References
- M. Ali, I. Mudassar, and K. Adnan, COVID-19: can medication mitigate the need for a strict lock down? Lett. Biomath. (2020 July). Available at https://lettersinbiomath.journals.publicknowledgeproject.org/index.php/lib/article/view/365.
- M. Ali, S. Shah, M. Imran, and A. Khan, The role of asymptomatic class, quarantine and isolation in the transmission of COVID-19, J. Biol. Dynam. 14(1) (2020), pp. 389–408. doi: 10.1080/17513758.2020.1773000
- H.I. Aslan, Modeling COVID-19: Forecasting and analyzing the dynamics of the outbreak in Hubei and Turkey. Preprint Available at https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.11.20061952.
- J. Beigel, K. Tomashek, L. Dodd, A. Mehta, B. Zingman, A. Kalil, E. Hohmann, H. Chu, A.Luetkemeyer, S. Kline, D. Lopez de Castilla, R. Finberg, K. Dierberg, V. Tapson, L. Hsieh, T. Patterson, R. Paredes, D. Sweeney, W. Short, G. Touloumi, D. Lye, N. Ohmagari, M. Oh, G. Ruiz-Palacios, T. Benfield, G. Fätkenheuer, M. Kortepeter, R. Atmar, C. Creech, J. Lundgren, A. Babiker, S.Pett, J. Neaton, T. Burgess, T. Bonnett, M. Green, M. Makowski, A. Osinusi, S. Nayak, and H. Lane, Remdesivir for the treatment of Covid-19 – preliminary report, N. Engl. J. Med. (2020). Available at https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2007764.
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). [online] Available at: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/ [Accessed 25 April 2020]. 2020.
- T. Chen, J. Rui, Q. Wang, Z. Zhao, J. Cui, and L. Yin, A mathematical model for simulating the phase-based transmissibility of a novel coronavirus, Infect. Dis. Poverty 9(1) (2020). Available at https://doi.org/10.1186/s40249-020-00640-3.
- A. Cintrón-Arias, C. Castillo-Chávez, L.M.A. Bettencourt, A.L. Lloyd, and H.T. Banks, The estimation of the effective reproductive number from disease outbreak data, Math. Biosci. Eng. 6 (2009), pp. 261–282. Available at https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2009.6.261.
- B. Efron and R.J. Tibshirani, An Introduction to The Bootstrap, Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, FL, 1993.
- S. Eikenberry, M. Mancuso, E. Iboi, T. Phan, K. Eikenberry, Y. Kuang, E. Kostelich, and A. Gumel, To mask or not to mask: modeling the potential for face mask use by the general public to curtail the COVID-19 pandemic, Infect Dis Model. 5 (2020), pp. 293–308.
- N. Ferguson, D. Laydon, G. Nedjati Gilani, N. Imai, K. Ainslie, M. Baguelin, S. Bhatia, A. Boonyasiri, Z. Cucunuba Perez, G. Cuomo-Dannenburg, A. Dighe, I. Dorigatti, H. Fu, K. Gaythorpe, W. Green, A. Hamlet, W. Hinsley, L. Okell, S. Van Elsland, H. Thompson, R. Verity, E. Volz, H. Wang, Y.Wang, P. Walker, C. Walters, P. Winskill, C. Whittaker, C. Donnelly, S. Riley, and A. Ghani, Report 9: impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (Npis) to reduce COVID19 mortality and healthcare demand. [online] Hdl.handle.net. Available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10044/1/77482 [Accessed 2 May 2020], 2020.
- Gilead.com, COVID-19. [online] Available at: https://www.gilead.com/purpose/advancing-global-health/covid-19. 2020.
- GitHub, Cssegisanddata/COVID-19. [online] Available at: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19 [Accessed 15 June 2020], 2020.
- J. Grein, N. Ohmagari, D. Shin, Compassionate use of remdesivir for patients with severe Covid-19. N. Engl. J. Med.no. 382(24)) (2020), pp. 2327–2336. https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2007016.
- B. Hu, X. Ge, L. Wang, and Z. Shi, Bat origin of human coronaviruses, Virol. J. 12(1) (2015). Available at: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12985-015-0422-1.
- C. Huang, Y. Wang, X. Li, L. Ren, J. Zhao, Y. Hu, L. Zhang, G. Fan, J. Xu, X. Gu, Z. Cheng, T.Yu, J. Xia, Y. Wei, W. Wu, X. Xie, W. Yin, H. Li, M. Liu, Y. Xiao, H. Gao, L. Guo, J. Xie, G. Wang, R. Jiang, Z. Gao, Q. Jin, J. Wang, and B. Cao, Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in wuhan, China, Lancet 395 (2020), pp. 497–506. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30183-5
- I. Hung, K. Lung, E. Tso, R. Liu, T. Chung, M. Chu, Y. Ng, J. Lo, J. Chan, A. Tam, H. Shum, V.Chan, A. Wu, K. Sin, W. Leung, W. Law, D. Lung, S. Sin, P. Yeung, C. Yip, R. Zhang, A. Fung, E. Yan, K. Leung, J. Ip, A. Chu, W. Chan, A. Ng, R. Lee, K. Fung, A. Yeung, T. Wu, J. Chan, W.Yan, W. Chan, J. Chan, A. Lie, O. Tsang, V. Cheng, T. Que, C. Lau, K. Chan, K. To, and K. Yuen, Triple combination of interferon beta-1b, lopinavir–ritonavir, and ribavirin in the treatment of patients admitted to hospital with COVID-19: an open-label, randomised, phase 2 trial, Lancet 395 (2020), pp. 1695–1704. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31042-4
- A. Kucharski, T. Russell, and C. Diamond, Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study, Lancet Infect Dis (2020). Available at https://doi.org/10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30144-4.
- Q. Lin, S. Zhao, D. Gao, Y. Lou, S. Yang, S. S. Musa, M. H. Wang, Y. Cai, W. Wang, L. Yang, and D. He, A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action, Int. J. Infect. Dis. 93 (2020), pp. 211–216. Available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.058.
- M. Nicola, Z. Alsafi, C. Sohrabi, A. Kerwan, A. Al-Jabir, C. Iosifidis, M. Agha, and R. Agha, The socio-economic implications of the coronavirus and COVID-19 pandemic: a review, Int. J. Surg. 78 (2020), pp.185–193. Available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijsu.2020.04.018.
- Q. Nimubona, C. Smith, A. Mackinnon, W. Braw, Zenko, A coronavirus mystery: why are there so few cases In South Asia? [online] Foreign Policy. Available at: https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/04/30/coronavirus-mystery-why-so-few-cases-south-asia-india-pandemic-lockdown. 2020.
- Oie.int, Questions and answers on the COVID-19: OIE – World Organisation For Animal Health. [online] Available at: https://www.oie.int/scientific-expertise/specific-information-and-recommendations/questions-and-answers-on-2019novel-coronavirus [Accessed 25 April 2020]. 2020.
- L. Pang, S. Liu, X. Zhang, T. Tian, and Z. Zhao, Transission dynamics and control strategies of COVID-19 in Wihan China, J. Biol. Syst. (92020), pp. 1–18. doi: 10.1142/S0218339020500096
- A. Perkins and G. Espana, Optimal control of the COVID-19 pandemic with non-pharmaceutical interventions. (Preprint) 2020. Available at https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.22.20076018.
- M.A. Safi and A.B. Gumel, Global asymptotic dynamics of a model for quarantine and isolation, Discrete & Continuous Dynam. Syst. – B 14(1) (2010), pp. 209–231. doi: 10.3934/dcdsb.2010.14.209
- E. Sallard, F. Lescure, Y. Yazdanpanah, F. Mentre, and N. Peiffer-Smadja, Type 1 interferons as a potential treatment against COVID-19, Antiviral Res. 178 (2020), p. 104791. doi: 10.1016/j.antiviral.2020.104791
- H.R. Thieme, Mathematics in Population Biology, Princeton University Press, OXFORD, 2003.https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctv301f9v.
- P. van den Driessche and J. Watmough, Reproduction numbers and sub-threshold endemic equilibria for compartmental models of disease transmission, Math. Biosci. 180 (2002), pp. 29–48. doi: 10.1016/S0025-5564(02)00108-6
- Who.int, Accelerating a safe and effective COVID-19 vaccine. [online] Available at: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/global-research-on-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov/accelerating-a-safe-and-effective-covid-19-vaccine. 2020.
- Who.int, Solidarity clinical trial for COVID-19 treatments. [online] Available at: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/global-research-on-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov/solidarity-clinical-trial-for-covid-19-treatments. 2020.
- Who.int, Coronavirus. [online] Available at: https://www.who.int/health-topics/coronavirus [Accessed 25 April 2020]. 2020.
- Worldometers.info, Coronavirus Update (Live): 2,874,022 Cases And 200,790 Deaths From COVID-19 Virus Pandemic – Worldometer. [online] Available at: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ [Accessed 25 April 2020]. 2020.
- J. Yang, Y. Zheng, X. Gou, K. Pu, Z. Chen, Q. Guo, R. Ji, H. Wang, Y. Wang, and Y. Zhou, Prevalence of comorbidities and its effects in coronavirus disease 2019 patient: a systematic review and meta-analysis, Int. J. Infect. Dis. 94 (2020), pp. 91–95. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.03.017
- S. Zhao, Q. Lin, J. Ran, S. S. Musa, G. Yang, W. Wang, Y. Lou, D. Gao, L. Yang, D. He, and M. H.Wang, Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: a data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak, Int. J. Infect. Dis.92 (2020), pp. 214–217. Available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijid.2020.01.050.