The American Statistician, Volume 73, Issue sup1 (2019)

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The American Statistician, Volume 73, Issue sup1 (2019)

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Statistical Inference in the 21st Century: A World Beyond p < 0.05

Editorial

Editorial
Moving to a World Beyond “p < 0.05”
Ronald L. Wasserstein, Allen L. Schirm & Nicole A. Lazar
Pages: 1-19
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
First Page PreviewforMoving to a World Beyond “p < 0.05” | Full Text | References | PDF (1.5 MB) | EPUB
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Getting to a Post “p<0.05” Era

Article
What Have We (Not) Learnt from Millions of Scientific Papers with P Values?
John P. A. Ioannidis
Pages: 20-25
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforWhat Have We (Not) Learnt from Millions of Scientific Papers with P Values? | Full Text | References | PDF (392.2 KB) | EPUB
  • 36675 Views
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Article
Why is Getting Rid of P-Values So Hard? Musings on Science and Statistics
Steven N. Goodman
Pages: 26-30
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforWhy is Getting Rid of P-Values So Hard? Musings on Science and Statistics | Full Text | References | PDF (597.5 KB) | EPUB
  • 16058 Views
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Article
Will the ASA's Efforts to Improve Statistical Practice be Successful? Some Evidence to the Contrary
Raymond Hubbard
Pages: 31-35
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforWill the ASA's Efforts to Improve Statistical Practice be Successful? Some Evidence to the Contrary | Full Text | References | PDF (408.8 KB) | EPUB
  • 7910 Views
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Article
Correcting Corrupt Research: Recommendations for the Profession to Stop Misuse of p-Values
John L. Kmetz
Pages: 36-45
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforCorrecting Corrupt Research: Recommendations for the Profession to Stop Misuse of p-Values | Full Text | References | PDF (1.3 MB) | EPUB | Supplemental
  • 11892 Views
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Article
Quality Control for Scientific Research: Addressing Reproducibility, Responsiveness, and Relevance
Douglas W. Hubbard & Alicia L. Carriquiry
Pages: 46-55
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforQuality Control for Scientific Research: Addressing Reproducibility, Responsiveness, and Relevance | Full Text | References | PDF (1.1 MB) | EPUB
  • 14096 Views
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Article
The Role of Expert Judgment in Statistical Inference and Evidence-Based Decision-Making
Naomi C. Brownstein, Thomas A. Louis, Anthony O’Hagan & Jane Pendergast
Pages: 56-68
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforThe Role of Expert Judgment in Statistical Inference and Evidence-Based Decision-Making | Full Text | References | PDF (1.9 MB) | EPUB | Supplemental
  • 15304 Views
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Article
Expert Knowledge Elicitation: Subjective but Scientific
Anthony O’Hagan
Pages: 69-81
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforExpert Knowledge Elicitation: Subjective but Scientific | Full Text | References | PDF (1.4 MB) | EPUB | Supplemental
  • 18970 Views
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Article
Before p < 0.05 to Beyond p < 0.05: Using History to Contextualize p-Values and Significance Testing
Lee Kennedy-Shaffer
Pages: 82-90
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforBefore p < 0.05 to Beyond p < 0.05: Using History to Contextualize p-Values and Significance Testing | Full Text | References | PDF (929.1 KB) | EPUB
  • 26372 Views
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Article
The Limited Role of Formal Statistical Inference in Scientific Inference
Raymond Hubbard, Brian D. Haig & Rahul A. Parsa
Pages: 91-98
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforThe Limited Role of Formal Statistical Inference in Scientific Inference | Full Text | References | PDF (539 KB) | EPUB
  • 12600 Views
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Article
Large-Scale Replication Projects in Contemporary Psychological Research
Blakeley B. McShane, Jennifer L. Tackett, Ulf Böckenholt & Andrew Gelman
Pages: 99-105
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforLarge-Scale Replication Projects in Contemporary Psychological Research | Full Text | References | PDF (484.7 KB) | EPUB
  • 9668 Views
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Interpreting and Using p

Article
Valid P-Values Behave Exactly as They Should: Some Misleading Criticisms of P-Values and Their Resolution With S-Values
Sander Greenland
Pages: 106-114
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforValid P-Values Behave Exactly as They Should: Some Misleading Criticisms of P-Values and Their Resolution With S-Values | Full Text | References | PDF (924 KB) | EPUB
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Articles

Article
The p-Value Requires Context, Not a Threshold
Rebecca A. Betensky
Pages: 115-117
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforThe p-Value Requires Context, Not a Threshold | Full Text | References | PDF (450.1 KB) | EPUB
  • 20502 Views
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Article
Assessing Statistical Results: Magnitude, Precision, and Model Uncertainty
Andrew A. Anderson
Pages: 118-121
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforAssessing Statistical Results: Magnitude, Precision, and Model Uncertainty | Full Text | References | PDF (543.2 KB) | EPUB
  • 18569 Views
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Article
Putting the P-Value in its Place
Joachim I. Krueger & Patrick R. Heck
Pages: 122-128
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforPutting the P-Value in its Place | Full Text | References | PDF (565.2 KB) | EPUB
  • 13939 Views
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Interpreting and Using p

Article
Evidence From Marginally Significant t Statistics
Valen E. Johnson
Pages: 129-134
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforEvidence From Marginally Significant t Statistics | Full Text | References | PDF (755.9 KB) | EPUB
  • 9889 Views
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Article
The p-value Function and Statistical Inference
D. A. S. Fraser
Pages: 135-147
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforThe p-value Function and Statistical Inference | Full Text | References | PDF (1.7 MB) | EPUB
  • 17002 Views
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Articles

Article
p-Values, Bayes Factors, and Sufficiency
Jonathan Rougier
Pages: 148-151
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
Abstractforp-Values, Bayes Factors, and Sufficiency | Full Text | References | PDF (742.2 KB) | EPUB
  • 6889 Views
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Original Articles

Article
Limitations of P-Values and R-squared for Stepwise Regression Building: A Fairness Demonstration in Health Policy Risk Adjustment
Sherri Rose & Thomas G. McGuire
Pages: 152-156
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforLimitations of P-Values and R-squared for Stepwise Regression Building: A Fairness Demonstration in Health Policy Risk Adjustment | Full Text | References | PDF (952.8 KB) | EPUB
  • 12272 Views
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Supplementing or Replacing p

Article
An Introduction to Second-Generation p-Values
Jeffrey D. Blume, Robert A. Greevy, Valerie F. Welty, Jeffrey R. Smith & William D. Dupont
Pages: 157-167
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforAn Introduction to Second-Generation p-Values | Full Text | References | PDF (3.8 MB) | EPUB
  • 19394 Views
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Article
A Proposed Hybrid Effect Size Plus p-Value Criterion: Empirical Evidence Supporting its Use
William M. Goodman, Susan E. Spruill & Eugene Komaroff
Pages: 168-185
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforA Proposed Hybrid Effect Size Plus p-Value Criterion: Empirical Evidence Supporting its Use | Full Text | References | PDF (6.7 MB) | EPUB | Supplemental
  • 7579 Views
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Article
Three Recommendations for Improving the Use of p-Values
Daniel J. Benjamin & James O. Berger
Pages: 186-191
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforThree Recommendations for Improving the Use of p-Values | Full Text | References | PDF (632.3 KB) | EPUB
  • 29114 Views
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Article
The False Positive Risk: A Proposal Concerning What to Do About p-Values
David Colquhoun
Pages: 192-201
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforThe False Positive Risk: A Proposal Concerning What to Do About p-Values | Full Text | References | PDF (2.2 MB) | EPUB | Supplemental
  • 19189 Views
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Article
Moving Towards the Post p < 0.05 Era via the Analysis of Credibility
Robert A. J. Matthews
Pages: 202-212
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforMoving Towards the Post p < 0.05 Era via the Analysis of Credibility | Full Text | References | PDF (2.3 MB) | EPUB
  • 9345 Views
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Article
Blending Bayesian and Classical Tools to Define Optimal Sample-Size-Dependent Significance Levels
Mark Andrew Gannon, Carlos Alberto de Bragança Pereira & Adriano Polpo
Pages: 213-222
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforBlending Bayesian and Classical Tools to Define Optimal Sample-Size-Dependent Significance Levels | Full Text | References | PDF (1.3 MB) | EPUB | Supplemental
  • 6715 Views
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Article
How Effect Size (Practical Significance) Misleads Clinical Practice: The Case for Switching to Practical Benefit to Assess Applied Research Findings
Stanley Pogrow
Pages: 223-234
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforHow Effect Size (Practical Significance) Misleads Clinical Practice: The Case for Switching to Practical Benefit to Assess Applied Research Findings | Full Text | References | PDF (1.1 MB) | EPUB
  • 12846 Views
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Articles

Article
Abandon Statistical Significance
Blakeley B. McShane, David Gal, Andrew Gelman, Christian Robert & Jennifer L. Tackett
Pages: 235-245
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforAbandon Statistical Significance | Full Text | References | PDF (1 MB) | EPUB
  • 58947 Views
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Article
Statistical Inference Enables Bad Science; Statistical Thinking Enables Good Science
Christopher Tong
Pages: 246-261
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforStatistical Inference Enables Bad Science; Statistical Thinking Enables Good Science | Full Text | References | PDF (1.4 MB) | EPUB
  • 30372 Views
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Adopting More Holistic Approaches

Article
Inferential Statistics as Descriptive Statistics: There Is No Replication Crisis if We Don’t Expect Replication
Valentin Amrhein, David Trafimow & Sander Greenland
Pages: 262-270
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforInferential Statistics as Descriptive Statistics: There Is No Replication Crisis if We Don’t Expect Replication | Full Text | References | PDF (874.6 KB) | EPUB
  • 72316 Views
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Articles

Article
The New Statistics for Better Science: Ask How Much, How Uncertain, and What Else Is Known
Robert J. Calin-Jageman & Geoff Cumming
Pages: 271-280
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforThe New Statistics for Better Science: Ask How Much, How Uncertain, and What Else Is Known | Full Text | References | PDF (1.1 MB) | EPUB
  • 16319 Views
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Adopting More Holistic Approaches

Article
How Large Are Your G-Values? Try Gosset’s Guinnessometrics When a Little “p” Is Not Enough
Stephen T. Ziliak
Pages: 281-290
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforHow Large Are Your G-Values? Try Gosset’s Guinnessometrics When a Little “p” Is Not Enough | Full Text | References | PDF (967.2 KB) | EPUB
  • 9242 Views
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Article
Predictive Inference and Scientific Reproducibility
Dean Billheimer
Pages: 291-295
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforPredictive Inference and Scientific Reproducibility | Full Text | References | PDF (672.6 KB) | EPUB
  • 8219 Views
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Article
Treatment Choice With Trial Data: Statistical Decision Theory Should Supplant Hypothesis Testing
Charles F. Manski
Pages: 296-304
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforTreatment Choice With Trial Data: Statistical Decision Theory Should Supplant Hypothesis Testing | Full Text | References | PDF (890.7 KB) | EPUB
  • 8875 Views
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Article
Trial Size for Near-Optimal Choice Between Surveillance and Aggressive Treatment: Reconsidering MSLT-II
Charles F. Manski & Aleksey Tetenov
Pages: 305-311
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforTrial Size for Near-Optimal Choice Between Surveillance and Aggressive Treatment: Reconsidering MSLT-II | Full Text | References | PDF (742.5 KB) | EPUB | Supplemental
  • 3949 Views
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Original Articles

Article
Frequentist, Bayes, or Other?
Michael Lavine
Pages: 312-318
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforFrequentist, Bayes, or Other? | Full Text | References | PDF (1.1 MB) | EPUB
  • 7517 Views
  • 11 CrossRef citations
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Adopting More Holistic Approaches

Article
Inference and Decision Making for 21st-Century Drug Development and Approval
Stephen J. Ruberg, Frank E. Harrell Jr., Margaret Gamalo-Siebers, Lisa LaVange, J. Jack Lee, Karen Price & Carl Peck
Pages: 319-327
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforInference and Decision Making for 21st-Century Drug Development and Approval | Full Text | References | PDF (1.4 MB) | EPUB
  • 9359 Views
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Article
Multiple Perspectives on Inference for Two Simple Statistical Scenarios
Noah N. N. van Dongen, Johnny B. van Doorn, Quentin F. Gronau, Don van Ravenzwaaij, Rink Hoekstra, Matthias N. Haucke, Daniel Lakens, Christian Hennig, Richard D. Morey, Saskia Homer, Andrew Gelman, Jan Sprenger & Eric-Jan Wagenmakers
Pages: 328-339
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforMultiple Perspectives on Inference for Two Simple Statistical Scenarios | Full Text | References | PDF (2.1 MB) | EPUB
  • 12237 Views
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Reforming Institutions: Changing Publication Policies and Statistical Education

Article
Five Nonobvious Changes in Editorial Practice for Editors and Reviewers to Consider When Evaluating Submissions in a Post p < 0.05 Universe
David Trafimow
Pages: 340-345
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforFive Nonobvious Changes in Editorial Practice for Editors and Reviewers to Consider When Evaluating Submissions in a Post p < 0.05 Universe | Full Text | References | PDF (660.4 KB) | EPUB
  • 6523 Views
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Articles

Article
The Impact of Results Blind Science Publishing on Statistical Consultation and Collaboration
Joseph J. Locascio
Pages: 346-351
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforThe Impact of Results Blind Science Publishing on Statistical Consultation and Collaboration | Full Text | References | PDF (468.3 KB) | EPUB
  • 5572 Views
  • 7 CrossRef citations
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Article
Coup de Grâce for a Tough Old Bull: “Statistically Significant” Expires
Stuart H. Hurlbert, Richard A. Levine & Jessica Utts
Pages: 352-357
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforCoup de Grâce for a Tough Old Bull: “Statistically Significant” Expires | Full Text | References | PDF (709.8 KB) | EPUB | Supplemental
  • 14826 Views
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Reforming Institutions: Changing Publication Policies and Statistical Education

Article
The World of Research Has Gone Berserk: Modeling the Consequences of Requiring “Greater Statistical Stringency” for Scientific Publication
Harlan Campbell & Paul Gustafson
Pages: 358-373
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforThe World of Research Has Gone Berserk: Modeling the Consequences of Requiring “Greater Statistical Stringency” for Scientific Publication | Full Text | References | PDF (4 MB) | EPUB | Supplemental
  • 5894 Views
  • 7 CrossRef citations
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Article
Assessing the Statistical Analyses Used in Basic and Applied Social Psychology After Their p-Value Ban
Ronald D. Fricker Jr., Katherine Burke, Xiaoyan Han & William H. Woodall
Pages: 374-384
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforAssessing the Statistical Analyses Used in Basic and Applied Social Psychology After Their p-Value Ban | Full Text | References | PDF (2 MB) | EPUB
  • 21314 Views
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Article
Content Audit for p-value Principles in Introductory Statistics
Karsten Maurer, Lynette Hudiburgh, Lisa Werwinski & John Bailer
Pages: 385-391
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforContent Audit for p-value Principles in Introductory Statistics | Full Text | References | PDF (724.4 KB) | EPUB
  • 5601 Views
  • 5 CrossRef citations
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Articles

Article
Beyond Calculations: A Course in Statistical Thinking
E. Ashley Steel, Martin Liermann & Peter Guttorp
Pages: 392-401
Published online: 20 Mar 2019
AbstractforBeyond Calculations: A Course in Statistical Thinking | Full Text | References | PDF (1 MB) | EPUB
  • 20042 Views
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