Article title: “Challenging the Status Quo: Predicting Violence with Sparse Decision-Making Data”
Authors: Konstantin Bätz, Ann-Cathrin Klöckner, and Gerald Schneider
Journal: International Interactions
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2051024
Citations to the articles introducing and comparing the contributions to the prediction competition special issue were missing in the initially published article. They are now added.
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Article title: “Conflict Forecasting with Event Data and Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks”
Authors: Patrick T. Brandt, Vito D’Orazio, Latifur Khan, Yi-Fan Li, Javier Osorio, and Marcus Sianan
Journal: International Interactions
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2036987
Citations to the articles introducing and comparing the contributions to the prediction competition special issue were missing in the initially published article. They are now added.
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Article title: “A Shape-Based Approach to Conflict Forecasting”
Authors: Thomas Chadefaux
Journal: International Interactions
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2009821
Citations to the articles introducing and comparing the contributions to the prediction competition special issue were missing in the initially published article. They are now added.
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Article title: “Forecasting Conflict in Africa with Automated Machine Learning Systems”
Authors: Vito D’Orazio and Yu Lin
Journal: International Interactions
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2017290
Citations to the articles introducing and comparing the contributions to the prediction competition special issue were missing in the initially published article. They are now added.
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Article title: “Forecasting Conflict Using a Diverse Machine-Learning Ensemble: Ensemble Averaging with Multiple Tree-Based Algorithms and Variance Promoting Data Configurations”
Authors: Felix Ettensperger
Journal: International Interactions
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.1993209
Citations to the articles introducing and comparing the contributions to the prediction competition special issue were missing in the initially published article. They are now added.
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Article title: “The Role of Governmental Weapons Procurements in Forecasting Monthly Fatalities in Intrastate Conflicts: A Semiparametric Hierarchical Hurdle Model”
Authors: Cornelius Fritz, Marius Mehrl, Paul W. Thurner, and Göran Kauermann
Journal: International Interactions
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.1993210
Citations to the articles introducing and comparing the contributions to the prediction competition special issue were missing in the initially published article. They are now added.
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Article title: “Recurrent Neural Networks for Conflict Forecasting”
Authors: Iris Malone
Journal: International Interactions
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2016736
Citations to the articles introducing and comparing the contributions to the prediction competition special issue were missing in the initially published article. They are now added.
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Article title: “High Resolution Conflict Forecasting with Spatial Convolutions and Long Short-Term Memory”
Authors: Benjamin J. Radford
Journal: International Interactions
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2031182
Citations to the articles introducing and comparing the contributions to the prediction competition special issue were missing in the initially published article. They are now added.
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Article title: “United They Stand: Findings from an Escalation Prediction Competition”
Authors: Paola Vesco, Håvard Hegre, Michael Colaresi, Remco Bastiaan Jansen, Adeline Lo, Gregor Reisch, and Nils B. Weidmann
Journal: International Interactions
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2029856
In the initially published article, due to an error in production, the formula for TADDA (Equation 3) was not readable as it overlapped with the text, and there was a typo in the conclusions. These issues are now corrected. References to the newly published articles in this Special Issue have also been updated.
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Article title: “Predicting (de-)Escalation of Sub-National Violence Using Gradient Boosting: Does It Work?
Authors: Jonas Vestby, Jürgen Brandsch, Vilde Bergstad Larsen, Peder Landsverk, and Andreas F. Tollefsen
Journal: International Interactions
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2021198
Citations to the articles introducing and comparing the contributions to the prediction competition special issue were missing in the initially published article. They are now added.