328
Views
42
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

Granger causality and Atlantic hurricanes

Pages 476-485 | Received 02 Aug 2006, Accepted 01 Mar 2007, Published online: 15 Dec 2016

References

  • Barnett, T. R, Pierce, D. W., AchutaRao, K. M., Gleckler, P. J., Santer, and co-authors. 2005. Penetration of human-induced warming into the world’s oceans. Science 309, 284-287.
  • DeMaria, M., Knaff, J. A. and Connell, B. H. 2001. A tropical cyclone genesis parameter for the tropical Atlantic. Wea. Forecasting 16, 219–233.
  • Elsner, J. B. 2006. Evidence in support of the climate change-Atlantic hurricane hypothesis. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L16705, doi: 10.1029/2006GL026869.
  • Elsner, J. B., Kara, A. B. and Owens, M. A. 1999. Fluctuations in North Atlantic hurricane frequency. J. Climate 12, 427–437.
  • Emanuel, K. A. 2005. Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years. Nature 436, 686–688.
  • Enfield, D. B., Mestas-Nuiiez, A. M. and Trimble, P. J. 2001. The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and it’s relation to rainfall and river flows in the continental US. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28, 2077–2080.
  • Folland, C. K. and co-authors, 2001. Global temperature change and its uncertainties since 1861. Geophys. Res. Lett. 28, 2621-2624.
  • Goldenberg, S. B., Landsea, C. W., Mestas-Nuiiez, A. M. and Gray, W. M. 2001. The recent increase in Atlantic hurricane activity: Causes and implications. Science 293, 474–479.
  • Granger, C. W. J. 1969. Investigating causal relations by econometric methods and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica 34, 424–438.
  • Hoyos, C. D., Agudelo, P. A., Webster, P. J. and Curry, J. A. 2006. Deconvolution of the factors contributing to the increase in global hurricane intensity. Science 312, 94–97.
  • Kaufmann, R. K. and Stern, D. I. 1997. Evidence for human influence on climate from hemispheric temperature relations. Nature 388, 39–44.
  • Klotzbach, P. J. 2006. Trends in global tropical cyclone activity over the past twenty years (1986-2005). Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L10805, doi: 10.1029/2006GL025881.
  • Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C. B., Schmidt, P. and Shin, Y. 1992. Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root. J. Econometr 54, 159–178.
  • Landsea, C. W. 2005. Hurricanes and global warming. Nature 438, 11–13, doi: 10.1038/nature04477.
  • Mann, M. E. and Emanuel, K. A. 2006. Atlantic hurricane trends linked to climate change. EOS 87, 233,238,241.
  • Mosedale, T. J., Stephenson, D. B., Collins, M. and Mills, T. C. 2006. Granger causality of coupled climate processes: ocean feed-back on the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Climate 19, 1182–1194.
  • Neumann, C. J., Jarvinen, B. R., McAdie, C. J. and Hammer, G. R. 1999. Tropical cyclones of the North Atlantic Ocean, 1871-1998. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, 206 pp.
  • Pielke, R. A. Jr., Landsea, C., Mayfield, M., Laver, J. and Pasch, R. 2005. Hurricanes and global warming. Bull. Am. MeteoroL Soc. 86, 1571–1575.
  • Rayner, N. A. and co-authors, 2003. Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J. Geophys. Res. 108(D14), 4407, doi: 10.1029/2002JD002670.
  • Richards, G. R. 1993. Change in global temperature: A statistical analysis. J. Climate 6, 546–559.
  • Shapiro, L. J. and Goldenberg, S. B. 1998. Atlantic sea surface temperatures and tropical cyclone formation. J. Climate 11, 578–590.
  • Theiler, J., Galdrilcian, B., Longtin, A., Eubank, S. and Farmer, J. D. 1992. Using surrogate data to detect nonlinearity in time series. In: Nonlinear Modelling and Forecasting (eds M. Casdagli and S. Eubank, Santa Fe Institute, Addison Wesley, Boston, 163-188.
  • Trenberth, K. 2005. Uncertainty in hurricanes and global warming. Science 308, 1753–1754.
  • Trenberth, K. and Shea, D. J. 2006. Atlantic hurricanes and natural variability in 2005. Geophys. Res. Lett. 33, L12704, doi: 10.1029/2006GL026894.
  • Triacca, U. 2001. On the use of Granger causality to investigate the human influence on climate. Theor AppL Climatol. 69, 137–138.
  • Wang, W., Anderson, B. T., Kaufmann, R. K. and Myneni, R. B. 2004. The relation between the North Atlantic oscillation and SSTs in the North Atlantic basin. J. Climate 17, 4752–4759.
  • Webster, P. J., Holland, G. J., Curry, J. A. and Chang, H. R. 2005. Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration, and intensity in a warming environment. Science 309, 1844–1846.
  • Zivot, E. and Wang, J. 2002. Modeling Financial Time Series with 5-PLUS. Insightful, Seattle, 653 pp.