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Original Articles

Atmospheric predictability experiments with a large numerical model

Pages 505-513 | Received 28 Jan 1982, Published online: 15 Dec 2016

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Johannes Röhrs, Graig Sutherland, Gus Jeans, Michael Bedington, Ann Kristin Sperrevik, Knut-Frode Dagestad, Yvonne Gusdal, Cecilie Mauritzen, Andrew Dale & Joseph H. LaCasce. (2023) Surface currents in operational oceanography: Key applications, mechanisms, and methods. Journal of Operational Oceanography 16:1, pages 60-88.
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Jew Das, Velpuri Manikanta, K. Nikhil Teja & N. V. Umamahesh. (2022) Two decades of ensemble flood forecasting: a state-of-the-art on past developments, present applications and future opportunities. Hydrological Sciences Journal 67:3, pages 477-493.
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Davide Faranda, Gabriele Messori & Stephane Vannitsem. (2019) Attractor dimension of time-averaged climate observables: insights from a low-order ocean-atmosphere model. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 71:1.
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Dong-Hai WANG & Yan-Feng ZHAO. (2018) Effective approaches to extending medium-term forecasting of persistent severe precipitation in regional models. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters 11:2, pages 150-156.
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Jie Feng, Zoltan Toth & Malaquias Peña. (2017) Spatially extended estimates of analysis and short-range forecast error variances. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 69:1.
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Nedjeljka Žagar. (2017) A global perspective of the limits of prediction skill of NWP models. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 69:1.
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Nedjeljka Žagar, Martin Horvat, Žiga Zaplotnik & Linus Magnusson. (2017) Scale-dependent estimates of the growth of forecast uncertainties in a global prediction system. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 69:1.
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Alan J. Geer. (2016) Significance of changes in medium-range forecast scores. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 68:1.
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Nikki C. Privé & Ronald M. Errico. (2015) Spectral analysis of forecast error investigated with an observing system simulation experiment. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 67:1.
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Malaquias Peña & Zoltan Toth. (2014) Estimation of analysis and forecast error variances. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 66:1.
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Lizzie S. R. Froude, Lennart Bengtsson & Kevin I. Hodges. (2013) Atmospheric predictability revisited. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 65:1.
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Trond Iversen, Alex Deckmyn, Carlos Santos, Kai Sattler, John BjØRnar Bremnes, Henrik Feddersen & Inger-Lise Frogner. (2011) Evaluation of ‘GLAMEPS’—a proposed multimodel EPS for short range forecasting. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 63:3, pages 513-530.
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Trygve Aspelien, Trond Iversen, John BjØRnar Bremnes & Inger-Lise Frogner. (2011) Short-range probabilistic forecasts from the Norwegian limited-area EPS: long-term validation and a polar low study. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 63:3, pages 564-584.
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Linus Magnusson, Jonas Nycander & Erland Källén. (2009) Flow-dependent versus flow-independent initial perturbations for ensemble prediction. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 61:2, pages 194-209.
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Lennart Bengtsso & Kevin I. Hodges. (2006) A note on atmospheric predictability. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 58:1, pages 154-157.
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Lennart Bengtsson & Kevin I. Hodges. (2005) On the impact of humidity observations in numerical weather prediction. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 57:5, pages 701-708.
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Lennart Bengtsson, Kevin I. Hodges & Lizzie S. R. Froude. (2005) Global observations and forecast skill. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 57:4, pages 515-527.
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D. Orrell. (2002) Role of the metric in forecast error growth: how chaotic is the weather?. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 54:4, pages 350-362.
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Ronald M. Errico & Rolf Langland. (1999) Notes on the appropriateness of “bred modes” for generating initial perturbations used in ensemble prediction. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 51:3, pages 431-441.
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Richard Kleeman & Scott B. Power. (1994) Limits to predictability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere model due to atmospheric noise. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 46:4, pages 529-540.
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Jan Barkmeijer, Peter Houtekamer & Xueli Wang. (1993) Validation of a skill prediction method. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 45:5, pages 424-434.
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Stefano Tibaldi & Franco Molteni. (1990) On the operational predictability of blocking. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 42:3, pages 343-365.
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Erland KällÉN & Xiang-Yu Huang. (1988) The influence of isolated observations on short-range numerical weather forecasts. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 40:4, pages 324-336.
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Jean-Françis Lacarra & Olivier Talagrand. (1988) Short-range evolution of small perturbations in a barotropic model. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 40:2, pages 81-95.
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Amnon Dalcher & Eugenia Kalnay. (1987) Error growth and predictability in operational ECMWF forecasts. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 39:5, pages 474-491.
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K. K. Tung & A. J. Rosenthal. (1986) On the extended-range predictability of large-scale quasi-stationary patterns in the atmosphere. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 38:4, pages 333-365.
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Edward N. Lorenz. (1984) Irregularity: a fundamental property of the atmosphere. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography 36:2, pages 98-110.
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HarleyE. Hurlburt. (1984) The potential for ocean prediction and the role of altimeter data. Marine Geodesy 8:1-4, pages 17-66.
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