2010.0923
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• A.F. Bennett and R.E. Lenski, Evolutionary adaptation to temperature .2. Thermal niches of experimental lines of Escherichia-Coli, Evolution. 47(1) (1993), pp. 1–12. doi: 10.2307/2410113
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• J. Boeye, J.M.J. Travis, R. Stoks, and D. Bonte, More rapid climate change promotes evolutionary rescue through selection for increased dispersal distance, Evol. Appl. 6(2) (2013), pp. 353–364. doi: 10.1111/eva.12004
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• D. Bonte, T. Hovestadt, and H.J. Poethke, Evolution of dispersal polymorphism and local adaptation of dispersal distance in spatially structured landscapes, Oikos. 119(3) (2010), pp. 560–566. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0706.2009.17943.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• D. Bonte, J. Vanden Borre, L. Lens, and J.-P. Mealfait, Geographical variation in wolf spider dispersal behaviour is related to landscape structure, Anim. Behav. 72(3) (2006), pp. 655–662. doi: 10.1016/j.anbehav.2005.11.026
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• J.R. Bridle and T.H. Vines, Limits to evolution at range margins: When and why does adaptation fail? Trends Ecol. Evol. 22(3) (2007), pp. 140–147. doi: 10.1016/j.tree.2006.11.002
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• O.J. Burton, B.L. Phillips, and M.J. Travis, Trade-offs and the evolution of life-histories during range expansion, Ecol. Lett. 13(10) (2010), pp. 1210–1220. doi: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01505.x
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• L.E. Castaneda, M.A. Lardies, and F. Bozinovic, Adaptive latitudinal shifts in the thermal physiology of a terrestrial isopod, Evol. Ecol. Res. 6(4) (2004), pp. 579–593.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• T. Chaianunporn and T. Hovestadt, Concurrent evolution of random dispersal and habitat niche width in host-parasitoid systems, Ecol. Modell. 247 (2012), pp. 241–250. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2012.09.005
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• P.L. Chesson and T.J. Case, Overview: Nonequilibrium community theories: Chance, variability, history, and coexistence, in Community Ecology, J. Diamond and T. Case, eds., Harper and Row, New York, 1986, 229–239.
   Google Scholar
• L.M. Chevin and R. Lande, When do adaptive plasticity and genetic evolution prevent extinction of a density-regulated population? Evolution. 64(4) (2010), pp. 1143–1150. doi: 10.1111/j.1558-5646.2009.00875.x
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• A. Clarke, Marine Macroecology, J. Witman and K. Roy, eds. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, 2009.
   Google Scholar
• M.B. Davis, R.G. Shaw, and J.R. Etterson, Evolutionary responses to changing climate, Ecology. 86(7) (2005), pp. 1704–1714. doi: 10.1890/03-0788
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• T.J. DeWitt, A. Sih, and D.S. Wilson, Costs and limits of phenotypic plasticity, Trends Ecol. Evol. 13(2) (1998), pp. 77–81. doi: 10.1016/S0169-5347(97)01274-3
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• G. GarciaRamos and M. Kirkpatrick, Genetic models of adaptation and gene flow in peripheral populations, Evolution. 51(1) (1997), pp. 21–28. doi: 10.2307/2410956
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• P. Gienapp, C. Teplitsky, J.S. Alho, J.A. Mills, and J. Merila, Climate change and evolution: Disentangling environmental and genetic responses, Mol. Ecol. 17(1) (2008), pp. 167–178. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-294X.2007.03413.x
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• G.W. Gilchrist, A quantitative genetic analysis of thermal senitivity in the locomotor performance curve of Aphidius ervi, Evolution. 50(4) (1996), pp. 1560–1572. doi: 10.2307/2410892
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• I. Hanski and M. Heino, Metapopulation-level adaptation of insect host plant preference and extinction-colonization dynamics in heterogeneous landscapes, Theor. Popul. Biol. 64(3) (2003), pp. 281–290. doi: 10.1016/S0040-5809(03)00093-5
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• S.K. Heinz, R. Mazzucco, and U. Dieckmann, Speciation and the evolution of dispersal along environmental gradients, Evol. Ecol. 23(1) (2009), pp. 53–70. doi: 10.1007/s10682-008-9251-7
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• R.C. Henry, G. Bocedi, and J.M.J. Travis, Eco-evolutionary dynamics of range shifts: Elastic margins and critical thresholds, J. Theor. Biol. 321 (2013), pp. 1–7. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.12.004
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• R.D. Holt, The microevolutionary consequences of climate change, Trends Ecol. Evol. 5(9) (1990), pp. 311–315. doi: 10.1016/0169-5347(90)90088-U
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• R.D. Holt, On the evolutionary ecology of species’ ranges, Evol. Ecol. Res. 5(2) (2003), pp. 159–178.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• R.D. Holt, Bringing the Hutchinsonian niche into the 21st century: Ecological and evolutionary perspectives, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 106 (2009), pp. 19659–19665. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0905137106
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• R.B. Huey and P.E. Hertz, Is a jack-of-all-temperatures a master of none, Evolution. 38(2) (1984), pp. 441–444. doi: 10.2307/2408502
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• R.B. Huey and J.G. Kingsolver, Evolutionary responses to extreme temperatures in ecototherms, Am. Nat. 143 (1993), pp. S21–S46. doi: 10.1086/285521
   Google Scholar
• R.B. Huey and R.D. Stevenson, Integrating thermal physiology and ecology of ectotherms–Discussion of approaches, Am. Zool. 19(1) (1979), pp. 357–366.
   Google Scholar
• R. Kassen, The experimental evolution of specialists, generalists, and the maintenance of diversity, J. Evol. Biol. 15(2) (2002), pp. 173–190. doi: 10.1046/j.1420-9101.2002.00377.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• T. Ketola, L. Mikonranta, J. Zhang, K. Saarinen, A.M. Ormala, V.P. Friman, J. Mappes, and J. Laakso, Fluctuating temperature leads to evolution of thermal generalism and preadaptation to novel environments, Evolution. 67(10) (2013), pp. 2936–2944.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• J.G. Kingsolver, G.J. Ragland, and J.G. Shlichta, Quantitative genetics of continuous reaction norms: Thermal sensitivity of caterpillar growth rates, Evolution. 58(7) (2004), pp. 1521–1529. doi: 10.1111/j.0014-3820.2004.tb01732.x
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• O. Kinne, Irreversible nongenetic adaptation, Comp. Biochem. Physiol. 5(4) (1962), pp. 265–282. doi: 10.1016/0010-406X(62)90056-7
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• M. Kirkpatrick and N.H. Barton, Evolution of a species’ range, Am. Nat. 150(1) (1997), pp. 1–23. doi: 10.1086/286054
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• E. Kisdi, Dispersal: Risk spreading versus local adaptation, Am. Nat. 159(6) (2002), pp. 579–596. doi: 10.1086/339989
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• H. Kokko and A. Lopez-Sepulcre, From individual dispersal to species ranges: Perspectives for a changing world, Science. 313(5788) (2006), pp. 789–791. doi: 10.1126/science.1128566
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• A. Kubisch, T. Degen, T. Hovestadt, and H.J. Poethke, Predicting range shifts under global change: The balance between local adaptation and dispersal, Ecography. 36(8) (2013), pp. 873–882. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.00062.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• A. Kubisch, T. Hovestadt, and H.J. Poethke, On the elasticity of range limits during periods of expansion, Ecology. 91(10) (2010), pp. 3094–3099. doi: 10.1890/09-2022.1
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• R. Levins, Evolution in Changing Environments, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 1968.
   Google Scholar
• M. Lynch, W. Gabriel, and A.M. Wood, Adaptive and demographic responses of plankton populations to environmental change, Limnol. Oceanogr. 36(7) (1991), pp. 1301–1312. doi: 10.4319/lo.1991.36.7.1301
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• M. Lynch and R. Lande, Evolution and extinction in response to environmental change, in Biotic Interactions and Global Change, P. Kareiva, J. Kingsolver, and R. Huey, eds., Sinauer Assocs., Inc. Sunderland, MA, 1993, pp. 234–250.
   Google Scholar
• V. Nilsson-Ortman, R. Stoks, M. De Block, and F. Johansson, Generalists and specialists along a latitudinal transect: Patterns of thermal adaptation in six species of damselflies, Ecology. 93(6) (2012), pp. 1340–1352. doi: 10.1890/11-1910.1
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• T. Nurmi, and K. Parvinen, Joint evolution of specialization and dispersal in structured metapopulations, J. Theor. Biol. 275(1) (2011), pp. 78–92. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.01.023
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• A. Palaima, The fitness cost of generalization: Present limitations and future possible solutions, Biol. J. Linn. Soc. 90(4) (2007), pp. 583–590. doi: 10.1111/j.1095-8312.2007.00745.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• C.M. Pease, R. Lande, and J.J. Bull, A model of population growth, dispersal and evolution in a changing environment, Ecology. 70(6) (1989), pp. 1657–1664. doi: 10.2307/1938100
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• B.L. Phillips, G.P. Brown, and R. Shine, Evolutionarily accelerated invasions: The rate of dispersal evolves upwards during the range advance of cane toads, J. Evol. Biol. 23(12) (2010), pp. 2595–2601. doi: 10.1111/j.1420-9101.2010.02118.x
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• D.A. Powers and P.M. Schulte, Evolutionary adaptations of gene structure and expression in natural populations in relation to a changing environment: A multidisciplinary approach to address the million-year saga of a small fish, J. Exp. Zool. 282(1–2) (1998), pp. 71–94. doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1097-010X(199809/10)282:1/2<71::AID-JEZ11>3.0.CO;2-J
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• D. Reznick, L. Nunney, and A. Tessier, Big houses, big cars, superfleas and the costs of reproduction, Trends Ecol. Evol. 15(10) (2000), pp. 421–425. doi: 10.1016/S0169-5347(00)01941-8
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• K. Rungruangsak-Torrissen, G.M. Pringle, R. Moss, and D.F. Houlihan, Effects of varying rearing temperatures on expression of different trypsin isozymes, feed conversion efficiency and growth in Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar L.), Fish Physiol. Biochem. 19(3) (1998), pp. 247–255. doi: 10.1023/A:1007731717021
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• J. Schaefer, Hatch success and temperature-dependent development time in two broadly distributed topminnows (Fundulidae), Naturwissenschaften. 99(7) (2012), pp. 591–595. doi: 10.1007/s00114-012-0936-y
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• K. Schiffers, E.C. Bourne, S. Lavergne, W. Thuiller, and J.M.J. Travis, Limited evolutionary rescue of locally adapted populations facing climate change, Philos. Trans. R Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci. 368(1610) (2013). doi:doi:10.1098/rstb.2012.0083.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• P.M. Schulte, T.M. Healy, and N.A. Fangue, Thermal performance curves, phenotypic plasticity, and the time scales of temperature exposure, Integr. Comp. Biol. 51(5) (2011), pp. 691–702. doi: 10.1093/icb/icr097
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• R. Shine, G.P. Brown, and B.L. Phillips, An evolutionary process that assembles phenotypes through space rather than through time, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 108(14) (2011), pp. 5708–5711. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1018989108
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• S.E. Sultan and H.G. Spencer, Metapopulation structure favors plasticity over local adaptation, Am. Nat. 160(2) (2002), pp. 271–283. doi: 10.1086/341015
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• J.M. Sunday, A.E. Bates, and N.K. Dulvy, Global analysis of thermal tolerance and latitude in ectotherms, Proc. R Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci. 278(1713) (2011), pp. 1823–1830. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2010.1295
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• J.M.J. Travis, M. Delgado, G. Bocedi, M. Baguette, K. Barton, D. Bonte, I. Boulangeat, J.A. Hodgson, A. Kubisch, V. Penteriani, M. Saastamoinen, V.M. Stevens, and J.M. Bullock, Dispersal and species’ responses to climate change, Oikos. 122(11) (2013), pp. 1532–1540. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0706.2013.00399.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• M.E. Visser, Keeping up with a warming world; assessing the rate of adaptation to climate change, Proc. R Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci. 275 (2008), pp. 649–659. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2007.0997
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• S.B. Weber, A.C. Broderick, T.G.G. Groothuis, J. Ellick, B.J. Godley, and J.D. Blount, Fine-scale thermal adaptation in a green turtle nesting population, Proc. R Soc. Lond. B Biol. Sci. 279(1731) (2012), pp. 1077–1084. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2011.1238
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• D.W. Whitman and A.A. Agrawal, What is phenotypic plasticity and why is it important? in Phenotypic Plasticity of Insects: Mechanisms and Consequences, D.W. Whitman and T.N. Ananthakrishna, eds., Science, Enfield, NH, 2009, pp. 1–63.
   Google Scholar
• S.J. Willott and M. Hassall, Life-history responses of British grasshoppers (Orthoptera: Acrididae) to temperature change, Funct. Ecol. 12(2) (1998), pp. 232–241. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2435.1998.00180.x
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar