Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Volume 57, Issue 3 (2005)

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Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Volume 57, Issue 3 (2005)

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Preface

Introduction
Preface
Tim Palmer (Coordinator of DEMETER)
Pages: 217-218
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
CitationforPreface | PDF (31.6 KB)
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Original Articles

Article
The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting — I. Basic concept
Renate Hagedorn, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes & T.N. Palmer
Pages: 219-233
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforThe rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting — I. Basic concept | References | PDF (640.9 KB)
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Article
The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting — II. Calibration and combination
Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Renate Hagedorn & T.N. Palmer
Pages: 234-252
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforThe rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting — II. Calibration and combination | References | PDF (653.6 KB)
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Article
Forecast assimilation: a unified framework for the combination of multi-model weather and climate predictions
D.B. Stephenson, C.A.S. Coelho, F.J. Doblas-Reyes & M. Balmaseda
Pages: 253-264
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforForecast assimilation: a unified framework for the combination of multi-model weather and climate predictions | References | PDF (446.6 KB)
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Article
A new view of seasonal forecast skill: bounding boxes from the DEMETER ensemble forecasts
Antje Weisheimer, Leonard A. Smith & Kevin Judd
Pages: 265-279
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforA new view of seasonal forecast skill: bounding boxes from the DEMETER ensemble forecasts | References | PDF (1.5 MB)
  • 86 Views
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Article
A multi-model superensemble algorithm for seasonal climate prediction using DEMETER forecasts
W.T. Yun, L. Stefanova, A.K. Mitra, T.S.V. Vijaya Kumar, W. Dewar & T.N. Krishnamurti
Pages: 280-289
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforA multi-model superensemble algorithm for seasonal climate prediction using DEMETER forecasts | References | PDF (520.6 KB)
  • 249 Views
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Article
Winter climate regimes over the North Atlantic and European region in ERA40 reanalysis and DEMETER seasonal hindcasts
C. Fil & L. Dubus
Pages: 290-307
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforWinter climate regimes over the North Atlantic and European region in ERA40 reanalysis and DEMETER seasonal hindcasts | References | PDF (1 MB)
  • 352 Views
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Article
Actual and potential skill of seasonal predictions using the CNRM contribution to DEMETER: coupled versus uncoupled model
Jean-FranÇois Guérémy, Michel Déqué, Alain Braun & Jean-Philippe Piedelièvre
Pages: 308-319
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforActual and potential skill of seasonal predictions using the CNRM contribution to DEMETER: coupled versus uncoupled model | References | PDF (709 KB)
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Article
A performance comparison of coupled and uncoupled versions of the Met Office seasonal prediction general circulation model
R.J. Graham, M. Gordon, P.J. McLean, S. Ineson, M.R. Huddleston, M.K. Davey, A. Brookshaw & R.T.H. Barnes
Pages: 320-339
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforA performance comparison of coupled and uncoupled versions of the Met Office seasonal prediction general circulation model | References | PDF (2 MB)
  • 109 Views
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Article
A coupled method for initializing El Niño Southern Oscillation forecasts using sea surface temperature
Noel Keenlyside, Mojib Latif, Michael Botzet, Johann Jungclaus & Uwe Schulzweida
Pages: 340-356
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforA coupled method for initializing El Niño Southern Oscillation forecasts using sea surface temperature | References | PDF (2.5 MB)
  • 163 Views
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Article
Impact of atmospheric horizontal resolution on El Niño Southern Oscillation forecasts
Silvio Gualdi, Andrea Alessandri & Antonio Navarra
Pages: 357-374
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforImpact of atmospheric horizontal resolution on El Niño Southern Oscillation forecasts | References | PDF (2.2 MB)
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Article
Ensembles of global ocean analyses for seasonal climate prediction: impact of temperature assimilation
Philippe Rogel, Anthony T. Weaver, Nicolas Daget, Sophie Ricci & Eric Machu
Pages: 375-386
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforEnsembles of global ocean analyses for seasonal climate prediction: impact of temperature assimilation | References | PDF (2 MB)
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Article
Seasonal forecast of tropical climate with coupled ocean’atmosphere general circulation models: on the respective role of the atmosphere and the ocean components in the drift of the surface temperature error
A. Lazar, A. Vintzileos, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, P. Rogel & P. Delecluse
Pages: 387-397
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforSeasonal forecast of tropical climate with coupled ocean’atmosphere general circulation models: on the respective role of the atmosphere and the ocean components in the drift of the surface temperature error | References | PDF (488.5 KB)
  • 57 Views
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Article
A method for statistical downscaling of seasonal ensemble predictions
Henrik Feddersen & Uffe Andersen
Pages: 398-408
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforA method for statistical downscaling of seasonal ensemble predictions | References | PDF (266.4 KB)
  • 595 Views
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Article
Statistical and dynamical downscaling of precipitation over Spain from DEMETER seasonal forecasts
E. Díez, C. Primo, J.A. García-Moya, J.M. Gutiérrez & B. Orfila
Pages: 409-423
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforStatistical and dynamical downscaling of precipitation over Spain from DEMETER seasonal forecasts | References | PDF (811.2 KB)
  • 171 Views
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Article
Downscaling of DEMETER winter seasonal hindcasts over Northern Italy
V. Pavan, S. Marchesi, A. Morgillo, C. Cacciamani & F.J. Doblas-Reyes
Pages: 424-434
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforDownscaling of DEMETER winter seasonal hindcasts over Northern Italy | References | PDF (128.5 KB)
  • 110 Views
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Article
Analysis and downscaling multi-model seasonal forecasts in Peru using self-organizing maps
J.M. Gutiérrez, R. Cano, A.S. Cofiño & C. Sordo
Pages: 435-447
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforAnalysis and downscaling multi-model seasonal forecasts in Peru using self-organizing maps | References | PDF (646.2 KB)
  • 426 Views
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Article
Operational predictability of monthly average maximum temperature over the Iberian Peninsula using DEMETER simulations and downscaling
M. Dolores Frías, Jesús Fernández, Jon Sáenz & Concepción Rodríguez-Puebla
Pages: 448-463
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforOperational predictability of monthly average maximum temperature over the Iberian Peninsula using DEMETER simulations and downscaling | References | PDF (708.7 KB)
  • 124 Views
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Article
A forecast quality assessment of an end-to-end probabilistic multi-model seasonal forecast system using a malaria model
Andrew P. Morse, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Moshe B. Hoshen, Renate Hagedorn & Tim N. Palmer
Pages: 464-475
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforA forecast quality assessment of an end-to-end probabilistic multi-model seasonal forecast system using a malaria model | References | PDF (157.4 KB)
  • 291 Views
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Article
Seasonal weather forecasts for crop yield modelling in Europe
Pierre Cantelaube & Jean-Michel Terres
Pages: 476-487
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforSeasonal weather forecasts for crop yield modelling in Europe | References | PDF (418.7 KB)
  • 1991 Views
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Article
Evaluation of downscaled DEMETER multi-model ensemble seasonal hindcasts in a northern Italy location by means of a model of wheat growth and soil water balance
V. Marletto, F. Zinoni, L. Criscuolo, G. Fontana, S. Marchesi, A. Morgillo, M. Van Soetendael, E. Ceotto & U. Andersen
Pages: 488-497
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforEvaluation of downscaled DEMETER multi-model ensemble seasonal hindcasts in a northern Italy location by means of a model of wheat growth and soil water balance | References | PDF (193.5 KB)
  • 196 Views
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Article
Probabilistic simulations of crop yield over western India using the DEMETER seasonal hindcast ensembles
A.J. Challinor, J.M. Slingo, T.R. Wheeler & F.J. Doblas-Reyes
Pages: 498-512
Published online: 15 Dec 2016
AbstractforProbabilistic simulations of crop yield over western India using the DEMETER seasonal hindcast ensembles | References | PDF (225.3 KB)
  • 290 Views
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