4,171
Views
52
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Research Papers

Future changes in extreme storm surges based on mega-ensemble projection using 60-km resolution atmospheric global circulation model

ORCID Icon, ORCID Icon, ORCID Icon, ORCID Icon, ORCID Icon, , ORCID Icon & ORCID Icon show all
Pages 295-307 | Received 27 Sep 2018, Accepted 11 Feb 2019, Published online: 20 Mar 2019

Keep up to date with the latest research on this topic with citation updates for this article.

Read on this site (4)

Felício Cassalho, Tyler W. Miesse, Arslaan Khalid, André de S. de Lima, Celso M. Ferreira, Martin Henke & Thomas M. Ravens. (2022) Intercomparing atmospheric reanalysis products for hydrodynamic and wave modeling of extreme events during the open-water Arctic season. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research 54:1, pages 125-146.
Read now
Sotaro Mori, Tomoya Shimura, Takuya Miyashita, Adrean Webb & Nobuhito Mori. (2022) Future changes in extreme storm surge based on a maximum potential storm surge model for East Asia. Coastal Engineering Journal 64:4, pages 630-647.
Read now
Naoto Inagaki, Tomoya Shibayama, Tomoyuki Takabatake, Miguel Esteban, Martin Mäll & Thit Oo Kyaw. (2022) Increase in overtopping rate caused by local gust-winds during the passage of a typhoon. Coastal Engineering Journal 64:1, pages 116-134.
Read now
Takenori Shimozono, Yoshimitsu Tajima, Kenzou Kumagai, Taro Arikawa, Yukinobu Oda, Yoshinori Shigihara, Nobuhito Mori & Takayuki Suzuki. (2020) Coastal impacts of super typhoon Hagibis on Greater Tokyo and Shizuoka areas, Japan. Coastal Engineering Journal 62:2, pages 129-145.
Read now

Articles from other publishers (48)

Mizuki Shinohara & Masaru Inatsu. (2023) Stochastic Precipitation Model Using Large Ensemble Data. Journal of Disaster Research 18:8, pages 868-876.
Crossref
Sanne Muis, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, José A. Á. Antolínez, Job C. Dullaart, Trang Minh Duong, Li Erikson, Rein J. Haarsma, Maialen Irazoqui Apecechea, Matthias Mengel, Dewi Le Bars, Andrea O’Neill, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Malcolm J. Roberts, Martin Verlaan, Philip J. Ward & Kun Yan. (2023) Global Projections of Storm Surges Using High‐Resolution CMIP6 Climate Models. Earth's Future 11:9.
Crossref
Suzana J. Camargo, Hiroyuki Murakami, Nadia Bloemendaal, Savin S. Chand, Medha S. Deshpande, Christian Dominguez-Sarmiento, Juan Jesús González-Alemán, Thomas R. Knutson, I.-I. Lin, Il-Ju Moon, Christina M. Patricola, Kevin A. Reed, Malcolm J. Roberts, Enrico Scoccimarro, Chi Yung (Francis) Tam, Elizabeth J. Wallace, Liguang Wu, Yohei Yamada, Wei Zhang & Haikun Zhao. (2023) An update on the influence of natural climate variability and anthropogenic climate change on tropical cyclones. Tropical Cyclone Research and Review 12:3, pages 216-239.
Crossref
Melissa Wood, Ivan D. Haigh, Quan Quan Le, Hung Nghia Nguyen, Hoang Ba Tran, Stephen E. Darby, Robert Marsh, Nikolaos Skliris, Joël J.-M. Hirschi, Robert J. Nicholls & Nadia Bloemendaal. (2023) Climate-induced storminess forces major increases in future storm surge hazard in the South China Sea region. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 23:7, pages 2475-2504.
Crossref
Youngkyu Kim, Minwoo Son & Steven M. Figueroa. (2023) Assessment of the applicability of large‐scale climate ensemble simulations for analysing future extreme rainfall. International Journal of Climatology.
Crossref
Hanqing Xu, Elisa Ragno, Jinkai Tan, Alessandro Antonini, Jeremy D. Bricker, Sebastiaan N. Jonkman, Qing Liu & Jun Wang. (2023) Perspectives on Compound Flooding in Chinese Estuary Regions. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 14:2, pages 269-279.
Crossref
Svetlana Jevrejeva, Joanne Williams, Michalis I Vousdoukas & Luke P Jackson. (2023) Future sea level rise dominates changes in worst case extreme sea levels along the global coastline by 2100. Environmental Research Letters 18:2, pages 024037.
Crossref
Benoit Laignel, Stefano Vignudelli, Rafael Almar, Mélanie Becker, Abderrahim Bentamy, Jérôme Benveniste, Florence Birol, Frédéric Frappart, Deborah Idier, Edward Salameh, Marcello Passaro, Melisa Menende, Marc Simard, Emma Imen Turki & Charles Verpoorter. (2023) Observation of the Coastal Areas, Estuaries and Deltas from Space. Surveys in Geophysics.
Crossref
Paolo Scussolini, Job Dullaart, Sanne Muis, Alessio Rovere, Pepijn Bakker, Dim Coumou, Hans Renssen, Philip J. Ward & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts. (2023) Modeled storm surge changes in a warmer world: the Last Interglacial. Climate of the Past 19:1, pages 141-157.
Crossref
Nobuhito Mori & Tomoya Shimura. (2022) Tropical cyclone-induced coastal sea level projection and the adaptation to a changing climate. Cambridge Prisms: Coastal Futures 1.
Crossref
John E. Hay & Paul D. Williams. 2023. Science of Weather, Climate and Ocean Extremes. Science of Weather, Climate and Ocean Extremes 17 80 .
John E. Hay & Paul D. Williams. 2023. Science of Weather, Climate and Ocean Extremes. Science of Weather, Climate and Ocean Extremes 181 191 .
Si Ha, Toshio Fujimi, Xinyu Jiang, Nobuhito Mori, Rawshan A. Begum, Masahide Watanabe, Hirokazu Tatano & Eiichi Nakakita. (2022) Estimating Household Preferences for Coastal Flood Risk Mitigation Policies Under Ambiguity. Earth's Future 10:12.
Crossref
Rui Ito, Hiroaki Kawase & Yukiko Imada. (2022) Regional Differences in Summertime Extremely High Temperature in Japan due to Global Warming. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 61:10, pages 1573-1587.
Crossref
Aakanchya Budhathoki, Tomohiro Tanaka & Yasuto Tachikawa. (2022) Correcting streamflow bias considering its spatial structure for impact assessment of climate change on floods using d4PDF in the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 42, pages 101150.
Crossref
Tim Willem Bart Leijnse, Alessio Giardino, Kees Nederhoff & Sofia Caires. (2022) Generating reliable estimates of tropical-cyclone-induced coastal hazards along the Bay of Bengal for current and future climates using synthetic tracks. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 22:6, pages 1863-1891.
Crossref
Youngkyu Kim, Minwoo Son & Sunmin Kim. (2022) Application of Large-scale Climate Simulation Data to Evaluate the Scale of Extreme Rainfall Events: A Case of the 2018 Hiroshima Extreme-scale Rainfall Event. Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation 22:2, pages 27-38.
Crossref
Audrius Sabūnas, Nobuhito Mori, Tomoya Shimura, Nobuki Fukui & Takuya Miyashita. (2022) Estimating Compounding Storm Surge and Sea Level Rise Effects and Bias Correction Impact when Projecting Future Impact on Volcanic Islands in Oceania. Case Study of Viti Levu, Fiji. Frontiers in Built Environment 8.
Crossref
T. Shimura, W. J. Pringle, N. Mori, T. Miyashita & K. Yoshida. (2022) Seamless Projections of Global Storm Surge and Ocean Waves Under a Warming Climate. Geophysical Research Letters 49:6.
Crossref
Juiche CHANG, Tomohiro TANAKA & Yasuto TACHIKAWA. (2022) FREQUENCY ANALYSIS OF PAST AND FUTURE EXTREME RAINFALL EVENTS IN TAIWAN USING d4PDF. Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B1 (Hydraulic Engineering) 78:2, pages I_457-I_462.
Crossref
Toshikazu OTAKI, Hironori FUDEYASU, Nadao KOHNO, Tetsuya TAKEMI, Nobuhito MORI & Koki IIDA. (2022) Investigation of Characteristics of Maximum Storm Surges in Japanese Coastal Regions Caused by Typhoon Jebi (2018) Based on Typhoon Track Ensemble Simulations台風経路アンサンブルシミュレーションを用いた台風Jebi(2018)による日本の沿岸域における最大潮位偏差の調査. Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II 100:4, pages 661-676.
Crossref
Audrius Sabūnas, Takuya Miyashita, Nobuki Fukui, Tomoya Shimura & Nobuhito Mori. (2021) Impact Assessment of Storm Surge and Climate Change-Enhanced Sea Level Rise on Atoll Nations: A Case Study of the Tarawa Atoll, Kiribati. Frontiers in Built Environment 7.
Crossref
Angélique Melet, Carlo Buontempo, Matteo Mattiuzzi, Peter Salamon, Pierre Bahurel, George Breyiannis, Samantha Burgess, Laurence Crosnier, Pierre-Yves Le Traon, Lorenzo Mentaschi, Julien Nicolas, Lorenzo Solari, Freja Vamborg & Evangelos Voukouvalas. (2021) European Copernicus Services to Inform on Sea-Level Rise Adaptation: Current Status and Perspectives. Frontiers in Marine Science 8.
Crossref
Tomohiro Tanaka, Keita Kobayashi & Yasuto Tachikawa. (2021) Simultaneous flood risk analysis and its future change among all the 109 class-A river basins in Japan using a large ensemble climate simulation database d4PDF. Environmental Research Letters 16:7, pages 074059.
Crossref
Kevin Horsburgh, Ivan D. Haigh, Jane Williams, Michela De Dominicis, Judith Wolf, Addina Inayatillah & David Byrne. (2021) “Grey swan” storm surges pose a greater coastal flood hazard than climate change. Ocean Dynamics 71:6-7, pages 715-730.
Crossref
Nobuhito Mori, Tetsuya Takemi, Yasuto Tachikawa, Hirokazu Tatano, Tomoya Shimura, Tomohiro Tanaka, Toshimi Fujimi, Yukari Osakada, Adrean Webb & Eiichi Nakakita. (2021) Recent nationwide climate change impact assessments of natural hazards in Japan and East Asia. Weather and Climate Extremes 32, pages 100309.
Crossref
Tao Yamamoto, So Kazama, Yoshiya Touge, Hayata Yanagihara, Tsuyoshi Tada, Takeshi Yamashita & Hiroyuki Takizawa. (2021) Evaluation of flood damage reduction throughout Japan from adaptation measures taken under a range of emissions mitigation scenarios. Climatic Change 165:3-4.
Crossref
Nobuhito Mori, Nozomi Ariyoshi, Tomoya Shimura, Takuya Miyashita & Junichi Ninomiya. (2021) Future projection of maximum potential storm surge height at three major bays in Japan using the maximum potential intensity of a tropical cyclone. Climatic Change 164:3-4.
Crossref
Joško Trošelj, Junichi Ninomiya, Satoshi Takewaka & Nobuhito Mori. (2021) Dynamical Downscaling of Coastal Dynamics for Two Extreme Storm Surge Events in Japan. Frontiers in Marine Science 7.
Crossref
Tomoya SHIMURA, William J. PRINGLE, Nobuhito MORI, Takuya MIYASHITA & Kohei YOSHIDA. (2021) GLOBAL STORM SURGE AND EXTREME WAVE CHANGES UNDER WARMING CLIMATE FROM PAST TO FUTURE過去から温暖化条件下の将来へのシームレスな全球高潮・高波評価. Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 77:2, pages I_949-I_954.
Crossref
Naoto Inagaki, Tomoya Shibayama, Miguel Esteban & Tomoyuki Takabatake. (2020) Effect of translate speed of typhoon on wind waves. Natural Hazards 105:1, pages 841-858.
Crossref
Masayoshi Ishii & Nobuhito Mori. (2020) d4PDF: large-ensemble and high-resolution climate simulations for global warming risk assessment. Progress in Earth and Planetary Science 7:1.
Crossref
Zhiduo Yan, Guoxiang Wu, Bingchen Liang & Ping Li. (2020) A Stochastic Tropical Cyclone Model for the Northwestern Pacific Ocean with Improved Track and Intensity Representations. Applied Ocean Research 105, pages 102423.
Crossref
Audrius Sabūnas, Nobuhito Mori, Nobuki Fukui, Takuya Miyashita & Tomoya Shimura. (2020) Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Storm Surge and Sea Level Rise Around Viti Levu, Fiji. Frontiers in Climate 2.
Crossref
Sooyoul Kim, Hajime Mase, Nguyen Ba Thuy, Masahide Takeda, Cao Truong Tran & Vu Hai Dang. (2020) Development of GMDH-Based Storm Surge Forecast Models for Sakaiminato, Tottori, Japan. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering 8:10, pages 797.
Crossref
Jung-A Yang, Sooyoul Kim, Sangyoung Son, Nobuhito Mori & Hajime Mase. (2020) Assessment of uncertainties in projecting future changes to extreme storm surge height depending on future SST and greenhouse gas concentration scenarios. Climatic Change 162:2, pages 425-442.
Crossref
A. Melet, R. Almar, M. Hemer, G. Le Cozannet, B. Meyssignac & P. Ruggiero. (2020) Contribution of Wave Setup to Projected Coastal Sea Level Changes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 125:8.
Crossref
Ebru Kirezci, Ian R. Young, Roshanka Ranasinghe, Sanne Muis, Robert J. Nicholls, Daniel Lincke & Jochen Hinkel. (2020) Projections of global-scale extreme sea levels and resulting episodic coastal flooding over the 21st Century. Scientific Reports 10:1.
Crossref
Benjamin Poschlod, Florian Willkofer & Ralf Ludwig. (2020) Impact of Climate Change on the Hydrological Regimes in Bavaria. Water 12:6, pages 1599.
Crossref
Tomohiro Tanaka, Keiko Kiyohara & Yasuto Tachikawa. (2020) Comparison of fluvial and pluvial flood risk curves in urban cities derived from a large ensemble climate simulation dataset: A case study in Nagoya, Japan. Journal of Hydrology 584, pages 124706.
Crossref
Roshanka Ranasinghe. (2020) On the need for a new generation of coastal change models for the 21st century. Scientific Reports 10:1.
Crossref
Tomoya SHIMURA, Nobuhito MORI, Daisuke URANO & Ryo MIZUTA. (2020) SYSTEMATIC IMPACTS OF SURFACE DRAG CONSIDERING MISALIGNMENT OF WAVE-WIND DIRECTION ON TYPHOON CHARACTERISTICS波浪結合全球大気気候モデルによる波向−風向のずれを考慮した海面抵抗係数の台風統計量への系統的影響評価. Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 76:2, pages I_151-I_156.
Crossref
Sota NAKAJO & Nobuhito MORI. (2020) APPLICATION OF FUTURE TYPHOON CHARACTERISTICS ON A URBAN SCALE USING A GLOBAL STOCHASTIC TROPICAL CYCLONE MODEL全球確率台風モデルを用いた将来の台風特性の都市域スケールでの評価. Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 76:2, pages I_1141-I_1146.
Crossref
Sotaro MORI & Nobuhito MORI. (2020) FUTURE CHANGE IN TROPICAL CYCLONE INTENSITY BY CLIMATE CHANGE BASED ON d4PDF/d2PDF DATASETSd4PDF/d2PDFにもとづく気候変動による熱帯低気圧強度の将来変化. Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 76:2, pages I_1099-I_1104.
Crossref
Kanoto YOKOYAMA, Tomohiro YASUDA, Sooyoul KIM, Sota NAKAJO & Tomoya SHIMURA. (2020) STUDY ON STATISTICAL PREDICTION METHOD OF STORM SURGES IN THE SETO INLAND SEA EMPLOYING STOCHASTIC TYPHOON MODEL確率台風モデルを援用した瀬戸内海における高潮の統計的予測手法に関する研究. Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 76:2, pages I_1087-I_1092.
Crossref
Yuya TAKA, Junichi NINOMIYA, Nobuhito MORI & Sooyoul KIM. (2019) FUTURE CHANGE OF STORM SURGE CAUSED BY EXPLOSIVE CYCLONE IN NEMURO BAY USING D4PDFd4PDFを用いた根室における爆弾低気圧に起因する高潮の将来変化. Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 75:2, pages I_1225-I_1230.
Crossref
Adrean WEBB, Tomoya SHIMURA & Nobuhito MORI. (2019) Global Tropical Cyclone Track Detection and Analysis of the d4PDF Mega-ensemble Projection. Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 75:2, pages I_1207-I_1212.
Crossref
Ayano SONODA, Yoshihiko IDE, Masaru YAMASHIRO, Noriaki HASHIMOTO & Katsuyuki SUZUYAMA. (2019) STUDY ON FUTURE STORM SURGE AROUND SUO-NADA SEA周防灘における将来の高潮に関する研究. Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering) 75:2, pages I_1183-I_1188.
Crossref