Estimating the extent of household contact misclassification with index cases of disease in longitudinal studies using a stochastic simulation model

References

• Hope-Simpson R. Infectiousness of communicable diseases in the household (measles, chickenpox, and mumps). Lancet. 1952; 2: 549–54.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Pickles WN. Epidemic catarrhal jaundice: an outbreak in Yorkshire. Br Med J. 1930; 1: 944–6.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Pickles WN. Sonne dysentery in a Yorkshire dale. Lancet. 1932; 220.
   Google Scholar
• Pickles WN. “Bornholm” disease: account of a Yorkshire outbreak. Br Med J. 1933; 2: 817–8.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Marathe A, Lewis B, Chen J, Eubank S. Sensitivity of household transmission to household contact structure and size. PLoS One. 2011; 6: e22461.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Potter GE, Handcock MS, Longini IMJr, Halloran ME. Estimating within-household contact networks from egocentric data. Ann Appl Stat. 2011; 5: 1816–38.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Mossong J, Hens N, Jit M, Beutels P, Auranen K, Mikolajczyk R, et al.. Social contacts and mixing patterns relevant to the spread of infectious diseases. PLoS Med. 2008; 5: e74.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Noorden S. The epidemiology of leprosy. In: Hastings. RC, ed. Leprosy. New York: Churchill Livingstone. 1985, pp. 15–30.
   Google Scholar
• Bowe WP, Hoffstad O, Margolis DJ. Upper respiratory tract infection in household contacts of acne patients. Dermatology. 2007; 215: 213–8.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Johnson JR, Owens K, Gajewski A, Clabots C. Escherichia coli colonization patterns among human household members and pets, with attention to acute urinary tract infection. J Infect Dis. 2008; 197: 218–24.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Lietzau S, Raum E, von Baum H, Marre R, Brenner H. Household contacts were key factor for children's colonization with resistant Escherichia coli in community setting. J Clin Epidemiol. 2007; 60: 1149–55.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Robinson JL, Lee BE, Patel J, Bastien N, Grimsrud K, Seal RF, et al.. Swine influenza (H3N2) infection in a child and possible community transmission, Canada. Emerg Infect Dis. 2007; 13: 1865–70.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Yang Y, Halloran ME, Sugimoto JD, Longini IMJr. Detecting human-to-human transmission of avian influenza A (H5N1). Emerg Infect Dis. 2007; 13: 1348–53.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ahiko T. Family contact examination for tuberculosisthe current situations and perspective. Kekkaku. 1990; 65: 739–46.
   Google Scholar
• Khalilzadeh S, Masjedi H, Hosseini M, Safavi A, Masjedi MR. Transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis to households of tuberculosis patients: a comprehensive contact tracing study. Arch Iran Med. 2006; 9: 208–12.
   Google Scholar
• White JM, Higgins EM, Fuller LC. Screening for asymptomatic carriage of Trichophyton tonsurans in household contacts of patients with tinea capitis: results of 209 patients from South London. J Eur Acad Dermatol Venereol. 2007; 21: 1061–4.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Fine PE. Leprosy: the epidemiology of a slow bacterium. Epidemiol Rev. 1982; 4: 161–88.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Hastings R, Leprosy. New York: Churchill Livingstone. 1985.
   Google Scholar
• Bansal S, Read J, Pourbohloul B, Meyers LA. The dynamic nature of contact networks in infectious disease epidemiology. J Biol Dyn. 2010; 4: 478–89.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Glass LM, Glass RJ. Social contact networks for the spread of pandemic influenza in children and teenagers. BMC Public Health. 2008; 8: 61.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Scellato S, Musolesi M, Mascolo C, Latora V. On nonstationarity of human contact networks. University of Cambridge. Cambridge, 2010
   Google Scholar
• Kim H, Tang J, Anderson R, Mascolo C. Centrality prediction in dynamic human contact networks. University of Cambridge. CambridgeUK, 2012
   Google Scholar
• Crampin AC, Glynn JR, Traore H, Yates MD, Mwaungulu L, Mwenebabu M, et al.. Tuberculosis transmission attributable to close contacts and HIV status, Malawi. Emerg Infect Dis. 2006; 12: 729–35.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Kritski AL, Marques MJ, Rabahi MF, Vieira MA, Werneck-Barroso E, Carvalho CE, et al.. Transmission of tuberculosis to close contacts of patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis. Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 1996; 153: 331–5.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Mtombeni S, Mahomva A, Siziya S, Sanyika C, Doolabh R, Nathoo KJ. A clinical evaluation of children under the age of five years who are household contacts of adults with sputum positive tuberculosis in Harare, Zimbabwe. Cent Afr J Med. 2002; 48: 28–32.
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Frost WH. Risk of persons in familial contact with pulmonary tuberculosis. Am J Public Health Nations Health. 1933; 23: 426–32.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Frost WH. The familial aggregation of infectious diseases. Am J Public Health Nations Health. 1938; 28: 7–13.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Fine PE, Sterne JA, Pönnighaus JM, Bliss L, Saui J, Chihana A, et al.. Household and dwelling contact as risk factors for leprosy in northern Malawi. Am J Epidemiol. 1997; 146: 91–102.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Google Scholar
• Takeuchi F. Effectiveness of vaccination strategies for infectious diseases according to human contact networks. Jpn J Infect Dis. 2005; 58: S16–7.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ponnighaus JM, Fine PE, Maine N, Bliss L, Kalambo M, Ponnighaus I. The lepra evaluation project (LEP), an epidemiological study of leprosy in northern Malawi. II: prevalence rates. Lepr Rev. 1988; 59: 97–112.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Ponninghaus JM, Fine PE, Bliss L, Sliney IJ, Bradley DJ, Rees RJ. The LEPRA evaluation project (LEP), an epidemiological study of leprosy in Northern Malawi. I. Methods. Lepr Rev. 1987; 58: 359–75.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Clarke M. Demographic processes and household dynamics: a microsimulation approach. Population structures and models: developments in spatial demography. Woods RRPGeorge Allen and Unwin. Boston Massachusetts/London, England, 1986; 245–72.
   Google Scholar
• Chirwa TF, Ponnighaus S, Malema J, Kileta S, Zaba B, Bliss L, et al.. Household dynamics in northern Malawi during the 1980s. SAJDem. 2006; 9: 1–23.
   Google Scholar
• Carpenter J, Bithell J. Bootstrap confidence intervals: when, which, what? A practical guide for medical statisticians. Stat Med. 2000; 19: 1141–64.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chirwa T, Floyd S, Zaba B, Fine PE. Demographic analysis of the population of Karonga District, northern Malawi, in the early years of the HIV epidemic (1980–90). SAJDem. 2005; 10: 1–24.
   Google Scholar
• Ames GM, George DB, Hampson CP, Kanarek AR, McBee CD, Lockwood DR, et al.. Using network properties to predict disease dynamics on human contact networks. Proc Biol Sci. 2011; 278: 3544–50.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• ten Asbroek AH, Borgdorff MW, Nagelkerke NJ, Sebek MM, Devillé W, van Embden JD, et al.. Estimation of serial interval and incubation period of tuberculosis using DNA fingerprinting. Int J Tuberc Lung Dis. 1999; 3: 414–20.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Vynnycky E, Fine PE. Lifetime risks, incubation period, and serial interval of tuberculosis. Am J Epidemiol. 2000; 152: 247–63.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Foote, KA, Hill KH, Martin LG,. Demographic change in sub-Saharan Africa. WashingtonDC: National Academy Press. 1993.
   Google Scholar
• Kekovole J. Demographic levels and trends in sub-Saharan Africa. IPPF Med Bull. 1985; 19: 2–4.
   Google Scholar
• Malmberg B. Demography and the development potential of Sub-Saharan Africa. Stockholm: Department of Human geography, Stockholm University. 2008, p. 34.
   Google Scholar
• Marston M, Slaymaker E, Cremin I, Floyd S, McGrath N, Kasamba I, et al.. Trends in marriage and time spent single in sub-Saharan Africa: a comparative analysis of six population-based cohort studies and nine demographic and health surveys. Sex Transm Infect. 2009; 85(Suppl 1):i64–71.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMedGoogle Scholar
• Pelchat Y. Demographic trends in Sub-Saharan Africa: the ambiguity of “cultural” explanations. Cah Que Demogr. 1996; 25: 133–62.
   Google Scholar
• UN-DESA. 2008–2009 Trends in Sustainable Development – Africa report. Africa Report: Demographic trends. United Nations., 2008.
   Google Scholar
• Walle van de E, Kekovole J. Demographic trends in Sub-Saharan Africa. University of Pennsylvania., Philadelphia: 1986.
   Google Scholar
• Baiden F, Hodgson A, Binka FN. Demographic surveillance sites and emerging challenges in international health. Bull World Health Organ. 2006; 84: 163.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   PubMed Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Chandramohan D, Shibuya K, Setel P, Cairncross S, Lopez AD, Murray CJ, et al.. Should data from demographic surveillance systems be made more widely available to researchers?. PLoS Med. 2008; 5: e57.10.3402/gha.v6i0.19614.
   Web of Science ®Google Scholar
• Clark SJ. Evaluating the performance of demographic surveillance systems: adult mortality, in adult mortality in the developing world: methods and measures. Marconi Conference Center. California, 2004
   Google Scholar