4,695
Views
17
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Special Issue: Epidemiological Transitions - Beyond Omran's Theory

Beyond the ‘transition’ frameworks: the cross-continuum of health, disease and mortality framework

Article: 24804 | Published online: 15 May 2014

References

  • Omran AR. The epidemiologic transition: a theory of the epidemiology of population change. Milbank Q. 1971; 49: 509–38.
  • Omran AR. The epidemiologic transition theory revisited thirty years later. World Health Stat Q. 1998; 51: 99–119.
  • Chatterji S, Ustün BL, Sadana R, Salomon JA, Mathers CD, Murray CJL. The conceptual basis for measuring and reporting on health. Global Programme on Evidence for Health Policy Discussion Paper No. 45. 2002; Geneva: World Health Organization.
  • National Research Council. The epidemiological transition: policy and planning implications for developing countries. 1993; Washington, DC: The National Academy Press.
  • National Research Council. The continuing epidemiological transition in sub-Saharan Africa: a workshop summary. 2012; Washington, DC: The National Academies Press.
  • Kuate Defo B. Demographic, epidemiological, and health transitions: are they relevant to population health patterns in Africa?. Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 22443.
  • Santosa A, Wall S, Fottrell E, Högberg U, Byass P. The development and experience of epidemiological transition theory over four decades: a systematic review. Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 23574.
  • Zuckerman MK, Harper KN, Barrett R, Armelagos GJ. The evolution of disease: anthropological perspectives on epidemiologic transitions. Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 23303.
  • Mendenhall E, Weaver LJ. Reorienting women's health in low- and middle-income countries: the case of depression and Type 2 diabetes. Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 22803.
  • Yadav S, Arokiasamy P. Understanding epidemiological transition in India. Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 23248.
  • Thomas MB, James KS. Changes in mortality and human longevity in Kerala: are they leading to the advanced stage?. Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 22938.
  • Masquelier B, Waltisperger D, Ralijaona O, Pison G, Ravélo A. The epidemiological transition in Antananarivo, Madagascar: an assessment based on death registers (1900–2012). Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 23237.
  • Collinson MA, White MJ, Bocquier P, McGarvey ST, Afolabi SA, Clark SJ, etal. Migration and the epidemiological transition: insights from the Agincourt sub-district of northeast South Africa. Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 23514.
  • Jack H, Wagner RG, Petersen I, Thom R, Newton CR, Stein A, etal. Closing the mental health treatment gap in South Africa: a review of costs and cost-effectiveness. Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 23431.
  • Metta E, Msambichaka B, Mwangome M, Nyato DJ, Dieleman M, Haisma H, etal. Public policy, health system, and community actions against illness as platforms for response to NCDs in Tanzania: a narrative review. Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 23439.
  • Byass P, de Savigny D, Lopez AD. Essential evidence for guiding health system priorities and policies: anticipating epidemiological transition in Africa. Glob Health Action. 2014; 7 23359.
  • Notestein FW. Schultz TW. Population – the long view. 1945; Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press. 36–57. Food for the world.
  • Frenk J, Bobadilla J, Sepulveda J, Cervantes J. Health transition in middle-income countries: new challenges for health care. Health Policy Plan. 1989; 4: 29–39.
  • Caldwell JC. Basic premises for health transition in developing countries. World Health Stat Q. 1998; 51: 121–33.
  • Vallin J, Mesle F. Convergences and divergences in mortality: a new approach to health transition. Demographic Research 2004. DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2004.S2.2..
  • Keyfitz N. On the momentum of population growth. Demography. 1971; 8: 71–80.
  • Lee R. The demographic transition: three centuries of fundamental change. J Econ Perspect. 2003; 17: 167–90.
  • Blue L, Espenshade TJ. Population momentum across the demographic transition. Popul Dev Rev. 2011; 37: 721–47. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Mason KO. Explaining fertility transitions. Demography. 1997; 34: 443–54. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Coale A, Watkins SC. The decline of fertility in Europe. 1986; Princeton: Princeton University Press.
  • Vallin J. Caselli G, Vallin J, Wunsch G. De la mondialisation de la transition au retour des incertitudes (1940–2000). 2004; 117–70. Démographie: analyse et synthèse. Volume V, Histoire du peuplement et prévisions. Paris: Institut National d’Études Démographiques.
  • Omran AR. Population epidemiology: emerging field of inquiry for population and health students. Am J Public Health. 1974; 64: 674–9. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Omran AR, Omran AR. The world population problem. Community medicine in developing countries. 1974; New York: Springer. 107–8.
  • Caldwell JC, Findley S, Caldwell P, Santow G, Cosford W, Braid J, etal. What we know about the health transition: the cultural, social and behavioral determinants of health. 1990; Canberra: Australian National University.
  • Caldwell JC. Caldwell JC, Findley S, Caldwell P, Santow G, Cosford W, Braid J, etal. Introductory thoughts on health transition. What we know about health transition: the cultural, social and behavioural determinants of health. 1990; Canberra: Australian National University. xi–xiii.
  • Caldwell JC, Caldwell P. What have we learnt about the cultural, social and behavioral determinants of health? From selected readings to the first health transition workshop. Health Transit Rev. 1991; 1: 3–20. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Caldwell JC. Health transition: the cultural, social and behavioural determinants of health in the third world. Soc Sci Med. 1993; 36: 125–35. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Caldwell JC. Population health in transition. Bull World Health Organ. 2001; 79: 159–60. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Caldwell JC. Demographers and the study of mortality. Scope, perspectives, and theory. Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2001; 954: 19–34. [PubMed Abstract] In: Weinstein M, Hermalin AI, Stoto MA, eds. Population health and aging: strengthening the dialogue between epidemiology and demography.
  • Salomon J, Murray C. The epidemiologic transition revisited: compositional models for causes of death by age and sex. Popul Dev Rev. 2002; 28: 205–28.
  • Small-Raynor M, Phillips D. Late stages of epidemiological transition: health status in the developed world. Health Place. 1999; 5: 209–22.
  • Hill K, Vapattanawong P, Prasartkul P, Porapakkham Y, Lim SS, Lopez A. Epidemiologic transition interrupted: a reassessment of mortality trends in Thailand, 1980–2000. Int J Epidemiol. 2007; 36: 374–84. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Vallin J. Commentary: ‘epidemiologic transition’ interrupted or sweep to the second stage of ‘health transition’?. Int J Epidemiol. 2007; 36: 384–6. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Das V. Caldwell JC, Findley S, Caldwell P, Santow G, Cosford W, Braid J, etal. What do we mean by health?. What we know about health transition: the proceedings of an international workshop . 1990; Canberra: The Australian National University. 27–46.
  • Palloni A. Caldwell JC, Findley S, Caldwell P, Santow G, Cosford W, Braid J, etal. The meaning of the health transition. What we know about health transition: the proceedings of an international workshop . 1990; Canberra: The Australian National University. xvi–xvii.
  • Ruzicka L, Kane P. Caldwell JC, Findley S, Caldwell P, Santow G, Cosford W, Braid J, etal. Health transition: the course of morbidity and mortality. What we know about health transition: the proceedings of an international workshop . 1990; Canberra: The Australian National University. 1–26.
  • Zimmet P, Serjeantson S, Dowse G, Finch C. Caldwell JC, Findley S, Caldwell P, Santow G, Cosford W, Braid J, etal. Killed by the ‘good life’: the chronic disease epidemic adverse effects of lifestyle change in developing Pacific nations. What we know about health transition: the proceedings of an international workshop . 1990; Canberra: The Australian National University. 275–83.
  • Farmer P. Social inequalities and emerging infectious diseases. Emerg Infect Dis. 1996; 2: 259–69. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • MartiInez SC, Gustavo LF. Epidemiological transition: model or illusion? A look at the problem of health in Mexico. Soc Sci Med. 2003; 57: 539–50.
  • Frenk J, Bobadilla JL, Stern C, Frejka T, Lozano R. Elements for a theory of the health transition. Health Trans Rev. 1991; 1: 21–38.
  • Caldwell J, Santow G. Selected readings in the cultural, social and behavioural determinants of health. 1989; Canberra: Australian National University.
  • Mackenbach JP. The epidemiologic transition theory. J Epidemiol Community Health. 1994; 48: 329–31. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Riley JC. Sickness, recovery and death: a history and forecast of ill health. 1989; Iowa: University of Iowa Press.
  • Weisz G, Olszynko-Gryn J. The theory of epidemiologic transition: the origins of a citation classic. J Hist Med Allied Sci. 2010; 65: 287–326. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Robine JM. Life course, environmental change, and life span. Popul Dev Rev. 2003; 29: 229–38.
  • Armelagos GJ, Brown PJ, Turner B. Evolutionary, historical and political economic perspectives on health and disease. Soc Sci Med. 2005; 61: 755–65. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Condrau F, Worboys M. Second opinions: epidemics and infections in nineteenth-century Britain. Soc Hist Med. 2007; 20: 147–58.
  • Noymer A, Jarosz B. Causes of death in nineteenth-century New England: the dominance of infectious disease. Soc Hist Med. 2008; 21: 573–8.
  • Mooney G. Infectious diseases and epidemiologic transition in Victorian Britain? Definitely. Soc Hist Med. 2008; 20: 595–606.
  • Condrau F, Worboys M. Second opinions: final response epidemics and infections in nineteenth-century Britain. Soc Hist Med. 2009; 22: 165–71. [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Mesle F, Vallin J. Caselli G, Vallin J, Wunsch G. The health transition: trends and prospects. Demography, analysis and synthesis. A treatise in demography. 2006; New York: Elsevier. 247–602.
  • McKeown RE. The epidemiologic transition: changing patterns of mortality and population dynamics. Am J Lifestyle Med. 2009; 3: 19S. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Blackburn H. Holland WW, Olsen J, Florey C. Cardiovascular disease epidemiology. The development of modern epidemiology: personal reports from those who were there. 2007; New York: Oxford University Press. 71–92.
  • Gage TB. Are modern environments really bad for us? Revisiting the demographic and epidemiologic transitions. Am J Phys Anthropol. 2005; 48: 96–117.
  • Heuveline P, Guillot M, Gwatkin DR. The uneven tides of the health transition. Soc Sci Med. 2002; 55: 313–22. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Feachem RG, Jamison DT. Disease and mortality in sub-Saharan Africa. 1991; New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Jamison DT, Feachem RG, Makgoba MW, Bos ER, Baingana FK, Hofman KJ, etal. Disease and mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa. 2006; Washington, DC: The World Bank. 2nd ed.
  • United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. Changing levels and trends in mortality: the role of patterns of death by cause (United Nations publication, ST/ESA/SER.A/318). 2012. New York: United Nations..
  • Kuate Defo B. Areal and socioeconomic differentials in infant and child mortality in Cameroon. Soc Sci Med. 1996; 42: 399–420.
  • Chen LC, Macfarlane S, Jones DA. Health transition: from research to policy?. World Health Stat Q. 1998; 51: 137–43.
  • Parascandola M. The epidemiologic transition and changing concepts of causation and causal inference. Rev Hist Sci. 2011; 64: 243–62.
  • Karhausen LR. Causation: the elusive grail of epidemiology. Med Health Care Philos. 2000; 3: 59–67. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Morgan SL, Winship C. Counterfactuals and causal inference: methods and principles for social research. 2007; Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • Pearl J. Causality: models, reasoning, and inference. 2009; Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 2nd ed.
  • Spirtes P, Glymour C, Scheines R. Causation, prediction, and search. 2000; Cambridge: The MIT Press. 2nd ed.
  • Rubin DB. Causal inference using potential outcomes: design, modeling, decisions. J Am Stat Assoc. 2005; 100: 322–31.
  • Shadish WR, Cook TD, Campbell DT. Experimental and quasi-experimental designs for generalized causal inference. 2002; Boston, MA: Houghton Mifflin.
  • Kalbfleisch JD, Prentice RL. The statistical analysis of failure time data. 2002; Hoboken, NJ: Wiley. 2nd ed.
  • Rizopoulos D, Lesaffre E. Introduction to the special issue on joint modelling techniques. Stat Methods Med Res. 2014; 23: 3–10. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Koopman JS, Lynch JW. Individual causal models and population system models in epidemiology. Am J Public Health. 1999; 89: 1170–4. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Krieger N. Epidemiology and the web of causation: has anyone seen the spider?. Soc Sci Med. 1994; 39: 887–903. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Evashwick C. Creating the continuum of care. Health Matrix. 1989; 7: 30–9. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Cummins S, Curtis S, Diez-Roux AV, Macintyre S. Understanding and representing ‘place’ in health research: a relational approach. Soc Sci Med. 2007; 65: 1825–38. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Hertzman C, Power C. Health and human development: understandings from life-course research. Dev Neuropsychol. 2003; 24: 719–44. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Maklakov A, Lummaa V. Evolution of sex differences in lifespan and aging: causes and constraints. Bioessays. 2013; 35: 717–24. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Misra DP, Guyer B., Allston A. Integrated perinatal health framework: a multiple determinants model with a life span approach. Am J Prev Med. 2003; 25: 65–75. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Harris KM. An integrative approach to health. Demography. 2010; 47: 1–22. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Mosley WH, Chen LC. An analytical framework for the study of child survival in developing countries. Popul Dev Rev. 1984; 10: 25–45.
  • World Bank. Global monitoring report 2011: improving the odds of achieving the MDGs. 2011; Washington DC: The World Bank.
  • Kuate Defo B. The importance for the MDG4 and MDG5 of addressing reproductive health issues during the second decade of life: review and analysis from time series data of 51 African countries. Afr J Reprod Health. 2011; 15: 3–21.
  • Rose G. Sick individuals and sick populations. Int J Epidemiol. 1985; 14: 32–8. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Rose G. Strategy of preventive medicine, with commentary by Kay-Tee Khaw and Michael Marmot. 2008; Oxford: Oxford University Press.
  • Baum F. The new public health. 2011; Oxford: Oxford University Press. 3rd ed.
  • Gluckman P, Hanson M. Living with the past: evolution, development, and patterns of disease. Science. 2004; 305: 1733–6. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Susser MW. Causal thinking in the health sciences. 1973; New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Last JM. A dictionary of epidemiology. 1988; New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Wikman A, Marklund S, Alexanderson C. Illness, disease, and sickness absence: an empirical test of differences between concepts of ill health. J Epidemiol Community Health. 2005; 59: 450–4. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Hausman DM. Measuring or valuing population health: some conceptual problems. Public Health Ethics. 2012; 5: 229–39.
  • World Health Organization. Preamble to the Constitution of the World Health Organization as adopted by the International Health Conference, New York, 19–22 June 1946; signed on 22 July 1946 by the representatives of 61 States (Official Records of the World Health Organization, no. 2, p. 100) and entered into force on 7 April 1948. Available from: http://www.who.int/about/definition/en/ .
  • Hruschka DJ. Culture as an explanation in population health. Ann Hum Biol. 2009; 36: 235–47. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Pongou R. Why is infant mortality higher in boys than in girls? A new hypothesis based on preconception environment and evidence from a large sample of twins. Demography. 2013; 50: 421–44. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Bharadwaj P, Lakdawala L. Discrimination begins in the womb: evidence of sex-selective prenatal investments. J Hum Resour. 2013; 48: 71–113.
  • Bianchi S. A demographic perspective on family change. J Fam Theory Rev. 2014; 6: 35–44.
  • Mare RD. A multigenerational view of inequality. Demography. 2011; 48: 1–23. [PubMed Abstract] [PubMed CentralFull Text].
  • Siddiqi A, Hertzman C. Towards an epidemiological understanding of the effects of long-term institutional changes on population health: a case study of Canada versus the USA. Soc Sci Med. 2007; 64: 589–603. [PubMed Abstract].
  • World Bank. World development report 2012: gender equality and development. 2012; Washington, DC: The World Bank.
  • Kunitz SJ. The health of populations: general theories and particular realities. 2007; New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Inhorn MC, van Balen F. Infertility around the world: new thinking on childlessness, gender, and reproductive technologies. 2002; Berkeley: The University of California Press.
  • Mirea L, Yang J, Paterson AD, Shah V, Bassil KL, Lee SK, etal. Relationship of mode of conception and sex concordance with mortality/morbidity in preterm twins. Twin Res Hum Genet. 2013; 16: 985–93. [PubMed Abstract].
  • McKeown T. The origins of human disease. 1988; Oxford: Blackwell.
  • McKeown T. The role of medicine: dream, mirage or nemesis. 1979; Oxford: Blackwell.
  • Irwin A, Valentine N, Brown C, Loewenson R, Solar O, Brown H, etal. The commission on social determinants of health: tackling the social roots of health inequities. PLoS Med. 2006; 3: 106.
  • Robins J. The control of confounding by intermediate variables. Stat Med. 1989; 8: 679–701. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Fogel RW. Rosenzweig M, Stark O. New findings on secular trends in nutrition and mortality: some implications for population theory. Handbook of population and family economics. 1997; Amsterdam: Elsevier. 433–81.
  • Nobile A. Pinnelli A, Racioppi F, Rettaroli R. Male excess mortality between biology and culture. Genders in the life course . 2007; New York: Springer Science + Business Media. 249–81.
  • Fries JF. Compression of morbidity revisited: frailty, heart disease, and stroke – the compression of morbidity paradigm. Am J Prev Med. 2005; 29: 164–8. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Prince M, Patel V, Saxena S, Maj M, Maselko J, Phillips MR, etal. No health without mental health. Lancet. 2007; 370: 859–77. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Philippe P, Mansi O. Nonlinearity in the epidemiology of complex health and disease processes. Theor Med Bioeth. 1998; 19: 591–607. [PubMed Abstract].
  • Redman CL, Jones NS. The environmental, social, and health dimensions of urban expansion. Popul Environ. 2005; 26: 505–20.